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Breogan vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-80
9-16 23-21 16-19 20-24
Position#16
Record7-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game79.9
Breogan
Spain
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
Position#13
Record11-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game81.6
SpainACBRound 27· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Bilbao
10 Dec 2026
BRE v BIL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
BRE100
BIL99
25 Jan 2025
BRE76
BIL71
30 Mar 2024
BRE68
BIL80
22 Oct 2022
BRE86
BIL70
12 Mar 2022
BRE86
BIL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 64
A14/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 64
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 64
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 64
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
48avg 64
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 64
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 64
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
61avg 64
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 64
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 64
A23/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
23-18
21-17
12-29
17-22
22-21
17-19
20-24
14-18
25-18
28-16
26-23
12-15
16-25
23-22
17-21
17-11
11-20
12-16
21-16
24-15
18-24
15-15
16-26
14-16
16-24
19-20
21-18
13-17
20-17
13-22
19-20
26-23
20-24
21-25
21-13
14-25
13-16
23-21
22-21
154.3Avg total
74.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.179.9154.0-5.827%
Season at home (12)77.679.5157.1-1.933%
Season away (14)71.180.3151.4-9.221%
Last 10 (10)74.679.7154.3-5.120%
Last 5 (5)73.680.4154.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.183.9154.0-13.811%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.680.1159.7-0.544%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 75
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
90-63
90
63
+27
94avg 75
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 75
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 75
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 75
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 75
A10/03
ACB
Legia
#6
W
81-53
81
53
+28
79avg 75
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 75
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 75
H24/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
73-98
73
98
-25
66avg 75
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
13-32
18-26
26-20
24-23
18-15
34-13
14-12
28-18
14-15
28-25
23-20
23-25
22-17
19-29
20-30
15-20
14-21
20-19
15-23
15-17
18-27
22-16
24-27
29-17
19-15
11-10
22-11
22-20
22-20
22-18
26-13
28-22
15-19
16-22
23-17
29-16
17-25
12-30
15-27
162.4Avg total
81.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.381.6161.0-2.342%
Season at home (13)81.676.8158.4+4.869%
Season away (13)77.186.5163.5-9.415%
Last 10 (10)81.481.0162.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.087.1164.1-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.275.0153.2+3.258%
vs Weaker (9)80.871.4152.2+9.378%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
BreoganBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
ACB
75.2Avg total
35.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.940.176.0-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.537.575.9+1.046%-
Last 30 away (17)33.942.276.1-8.312%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.375.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.275.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.642.479.0-5.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.540.276.7-3.728%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
ACB
Legia
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H24/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
80.6Avg total
40.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.278.3-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.678.5+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.440.778.1-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.280.6+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.741.980.6-3.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.837.478.2+3.375%-
vs Weaker (9)37.438.876.2-1.333%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.715.5
47.4%
53.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
75.6%12.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
53.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.0
34.2%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
75.6%14.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLLLLLWLL
Bilbao
LWWWLLLWWL
#16
League position
#13
-7.7
Net rating
+1.3
103.0
Offensive rating
108.1
110.7
Defensive rating
106.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
34.2%
63.0%
Assist %
63.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 108.1Defence110.7 · 106.7Shooting49.6% · 52.3%3-point %34.7% · 34.2%Ball care18.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Bilbao v Breogan68-76
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AObradoiro CAB72-83
17/03/24ABarcelona88-85
09/03/24HUnicaja65-76
02/03/24AJoventut Badalona70-78
11/02/24HReal Madrid73-80
03/02/24ABasket Zaragoza61-63
27/01/24AManresa68-83
21/01/24HBasquet Girona93-75
17/01/24AKarsiyaka76-86
14/01/24AValencia80-88
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HChemnitz73-98
24/03/24HBaskonia82-80
17/03/24HJoventut Badalona92-71
13/03/24HLegia81-53
10/03/24AGranada79-87
06/03/24ALegia64-83
02/03/24AUnicaja84-101
11/02/24HValencia93-78
07/02/24HBalkan90-63
03/02/24AMurcia76-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %27%33%21%
Points / game74.177.671.1
Allowed / game79.979.580.3
Point differential-5.8-1.9-9.2
Avg total154.0157.1151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW42%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%69%15%
Points / game79.381.677.1
Allowed / game81.676.886.5
Point differential-2.3+4.8-9.4
Avg total161.0158.4163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2623388%88.678.0+10.6
2 Unicaja2621581%87.476.5+10.9
3 Barcelona2617965%87.880.3+7.5
4 Murcia26161062%83.579.7+3.8
5 Tenerife26161062%84.481.2+3.2
6 Gran Canaria26161062%84.881.7+3.1
7 Valencia26161062%82.380.3+2.0
8 Manresa26151158%84.183.9+0.2
9 Baskonia26141254%86.686.7-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona26141254%81.185.4-4.3
11 Bilbao26111542%79.381.6-2.3
12 Basket Zaragoza26101638%82.085.6-3.6
13 Basquet Girona26101638%81.085.6-4.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra2691735%82.084.0-2.0
15 Obradoiro CAB2671927%80.384.7-4.3
16 Breogan2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Granada2671927%81.287.1-6.0
18 Palencia2652119%79.087.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan923162068
Bilbao1621192480
← all games of the day
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