Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 23:00

Projected 119-105

Projected total 224.0

Scheduled

Position#3

Record10-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game114.2

Allowed / game103.1

Boston Celtics

86%

14%

■ BOS 86%■ DAL 14%

Pythia win probability

Form · last 5 games

5.3/10

Around normal

4.1/10

Below normal

Dallas Mavericks

Position#14

Record7-6

FormWWWLL

Points / game113.5

Allowed / game113.3

NBA· TD Garden

NBA2026-27

Meetings · Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks

Sections

Game preview & prediction

Boston Celtics host Dallas Mavericks on 15 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Celtics the clear favourite as Pythia rates them 86% to win, driven by a 10-2 record, 114.2 points per game and 103.1 allowed, and a perfect 5-0 home slate with 120.0 points per game; the Mavericks sit 7-6 overall, 113.5 points per game and 113.3 allowed, and are 2-4 on the road with 111.0 points per game and 119.0 allowed, having won three of their last five games. The Celtics have dominated the series 8-2, most recently beating the Mavericks 120-100 on 6 March 2026, while Dallas's recent outings include a 117-127 loss to Cleveland, a 94-133 defeat to Minnesota and a 125-122 win over Indiana. Pythia projects a 119-105 score, 224 total points, a 13.5-point spread with a 54% chance the Celtics cover, a 217.5-point total with a 63% over probability, and a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win

86.3%fair 1.16

Best odds1.14

Implied85.4%

Edge+0.9pp

Dallas Mavericks win

13.7%fair 7.29

Best odds6.59

Implied14.6%

Edge-0.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 06:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston Celtics USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCeltics

Date

Competition

Chicago Bulls

#27

134-99

134

+35

127avg 107

H26/10

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#26

125-124 OT

125

124

119avg 107

H27/10

NBA

Chicago Bulls

#27

125-111

125

111

+14

118avg 107

H30/10

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

108-97

108

+11

103avg 107

A01/11

NBA

Houston Rockets

93-109

109

-16

78avg 107

A03/11

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

109-102

109

102

102avg 107

H05/11

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

119-80

119

+39

123avg 107

A07/11

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

117-97

117

+20

109avg 107

A09/11

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

123-101

123

101

+22

117avg 107

A11/11

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#19

98-93

95avg 107

A12/11

NBA

33-21

33-33

39-21

29-24

26-31

30-30

30-21

31-35

44-25

34-24

21-25

26-37

24-23

31-27

22-24

31-23

29-29

21-28

23-25

20-27

28-14

34-27

25-38

22-23

40-20

30-19

26-18

23-23

25-27

33-18

33-29

26-23

30-23

32-28

29-31

32-19

29-38

25-23

21-19

23-13

216.4Avg total

115.1Scored

101.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	114.2	103.1	217.3	+11.2	83%
Season at home (5)	120.0	107.8	227.8	+12.2	100%
Season away (7)	110.1	99.7	209.9	+10.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	115.1	101.3	216.4	+13.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	113.2	94.6	207.8	+18.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	109.0	106.2	215.2	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	115.5	105.0	220.5	+10.5	76%

This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dallas Mavericks USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMavericks

Date

Competition

Miami Heat

#15

113-109

113

109

111avg 104

A26/10

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

120-96

120

+24

114avg 104

H29/10

NBA

Houston Rockets

116-111

116

111

111avg 104

H31/10

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#28

100-115

100

115

-15

85avg 104

H03/11

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

111-112

111

112

-1

98avg 104

A05/11

NBA

Utah Jazz

#29

112-100

112

100

+12

104avg 104

H07/11

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#26

130-93

130

+37

134avg 104

H09/11

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

125-122

125

122

120avg 104

H10/11

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

94-133

133

-39

78avg 104

A13/11

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#17

117-127

117

127

-10

100avg 104

A15/11

NBA

23-27

30-25

30-32

30-25

33-30

32-29

29-22

26-15

27-20

17-31

32-33

40-27

18-19

35-35

21-27

26-34

26-32

25-36

29-22

31-22

26-28

31-29

32-19

23-24

33-26

33-20

34-25

30-22

26-31

30-35

34-27

35-29

26-34

26-33

17-36

25-30

33-33

20-38

38-34

26-22

225.6Avg total

113.8Scored

111.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	113.5	113.3	226.8	+0.2	54%
Season at home (7)	115.6	108.4	224.0	+7.1	71%
Season away (6)	111.0	119.0	230.0	-8.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	113.8	111.8	225.6	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	115.6	115.0	230.6	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	115.2	125.9	241.1	-10.7	22%
vs Similar (9)	119.4	116.8	236.2	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (3)	114.0	102.7	216.7	+11.3	67%

This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 224 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 220-224 (11%). The market's main line is 217.5.

Over/Under 212.5

Over 212.5

73.3%

@ 1.57+13.9pp

Under 212.5

26.7%

@ 2.40-13.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Bet365

1.55

BetVictor

1.55

Marathon Be

1.52

Under

Betfair

2.40

Bet365

2.30

BetVictor

2.25

Betano

2.22

Over/Under 217.5 · main line

Over 217.5

63.5%

@ 1.98+13.5pp

Under 217.5

36.5%

@ 1.95-13.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Bet365

1.96

BetVictor

1.95

Pinnacle

1.93

1xBet

1.91

Under

1xBet

1.95

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.92

Betfair

1.90

Betano

1.85

Over/Under 222.5

Over 222.5

52.8%

@ 2.55+14.6pp

Under 222.5

47.2%

@ 1.59-14.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.55

WilliamHill

2.50

Betano

2.37

Betfair

2.36

Under

Betfair

1.59

Marathon Be

1.55

Betano

1.50

WilliamHill

1.50

Bet365

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Boston Celtics total 112

Over 112

75.1%

Under 112

24.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Boston Celtics total 116 · main line

Over 116

62.3%

@ 1.92+12.8pp

Under 116

37.7%

@ 1.88-12.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.92

Marathon Be

1.89

Under

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Boston Celtics total 120

Over 120

47.8%

Under 120

52.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Dallas Mavericks total 98

Over 98

71.8%

Under 98

28.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Dallas Mavericks total 102 · main line

Over 102

58.6%

@ 1.91+8.8pp

Under 102

41.4%

@ 1.89-8.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Under

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.86

Dallas Mavericks total 106

Over 106

44.3%

Under 106

55.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Boston Celtics's side (positive = Boston Celtics win). Pythia's expected margin is +14.7; Boston Celtics win by 1+ in 80% of simulations.

Spread Boston Celtics -16.5

BOS -16.5

44.4%

@ 2.25+2.4pp

DAL +16.5

55.6%

@ 1.65-2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

BOS

Betano

2.25

Betfair

2.25

1xBet

2.21

Marathon Be

2.20

Bet365

2.20

DAL

Betano

1.65

Bet365

1.60

BetVictor

1.60

1xBet

1.59

Marathon Be

1.58

Spread Boston Celtics -13.5 · main line

BOS -13.5

53.6%

@ 1.91+2.6pp

DAL +13.5

46.4%

@ 1.98-2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

BOS

1xBet

1.91

SBO

1.91

BetVictor

1.90

Pinnacle

1.90

Bet365

1.89

DAL

Pinnacle

1.98

1xBet

1.95

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.92

Bet365

1.92

Spread Boston Celtics -10.5

BOS -10.5

62.7%

@ 1.60+3.3pp

DAL +10.5

37.3%

@ 2.35-3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

BOS

Betano

1.60

Bet365

1.58

Betfair

1.57

1xBet

1.55

BetVictor

1.55

DAL

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.29

Marathon Be

2.28

Betfair

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boston CelticsDallas Mavericks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57
Last 30 (30)	29.6	25.6	55.3	+4.0	63%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	27.7	25.7	53.4	+2.1	47%	13%
Last 30 away (15)	31.5	25.6	57.1	+5.9	80%	40%
Last 10 (10)	30.8	25.1	55.9	+5.7	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	30.4	24.4	54.8	+6.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	25.0	27.6	52.6	-2.6	40%	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	30.6	25.2	55.8	+5.3	68%	28%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57
Last 30 (30)	30.3	31.2	61.5	-1.0	33%	77%
Last 30 at home (15)	30.5	30.9	61.5	-0.4	40%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	30.0	31.5	61.5	-1.5	27%	80%
Last 10 (10)	27.1	28.0	55.1	-0.9	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	28.8	30.4	59.2	-1.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	29.8	32.8	62.6	-3.0	28%	89%
vs Similar (9)	32.8	30.4	63.2	+2.3	44%	67%
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	24.3	50.0	+1.3	33%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 55.5
Last 30 (30)	29.5	26.3	55.9	+3.2	70%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	31.2	27.6	58.8	+3.6	67%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	27.9	25.1	52.9	+2.8	73%	33%
Last 10 (10)	30.3	25.7	56.0	+4.6	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	30.8	23.0	53.8	+7.8	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	29.0	27.2	56.2	+1.8	60%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	29.6	26.2	55.8	+3.5	72%	56%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 55.5
Last 30 (30)	27.9	29.9	57.8	-2.0	33%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	29.7	29.4	59.1	+0.3	40%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	26.1	30.4	56.5	-4.3	27%	47%
Last 10 (10)	27.9	31.1	59.0	-3.2	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	28.0	31.0	59.0	-3.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	26.6	30.8	57.4	-4.2	22%	61%
vs Similar (9)	28.8	28.8	57.6	+0.0	44%	67%
vs Weaker (3)	33.0	28.0	61.0	+5.0	67%	67%

Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chicago Bulls

#27

66-54

+12

H26/10

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#26

56-61

-5

H27/10

NBA

Chicago Bulls

#27

78-49

+29

H30/10

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

55-50

A01/11

NBA

Houston Rockets

50-57

-7

A03/11

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

62-41

+21

H05/11

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

70-39

+31

A07/11

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

58-45

+13

A09/11

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

62-51

+11

A11/11

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#19

54-61

-7

A12/11

NBA

111.9Avg total

61.1Scored

50.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 111.5
Last 30 (30)	59.2	52.0	111.1	+7.2	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	58.9	53.3	112.2	+5.7	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	59.4	50.7	110.1	+8.7	67%	33%
Last 10 (10)	61.1	50.8	111.9	+10.3	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	61.2	47.4	108.6	+13.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	54.0	54.8	108.8	-0.8	20%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	60.2	51.4	111.6	+8.8	68%	44%

This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Miami Heat

#15

53-52

A26/10

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

65-59

H29/10

NBA

Houston Rockets

44-51

-7

H31/10

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#28

53-54

-1

H03/11

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

51-68

-17

A05/11

NBA

Utah Jazz

#29

57-57

H07/11

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#26

66-46

+20

H09/11

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

56-66

-10

H10/11

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

52-67

-15

A13/11

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#17

53-71

-18

A15/11

NBA

114.1Avg total

55.0Scored

59.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 111.5
Last 30 (30)	58.2	61.1	119.3	-3.0	37%	80%
Last 30 at home (15)	60.2	60.3	120.5	-0.1	40%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	56.1	61.9	118.1	-5.8	33%	80%
Last 10 (10)	55.0	59.1	114.1	-4.1	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	56.8	61.4	118.2	-4.6	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	56.4	63.6	119.9	-7.2	28%	78%
vs Similar (9)	61.6	59.2	120.8	+2.3	56%	89%
vs Weaker (3)	58.7	52.3	111.0	+6.3	33%	67%

This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

BOS win

75.9%

@ 1.26+0.9pp

DAL win

24.1%

@ 3.75-0.9pp

1st half Spread Boston Celtics -7.5 · main line

BOS -7.5

49.9%

@ 1.86-0.4pp

DAL +7.5

50.1%

@ 1.88+0.4pp

1st half Over/Under 111.5 · main line

Over

54.7%

@ 1.85+3.9pp

Under

45.3%

@ 1.91-3.9pp

Boston Celtics 1st half total 59.5 · main line

Over

53.5%

@ 1.85+3.0pp

Under

46.5%

@ 1.89-3.0pp

Dallas Mavericks 1st half total 52 · main line

Over

53.7%

@ 1.87+3.7pp

Under

46.3%

@ 1.87-3.7pp

1st half Spread Boston Celtics -8.5

BOS -8.5

46.2%

@ 1.99-1.0pp

DAL +8.5

53.8%

@ 1.80+1.0pp

1st half Spread Boston Celtics -6.5

BOS -6.5

53.4%

@ 1.73-0.1pp

DAL +6.5

46.6%

@ 1.99+0.1pp

1st half Over/Under 109.5

Over

61.3%

@ 1.67+5.6pp

Under

38.7%

@ 2.10-5.6pp

1st half Over/Under 113.5

Over

48.0%

@ 2.10+3.5pp

Under

52.0%

@ 1.67-3.5pp

1st half Over/Under 107.5

Over

67.1%

@ 1.50+4.6pp

Under

32.9%

@ 2.50-4.6pp

1st half Over/Under 115.5

Over

41.6%

@ 2.50+4.1pp

Under

58.4%

@ 1.50-4.1pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

BOS

73.9%

@ 1.22-1.1pp

Draw

2.7%

@ 19.50-2.0pp

DAL

23.5%

@ 4.50+3.1pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 53.5
Last 30 (30)	28.9	27.6	56.5	+1.2	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	30.9	26.9	57.9	+4.0	67%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	26.8	28.3	55.1	-1.5	40%	47%
Last 10 (10)	26.9	25.1	52.0	+1.8	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	26.8	27.0	53.8	-0.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	30.6	26.8	57.4	+3.8	60%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	28.5	27.8	56.3	+0.7	52%	64%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 53.5
Last 30 (30)	29.8	31.1	60.9	-1.4	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	30.7	31.3	62.0	-0.7	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	28.9	30.9	59.8	-2.1	33%	60%
Last 10 (10)	29.6	27.7	57.3	+1.9	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	31.0	28.2	59.2	+2.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	30.2	32.9	63.1	-2.7	33%	72%
vs Similar (9)	29.2	30.1	59.3	-0.9	44%	67%
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	23.7	52.7	+5.3	67%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 51.5
Last 30 (30)	26.1	25.4	51.5	+0.7	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	26.2	51.1	-1.3	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	27.3	24.5	51.8	+2.7	73%	53%
Last 10 (10)	26.3	24.7	51.0	+1.6	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	24.4	24.6	49.0	-0.2	60%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	26.4	25.5	52.0	+0.9	60%	52%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 51.5
Last 30 (30)	28.0	27.7	55.6	+0.3	50%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	28.2	28.2	56.4	+0.0	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	27.7	27.1	54.9	+0.6	53%	67%
Last 10 (10)	29.2	25.0	54.2	+4.2	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	27.8	25.4	53.2	+2.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	27.9	27.9	55.8	-0.1	50%	72%
vs Similar (9)	28.7	27.4	56.1	+1.2	56%	67%
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	26.7	53.0	-0.3	33%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 104.5
Last 30 (30)	55.0	53.0	108.0	+2.0	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	55.9	53.1	109.0	+2.7	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	54.1	52.9	106.9	+1.2	60%	53%
Last 10 (10)	53.2	49.8	103.0	+3.4	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	52.0	47.2	99.2	+4.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	55.0	51.4	106.4	+3.6	60%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	55.0	53.3	108.3	+1.6	60%	60%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 104.5
Last 30 (30)	57.7	58.8	116.5	-1.1	47%	80%
Last 30 at home (15)	58.9	59.5	118.4	-0.7	40%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	56.6	58.1	114.7	-1.5	53%	80%
Last 10 (10)	58.8	52.7	111.5	+6.1	80%	70%
Last 5 (5)	58.8	53.6	112.4	+5.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	58.1	60.8	118.9	-2.8	44%	78%
vs Similar (9)	57.9	57.6	115.4	+0.3	44%	89%
vs Weaker (3)	55.3	50.3	105.7	+5.0	67%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BOS win + total 217.5

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DAL win + total 217.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

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Half-time / full-time: BOS leads at half

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Half-time / full-time: level at half

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Half-time / full-time: DAL leads at half

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Highest-scoring half

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Double chance (regulation)

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🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
2nd half: Over 102.5	74.4%	1.67	WilliamHill 1.67	-	-	-	-	+18.7pp
Boston Celtics over 111.5	75.8%	1.51	1xBet 1.56	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.45	-	-	+14.6pp
Dallas Mavericks over 95.5	79.6%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp
2nd half: Boston Celtics (regulation)	71.7%	1.35	Marathon Bet 1.38	1xBet 1.38	WilliamHill 1.30	-	-	+5.3pp
Boston Celtics -5.5	76.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betfair 1.29	Betano 1.28	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	+4.9pp
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 114 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.1	23.6	53.5%	54.0%	47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	43.2	15.0	34.7%	35.1%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.1	75.1%	77.3%	18.1

They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.5	30.1	57.3%	54.0%	60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.4	13.5	37.1%	35.1%	40.5
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.6	78.2%	77.3%	18.6

They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.3	51.4%	54.0%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.9	13.6	35.0%	35.1%	40.8
🏀 Free throws	23.2	18.7	80.6%	77.3%	18.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.3	30.0	55.2%	54.0%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.6	11.4	31.1%	35.1%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	25.5	18.8	73.7%	77.3%	18.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.4	24.9	55.0%	54.0%	49.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	42.2	15.4	36.5%	35.1%	46.2
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.5	80.8%	77.3%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.3	29.7	52.7%	54.0%	59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	12.3	35.7%	35.1%	36.8
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.7	79.0%	77.3%	19.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	24.7	51.9%	54.0%	49.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.7	13.5	34.9%	35.1%	40.5
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.2	77.5%	77.3%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.8	31.6	57.6%	54.0%	63.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.3	13.4	35.9%	35.1%	40.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.8	74.9%	77.3%	17.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Boston Celtics

WWWWWLWWWW

Dallas Mavericks

LLWWWLLWWW

League position

#14

+4.2

Net rating

+6.0

109.8

Offensive rating

112.7

105.6

Defensive rating

106.8

52.8%

Effective FG%

56.6%

51.9%

Opp. effective FG%

51.8%

13.4%

Turnover %

15.4%

24.9%

Off. rebound %

31.0%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.27

34.7%

3-point %

37.1%

65.3%

Assist %

63.1%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Boston Celtics ■ Dallas Mavericks

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boston Celtics wins

Dallas Mavericks wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/26	Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks	120-100
04/02/26	Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics	100-110
07/02/25	Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks	120-127
25/01/25	Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics	107-122
18/06/24	Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks	106-88
15/06/24	Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics	122-84
13/06/24	Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics	99-106
10/06/24	Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks	105-98
07/06/24	Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks	107-89
02/03/24	Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks	138-110

Boston Celticslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	A	Toronto Raptors	98-93
11/11/26	A	Philadelphia 76ers	123-101
09/11/26	A	Milwaukee Bucks	117-97
07/11/26	A	Charlotte Hornets	119-80
05/11/26	H	Milwaukee Bucks	109-102
03/11/26	A	Houston Rockets	93-109
01/11/26	A	Orlando Magic	108-97
30/10/26	H	Chicago Bulls	125-111
27/10/26	H	Brooklyn Nets	125-124 OT
26/10/26	H	Chicago Bulls	134-99

Dallas Maverickslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	117-127
13/11/26	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	94-133
10/11/26	H	Indiana Pacers	125-122
09/11/26	H	Brooklyn Nets	130-93
07/11/26	H	Utah Jazz	112-100
05/11/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	111-112
03/11/26	H	Sacramento Kings	100-115
31/10/26	H	Houston Rockets	116-111
29/10/26	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	120-96
26/10/26	A	Miami Heat	113-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	83%	100%	71%
Points / game	114.2	120.0	110.1
Allowed / game	103.1	107.8	99.7
Point differential	+11.2	+12.2	+10.4
Avg total	217.3	227.8	209.9
Over 217.5	42%	60%	29%
Win by 10+	50%	40%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	20%	0%

Dallas Mavericks

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	54%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	71%	33%
Points / game	113.5	115.6	111.0
Allowed / game	113.3	108.4	119.0
Point differential	+0.2	+7.1	-8.0
Avg total	226.8	224.0	230.0
Over 217.5	77%	57%	100%
Win by 10+	31%	43%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Antonio Spurs	13	11	2	85%	119.5	106.2	+13.2
2	Los Angeles Lakers	13	11	2	85%	122.2	114.2	+7.9
3	Boston Celtics	12	10	2	83%	114.2	103.1	+11.2
4	Houston Rockets	13	10	3	77%	116.2	107.4	+8.8
5	Philadelphia 76ers	13	10	3	77%	111.2	109.4	+1.8
6	Portland Trail Blazers	12	9	3	75%	119.6	111.8	+7.8
7	Minnesota Timberwolves	13	9	4	69%	118.3	106.8	+11.5
8	Memphis Grizzlies	13	9	4	69%	120.6	111.7	+8.9
9	Detroit Pistons	12	8	4	67%	115.7	110.2	+5.4
10	Denver Nuggets	11	7	4	64%	114.6	112.8	+1.8
11	Golden State Warriors	13	8	5	62%	116.7	112.4	+4.3
12	Oklahoma City Thunder	13	8	5	62%	111.2	107.4	+3.8
13	Atlanta Hawks	13	7	6	54%	118.2	116.8	+1.3
14	Dallas Mavericks	13	7	6	54%	113.5	113.3	+0.2
15	Miami Heat	13	7	6	54%	118.7	119.8	-1.2
16	New York Knicks	12	6	6	50%	109.8	103.7	+6.1
17	Cleveland Cavaliers	14	7	7	50%	117.5	115.9	+1.6
18	Phoenix Suns	11	5	6	45%	111.7	116.1	-4.4
19	Toronto Raptors	12	5	7	42%	114.2	112.8	+1.4
20	Orlando Magic	12	5	7	42%	108.3	112.8	-4.4
21	Indiana Pacers	13	5	8	38%	111.2	113.2	-2.1
22	Charlotte Hornets	12	4	8	33%	98.6	109.6	-11.0
23	Washington Wizards	13	4	9	31%	110.0	115.8	-5.8
24	New Orleans Pelicans	14	4	10	29%	115.9	124.9	-9.1
25	Los Angeles Clippers	11	3	8	27%	112.3	117.5	-5.3
26	Brooklyn Nets	12	3	9	25%	110.2	116.4	-6.2
27	Chicago Bulls	12	3	9	25%	114.6	125.9	-11.3
28	Sacramento Kings	12	1	11	8%	108.2	120.9	-12.8
29	Utah Jazz	13	1	12	8%	107.5	118.6	-11.2
30	Milwaukee Bucks	13	1	12	8%	106.2	120.2	-14.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

← all games of the day

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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