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Bayern vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 77-74
19-7 19-21 20-19 19-27
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas
26 Mar 2027
BAY v ZAL
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BAY70
ZAL98
07 Nov 2024
BAY77
ZAL74
15 Mar 2024
BAY64
ZAL58
14 Apr 2023
BAY80
ZAL83
11 Jan 2022
BAY74
ZAL65
01 Apr 2021
BAY71
ZAL70
14 Dec 2018
BAY88
ZAL84
28 Feb 2014
BAY79
ZAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 79
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
W
91-85
91
85
+6
93avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
109-107
109
107
+2
107avg 79
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
47avg 79
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 79
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 79
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 79
A03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
18-22
24-19
21-28
19-26
22-20
29-15
21-24
15-24
17-25
20-22
26-15
24-21
30-26
27-31
28-29
19-17
16-23
20-19
20-20
20-19
12-24
27-18
25-19
18-18
10-15
21-20
21-16
19-25
21-8
28-27
19-24
19-17
24-16
21-16
20-22
17-20
24-15
29-19
20-18
167.4Avg total
84.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.387.3175.6+1.071%
Season at home (3)96.792.0188.7+4.7100%
Season away (4)82.083.8165.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)84.782.7167.4+2.070%
Last 5 (5)83.075.2158.2+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.587.0168.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.876.4157.2+4.573%
vs Weaker (16)84.174.6158.8+9.581%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
72avg 79
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
49avg 79
A11/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
71-68
71
68
+3
63avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 79
A17/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
73-66
73
66
+7
69avg 79
H20/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
78avg 79
H24/10
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
68avg 79
A27/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 79
H30/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
63-62
63
62
+1
60avg 79
H01/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 79
H03/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
17-28
25-23
28-18
6-21
18-14
19-17
25-22
16-15
28-15
16-22
11-16
17-24
14-25
17-17
37-16
13-24
17-15
23-14
20-13
26-7
18-17
15-22
19-17
20-20
18-23
14-32
30-25
24-18
23-15
19-24
20-27
20-11
14-14
9-18
20-19
20-9
20-22
21-10
23-26
153.5Avg total
77.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.071.4146.4+3.686%
Season at home (4)75.269.0144.2+6.2100%
Season away (3)74.774.7149.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)77.875.7153.5+2.170%
Last 5 (5)78.675.2153.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.367.7136.0+0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.881.9167.7+3.967%
vs Weaker (18)91.176.1167.2+14.978%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
BayernZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/11
BBL
78.6Avg total
38.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.279.0+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.137.780.8+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.777.4+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.738.379.0+2.564%-
vs Weaker (16)41.736.978.6+4.875%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A17/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H20/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H24/10
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/11
LKL
72.6Avg total
36.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.580.2+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.834.479.2+10.381%-
Last 30 away (14)40.341.181.4-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.972.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.631.271.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.730.364.0+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.039.083.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker (18)43.538.081.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.3
56.5%
54.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.2
35.7%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.516.3
83.6%
78.0%16.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.0
52.5%
54.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.515.2
70.7%
78.0%15.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWWLWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWWWWLL
#7
League position
#13
+1.9
Net rating
+3.4
116.0
Offensive rating
110.6
114.1
Defensive rating
107.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
32.8%
61.4%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 110.6Defence114.1 · 107.1Shooting55.1% · 51.1%3-point %35.7% · 32.8%Ball care19.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds34.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig90-72
01/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne84-71
29/10/24AVirtus Bologna87-84
27/10/24HWurzburg70-69
25/10/24HOlympiacos84-80
19/10/24ASyntainics MBC75-79
17/10/24HParis109-107
15/10/24APartizan78-86
13/10/24ABonn91-85
10/10/24APanathinaikos79-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HJuventus84-67
01/11/24HMonaco63-62
30/10/24HCrvena zvezda86-84
27/10/24ABC Wolves82-100
24/10/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-63
20/10/24HLietkabelis73-66
17/10/24AOlimpia Milano85-82
15/10/24AVirtus Bologna71-68
11/10/24AOlympiacos68-74
06/10/24ARytas88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game88.396.782.0
Allowed / game87.392.083.8
Point differential+1.0+4.7-1.8
Avg total175.6188.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game75.075.274.7
Allowed / game71.469.074.7
Point differential+3.6+6.2+0.0
Avg total146.4144.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas76186%75.071.4+3.6
2 Panathinaikos75271%85.978.7+7.1
3 Barcelona75271%85.782.6+3.1
4 Fenerbahce75271%78.475.9+2.6
5 Bayern75271%88.387.3+1.0
6 Olympiacos74357%82.476.6+5.9
7 Anadolu Efes74357%86.683.3+3.3
8 Baskonia74357%76.773.6+3.1
9 Monaco74357%81.679.1+2.4
10 Paris74357%84.082.3+1.7
11 Crvena zvezda84450%81.679.5+2.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv73443%80.684.1-3.6
13 Real Madrid83538%82.882.5+0.2
14 Olimpia Milano83538%82.586.4-3.9
15 Partizan72529%80.082.3-2.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%78.084.7-6.7
17 Virtus Bologna71614%78.484.3-5.9
18 Alba Berlin81712%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1919201977
Zalgiris Kaunas721192774
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