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Bilbao vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game92.7
vs
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game98.7
SpainACBRound 25· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bilbao v Breogan
21 Mar 2027
BIL v BRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BIL100
BRE90
29 Sep 2024
BIL90
BRE72
09 Dec 2023
BIL68
BRE76
10 May 2023
BIL83
BRE66
16 Dec 2021
BIL83
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 81
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
102avg 81
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 81
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 81
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 81
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 81
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
182.9Avg total
91.7Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.892.7185.5+0.267%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)88.7100.3189.0-11.733%
Last 10 (10)91.791.2182.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)90.092.4182.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.094.1175.1-13.112%
vs Similar (8)88.583.9172.4+4.675%
vs Weaker (14)90.982.8173.7+8.179%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 93
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 93
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 93
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 93
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 93
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 93
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 93
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 93
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-90
110
90
+20
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
202.7Avg total
106.3Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)104.798.7203.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)106.396.4202.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)103.697.6201.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (12)92.591.9184.4+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
BilbaoBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.083.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.483.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.483.9-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.885.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.846.082.8-9.212%-
vs Similar (8)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (14)44.740.385.0+4.464%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
97.0Avg total
52.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.992.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.692.6+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)44.547.091.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)52.244.897.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)52.445.297.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)44.147.691.7-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
55.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.2
37.7%
36.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
74.1%
75.7%18.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
55.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.814.2
46.1%
36.2%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
75.7%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWLWWWLWL
Breogan
WLLWWWLWWL
#5
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
+7.0
100.2
Offensive rating
112.7
100.3
Defensive rating
105.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
63.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.7%
3-point %
46.1%
66.1%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 112.7Defence100.3 · 105.7Shooting53.8% · 63.0%3-point %37.7% · 46.1%Ball care13.4% · 14.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bilbao wins
4
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Bilbao v Breogan100-90
21/12/25Breogan v Bilbao100-99
25/01/25Breogan v Bilbao76-71
29/09/24Bilbao v Breogan90-72
30/03/24Breogan v Bilbao68-80
09/12/23Bilbao v Breogan68-76
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game92.897.088.7
Allowed / game92.785.0100.3
Point differential+0.2+12.0-11.7
Avg total185.5182.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game104.7105.0104.3
Allowed / game98.799.797.7
Point differential+6.0+5.3+6.7
Avg total203.3204.7202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
3 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
4 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
5 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
6 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
7 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
8 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
9 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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