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Murray State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-82
49-43 34-39
Position#182
Record12-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#79
Record16-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Belmont
15 Feb 2026
MURR70
BELM87
25 Jan 2025
MURR77
BELM95
28 Feb 2024
MURR61
BELM83
01 Feb 2023
MURR83
BELM82
24 Feb 2022
MURR76
BELM43
30 Jan 2021
MURR71
BELM72
23 Jan 2020
MURR85
BELM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
27-28
40-47
39-28
42-36
30-34
35-46
36-36
46-37
30-34
34-34
37-35
37-36
139.4Avg total
69.9Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.069.6140.7+1.455%
Season at home (10)72.464.5136.9+7.980%
Season away (12)69.973.9143.8-4.033%
Last 10 (10)69.969.5139.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)73.271.2144.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.073.7142.7-4.733%
vs Similar (9)69.970.6140.4-0.756%
vs Weaker (12)76.963.2140.2+13.792%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A26/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
29-22
28-23
17-40
35-31
42-40
37-35
37-26
38-30
36-29
44-31
32-41
34-30
46-35
37-40
41-36
36-32
37-32
26-39
35-40
137.1Avg total
70.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.170.4144.5+3.770%
Season at home (12)76.268.8145.0+7.375%
Season away (11)71.872.1143.9-0.364%
Last 10 (10)70.167.0137.1+3.180%
Last 5 (5)73.671.2144.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.876.0139.8-12.240%
vs Similar (11)72.369.7142.0+2.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.466.1143.5+11.392%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
Murray StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.765.3+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.830.266.0+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)31.133.464.4-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.363.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.467.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.133.764.8-2.633%-
vs Similar (9)31.233.264.4-2.044%-
vs Weaker (12)37.229.166.2+8.150%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H29/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.166.6+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.031.767.7+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)32.832.565.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.967.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.469.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.237.868.0-7.60%-
vs Similar (11)33.431.865.2+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.829.566.4+7.3100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murray State wins
5
Belmont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HMissouri State74-71
25/01/23ASouthern Illinois64-68
21/01/23HIndiana State82-73
18/01/23ABelmont65-80
14/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)81-64
11/01/23ANorthern Iowa67-75
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HDrake61-79
26/01/23AEvansville73-64
21/01/23ABradley78-76
18/01/23HMurray State80-65
14/01/23HNorthern Iowa76-72
11/01/23AValparaiso74-59
07/01/23HMissouri State74-61
05/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)77-71
01/01/23ASouthern Illinois45-63
29/12/22HBradley63-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game71.072.469.9
Allowed / game69.664.573.9
Point differential+1.4+7.9-4.0
Avg total140.7136.9143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game74.176.271.8
Allowed / game70.468.872.1
Point differential+3.7+7.3-0.3
Avg total144.5145.0143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2317674%74.063.7+10.4
2 Southern Illinois2317674%67.161.2+5.9
3 Belmont2316770%74.170.4+3.7
4 Bradley2315865%71.962.7+9.2
5 Indiana State2314961%77.670.1+7.5
6 Northern Iowa22121055%70.566.9+3.6
7 Murray State22121055%71.069.6+1.4
8 Valparaiso23101343%69.072.3-3.3
9 Illinois State2391439%66.268.6-2.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)2391439%67.070.7-3.7
11 Evansville2341917%62.375.4-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State493483
Belmont433982
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