PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 120-127
23-32 33-35 27-37 37-23
Position#3
Record36-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#17
Record26-24
FormWWLLL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
15 Nov 2026
BOS v DAL
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BOS120
DAL100
06 Feb 2025
BOS120
DAL127
17 Jun 2024
BOS106
DAL88
09 Jun 2024
BOS105
DAL98
06 Jun 2024
BOS107
DAL89
01 Mar 2024
BOS138
DAL110
23 Nov 2022
BOS125
DAL112
13 Mar 2022
BOS92
DAL95
31 Mar 2021
BOS108
DAL113
11 Nov 2019
BOS116
DAL106
04 Jan 2019
BOS114
DAL93
06 Dec 2017
BOS97
DAL90
16 Nov 2016
BOS90
DAL83
18 Nov 2015
BOS102
DAL106
02 Jan 2015
BOS101
DAL119
09 Feb 2014
BOS91
DAL102
12 Dec 2012
BOS117
DAL115
11 Jan 2012
BOS85
DAL90
04 Feb 2011
BOS97
DAL101
18 Jan 2010
BOS90
DAL99
25 Jan 2009
BOS124
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
115-119 OT
115
119
-4
100avg 110
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
125-85
125
85
+40
128avg 110
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
102avg 110
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-117
96
117
-21
81avg 110
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
122-107
122
107
+15
114avg 110
A25/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
112-114
112
114
-2
106avg 110
H28/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
122-100
122
100
+22
120avg 110
H30/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
118-116
118
116
+2
113avg 110
A01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-110
118
110
+8
118avg 110
A02/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
112-105
112
105
+7
103avg 110
A05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
15-31
30-21
26-31
29-18
25-21
43-24
28-22
33-34
27-25
21-25
22-19
23-34
25-33
20-16
28-34
25-29
34-20
37-27
26-31
27-31
25-23
37-31
23-29
26-23
41-28
29-25
26-24
31-34
28-19
32-33
27-30
21-29
23-32
36-33
38-16
28-15
26-29
33-31
25-30
224.3Avg total
115.7Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)117.2108.4225.6+8.871%
Season at home (25)118.0109.2227.1+8.864%
Season away (26)116.5107.7224.2+8.877%
Last 10 (10)115.7108.6224.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)116.4109.0225.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)102.0105.0207.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)116.1107.6223.8+8.564%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
106-98
106
98
+8
105avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
105-110
105
110
-5
96avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
114-115
114
115
-1
104avg 106
H23/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-115
121
115
+6
121avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 106
H25/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-108
130
108
+22
136avg 106
H28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
137-136
137
136
+1
136avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
102-117
102
117
-15
91avg 106
A01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
101-144
101
144
-43
82avg 106
A02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
116-118
116
118
-2
109avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
41-17
14-33
29-22
27-24
28-31
28-27
22-28
22-17
31-38
29-31
32-29
33-34
27-28
31-21
30-32
29-25
20-34
27-37
31-26
42-16
31-27
28-33
29-32
35-32
22-31
40-30
40-43
32-28
26-34
27-31
17-24
19-50
27-41
29-28
26-25
31-36
34-22
22-36
29-24
232.2Avg total
113.9Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)115.5113.3228.8+2.252%
Season at home (24)114.3108.7223.0+5.758%
Season away (26)116.6117.5234.2-0.946%
Last 10 (10)113.9118.3232.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)117.2124.6241.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)108.5116.1224.6-7.633%
vs Similar (11)114.3112.6226.9+1.655%
vs Weaker (6)123.5115.3238.8+8.250%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Boston CelticsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A25/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H28/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H30/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A02/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A05/02
NBA
107.4Avg total
54.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.7111.6+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.254.3112.5+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)57.753.0110.7+4.773%-
Last 10 (10)54.552.9107.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.6107.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)59.549.5109.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)57.954.0111.8+3.964%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H23/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H25/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
73-43
73
43
+30
H28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A30/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
46-91
46
91
-45
A02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A05/02
NBA
117.0Avg total
57.9Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.8115.3-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.054.5109.5+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)59.860.6120.4-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)57.959.1117.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)59.863.4123.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)52.858.3111.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (11)59.958.5118.5+1.464%-
vs Weaker (6)63.255.3118.5+7.850%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.8
53.0%
54.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.417.5
37.7%
35.9%52.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.6
80.0%
77.8%15.6
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.629.3
55.7%
54.3%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.212.3
34.9%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.218.4
79.3%
77.8%18.4
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWWLWLLW
#3
League position
#17
+7.0
Net rating
-4.4
114.5
Offensive rating
113.3
107.4
Defensive rating
117.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
10.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.7%
3-point %
34.9%
68.0%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 113.3Defence107.4 · 117.7Shooting54.8% · 54.4%3-point %37.7% · 34.9%Ball care10.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.7% · 27.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers112-105
02/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers118-110
01/02/25ANew Orleans Pelicans118-116
30/01/25HChicago Bulls122-100
28/01/25HHouston Rockets112-114
25/01/25ADallas Mavericks122-107
24/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-117
23/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers117-113 OT
20/01/25AGolden State Warriors125-85
19/01/25HAtlanta Hawks115-119 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers116-118
02/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers101-144
01/02/25ADetroit Pistons102-117
30/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans137-136
28/01/25HWashington Wizards130-108
25/01/25HBoston Celtics107-122
24/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-115
23/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-115
20/01/25ACharlotte Hornets105-110
18/01/25HOklahoma City Thunder106-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %71%64%77%
Points / game117.2118.0116.5
Allowed / game108.4109.2107.7
Point differential+8.8+8.8+8.8
Avg total225.6227.1224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)56% (9)50% (6)
Overtime %10%12%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayWWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %52%58%46%
Points / game115.5114.3116.6
Allowed / game113.3108.7117.5
Point differential+2.2+5.7-0.9
Avg total228.8223.0234.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)33% (3)27% (11)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4738981%117.8104.8+13.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers51411080%122.2111.9+10.3
3 Boston Celtics51361571%117.2108.4+8.8
4 Memphis Grizzlies51351669%123.8115.4+8.3
5 New York Knicks50341668%118.3111.4+6.8
6 Houston Rockets48311765%114.2108.9+5.3
7 Denver Nuggets51321963%121.0116.5+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers48291960%112.4112.0+0.4
9 Indiana Pacers49282157%115.6115.0+0.6
10 Los Angeles Clippers50282256%110.0107.5+2.6
11 Minnesota Timberwolves51282355%111.4108.0+3.3
12 Milwaukee Bucks47252253%114.3112.9+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks50262452%115.5113.3+2.2
14 Miami Heat49252451%111.0110.8+0.1
15 Golden State Warriors49252451%111.9112.2-0.2
16 Sacramento Kings50252550%116.3115.5+0.8
17 Phoenix Suns50252550%113.0114.4-1.4
18 Detroit Pistons51252649%112.7113.8-1.1
19 Orlando Magic51252649%104.0105.3-1.3
20 San Antonio Spurs48222646%112.8114.3-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks49222745%116.5119.7-3.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers51222943%109.1114.1-5.1
23 Chicago Bulls52223042%116.7120.1-3.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers50203040%109.1112.6-3.6
25 Brooklyn Nets51173433%105.3112.2-6.9
26 Toronto Raptors51163531%111.2116.8-5.6
27 Charlotte Hornets48123625%106.9112.2-5.3
28 Utah Jazz49123724%111.6118.6-7.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans51123924%110.0118.8-8.7
30 Washington Wizards5094118%107.5121.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics23332737120
Dallas Mavericks32353723127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.