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Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-91
25-29 25-20 18-19 33-23
Position#2
Record18-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#12
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.8
GermanyBBLRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Chemnitz
18 Sep 2026
ABE89
CHE82
03 May 2026
ABE82
CHE84
20 Oct 2024
ABE78
CHE81
06 Jun 2024
ABE97
CHE84
31 May 2024
ABE86
CHE64
28 May 2024
ABE82
CHE95
31 Dec 2023
ABE101
CHE90
11 Mar 2023
ABE101
CHE91
19 Feb 2022
ABE91
CHE81
05 Dec 2021
ABE83
CHE62
07 Feb 2021
ABE83
CHE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 83
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 83
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 83
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
14-15
13-18
18-11
18-22
14-22
19-27
26-28
15-19
160.6Avg total
78.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.179.6169.7+10.590%
Season at home (10)87.576.6164.1+10.990%
Season away (10)92.782.6175.3+10.190%
Last 10 (10)78.082.6160.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)73.879.6153.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.789.8167.4-12.117%
vs Similar (9)79.278.9158.1+0.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.278.3171.6+14.9100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 79
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 79
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
76avg 79
A03/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 79
A05/02
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
58-79
58
79
-21
52avg 79
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
87avg 79
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
67avg 79
H04/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
17-14
31-14
17-22
20-19
18-25
18-10
19-23
18-16
18-23
21-18
14-21
24-23
19-17
23-13
20-21
22-19
17-29
13-11
22-18
23-20
27-22
14-16
18-21
23-17
19-19
15-16
18-23
7-23
21-19
18-21
12-16
23-24
25-24
18-20
20-19
26-20
9-28
14-15
24-20
156.8Avg total
77.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.082.8166.8+1.250%
Season at home (11)84.283.4167.5+0.855%
Season away (9)83.882.2166.0+1.644%
Last 10 (10)77.978.9156.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)76.881.4158.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.784.0160.7-7.333%
vs Similar (13)81.082.5163.5-1.531%
vs Weaker (14)91.576.4167.9+15.186%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
Alba BerlinChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H09/03
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
39.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.742.984.6-1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)42.043.285.2-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.280.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.279.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.946.487.3-5.533%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.882.1-3.411%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.638.784.2+6.978%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/02
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H04/03
BBL
82.7Avg total
40.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.885.9+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.888.2+2.744%-
Last 30 away (14)42.640.883.4+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.782.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.283.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.042.776.7-8.70%-
vs Similar (13)42.344.586.8-2.223%-
vs Weaker (14)47.939.187.1+8.879%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.9
55.0%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
75.8%13.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.1
55.4%
54.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
75.8%14.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLLWLWWLW
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWLLW
#2
League position
#12
-7.4
Net rating
-0.8
105.7
Offensive rating
108.6
113.1
Defensive rating
109.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
21.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.1%
3-point %
33.3%
70.6%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 108.6Defence113.1 · 109.4Shooting52.8% · 52.9%3-point %33.1% · 33.3%Ball care21.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds33.3% · 33.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
27/03/22Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-64
19/02/22Alba Berlin v Chemnitz91-81
05/12/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-62
09/05/21Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-91
07/02/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HVirtus Bologna74-96
07/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-83
15/02/23HGottingen86-87
12/02/23HBayern58-79
08/02/23ASCM Craiova85-79 OT
05/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins82-79
03/02/23AWurzburg74-77
31/01/23AFC Porto86-74
29/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig71-78
24/01/23ACholet75-77
21/01/23HFrankfurt89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game90.187.592.7
Allowed / game79.676.682.6
Point differential+10.5+10.9+10.1
Avg total169.7164.1175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game84.084.283.8
Allowed / game82.883.482.2
Point differential+1.1+0.8+1.6
Avg total166.8167.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%18%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2220291%90.073.6+16.5
2 Alba Berlin2018290%90.179.6+10.5
3 Bayern2115671%82.176.6+5.5
4 Ludwigsburg2114767%90.585.5+5.0
5 Oldenburg2114767%85.582.3+3.2
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm21111052%87.685.6+2.0
8 Chemnitz20101050%84.082.8+1.1
9 Bamberg22111150%87.086.0+1.0
10 Wurzburg22111150%83.683.6+0.0
11 Rostock22101245%84.489.2-4.8
12 Syntainics MBC2191243%83.487.7-4.3
13 Hamburg2281436%82.885.7-2.9
14 Heidelberg2381535%86.191.2-5.1
15 Crailsheim Merlins2271532%87.391.8-4.5
16 Basketball Braunschweig2261627%79.184.8-5.6
17 Frankfurt2251723%78.887.3-8.5
18 Bayreuth2131814%81.490.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin25251833101
Chemnitz2920192391
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