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Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 120-100
21-22 37-31 32-27 30-20
Position#5
Record41-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game107.1
vs
Position#24
Record21-41
FormLLLLL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game117.6
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
15 Nov 2026
BOS v DAL
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BOS120
DAL100
06 Feb 2025
BOS120
DAL127
17 Jun 2024
BOS106
DAL88
09 Jun 2024
BOS105
DAL98
06 Jun 2024
BOS107
DAL89
01 Mar 2024
BOS138
DAL110
23 Nov 2022
BOS125
DAL112
13 Mar 2022
BOS92
DAL95
31 Mar 2021
BOS108
DAL113
11 Nov 2019
BOS116
DAL106
04 Jan 2019
BOS114
DAL93
06 Dec 2017
BOS97
DAL90
16 Nov 2016
BOS90
DAL83
18 Nov 2015
BOS102
DAL106
02 Jan 2015
BOS101
DAL119
09 Feb 2014
BOS91
DAL102
12 Dec 2012
BOS117
DAL115
11 Jan 2012
BOS85
DAL90
04 Feb 2011
BOS97
DAL101
18 Jan 2010
BOS90
DAL99
25 Jan 2009
BOS124
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-111
89
111
-22
75avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-105
124
105
+19
119avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-110
121
110
+11
126avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
111-89
111
89
+22
113avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
72avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-81
108
81
+27
105avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
89-118
89
118
-29
80avg 106
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
29-25
15-25
21-26
36-27
36-17
26-26
26-35
36-32
38-19
28-22
19-37
28-28
32-22
24-21
27-18
21-26
29-20
30-11
17-24
24-21
24-26
19-30
17-26
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
30-20
27-23
26-22
25-16
23-35
20-29
25-27
21-27
209.2Avg total
108.5Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)114.5107.1221.6+7.366%
Season at home (30)114.4107.8222.2+6.667%
Season away (32)114.5106.5221.0+8.066%
Last 10 (10)108.5100.7209.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)108.6102.2210.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)97.7106.1203.9-8.414%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)116.1102.4218.5+13.787%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
111-120
111
120
-9
101avg 104
A11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 104
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-122
111
122
-11
95avg 104
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-130
134
130
+4
127avg 104
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 104
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
121-130
121
130
-9
114avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-124
105
124
-19
94avg 104
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 104
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
90-117
90
117
-27
77avg 104
A04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
114-115
114
115
-1
109avg 104
A06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-36
32-29
27-31
36-24
31-36
32-28
19-32
22-28
25-40
32-29
31-27
23-26
36-33
35-33
32-29
31-35
36-29
40-35
23-27
24-23
28-42
28-26
32-32
33-30
20-34
24-30
26-37
35-23
25-36
24-22
20-25
18-17
23-31
25-26
24-35
18-25
33-26
29-34
26-31
26-24
229.6Avg total
110.0Scored
119.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)113.5117.6231.1-4.134%
Season at home (33)114.5116.6231.1-2.142%
Season away (29)112.4118.8231.1-6.424%
Last 10 (10)110.0119.6229.6-9.620%
Last 5 (5)103.4117.2220.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)110.2117.4227.6-7.216%
vs Similar (6)123.7122.8246.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (5)112.8112.0224.8+0.860%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Boston CelticsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
74-51
74
51
+23
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
43-64
43
64
-21
H05/03
NBA
109.7Avg total
58.5Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.851.6109.4+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.451.1108.5+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)58.252.1110.3+6.180%-
Last 10 (10)58.551.2109.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.2107.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)51.054.3105.3-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)59.950.7110.6+9.183%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A06/03
NBA
120.9Avg total
57.4Scored
63.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.961.0117.9-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.158.9113.9-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)58.763.2121.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)57.463.5120.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)51.861.4113.2-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)55.961.8117.7-5.821%-
vs Similar (6)61.060.5121.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)55.658.8114.4-3.240%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.525.3
54.4%
54.8%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.114.9
35.4%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws16.013.2
82.5%
78.1%13.2
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.030.5
52.6%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws29.921.7
72.6%
78.1%21.7
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWLWWWWL
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLLWWLLL
#5
League position
#24
+8.3
Net rating
-11.0
114.9
Offensive rating
105.8
106.7
Defensive rating
116.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.4%
3-point %
32.4%
67.7%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 105.8Defence106.7 · 116.8Shooting53.8% · 51.3%3-point %35.4% · 32.4%Ball care12.8% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 24.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HCharlotte Hornets89-118
03/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-81
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
26/02/26ADenver Nuggets84-103
25/02/26APhoenix Suns97-81
22/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers111-89
20/02/26AGolden State Warriors121-110
12/02/26HChicago Bulls124-105
08/02/26HNew York Knicks89-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AOrlando Magic114-115
04/03/26ACharlotte Hornets90-117
02/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder87-100
28/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-124
27/02/26HSacramento Kings121-130
25/02/26ABrooklyn Nets123-114
22/02/26AIndiana Pacers134-130
21/02/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-122
13/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers104-124
11/02/26APhoenix Suns111-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL66%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %66%67%66%
Points / game114.5114.4114.5
Allowed / game107.1107.8106.5
Point differential+7.3+6.6+8.0
Avg total221.6222.2221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL34%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLWWLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623329
Win %34%42%24%
Points / game113.5114.5112.4
Allowed / game117.6116.6118.8
Point differential-4.1-2.1-6.4
Avg total231.1231.1231.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)56% (9)38% (8)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons61451674%117.0109.6+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs60431772%118.1111.3+6.8
4 Boston Celtics62412166%114.5107.1+7.3
5 Minnesota Timberwolves63402363%119.0114.4+4.7
6 New York Knicks61382362%116.6110.8+5.8
7 Houston Rockets61382362%114.7109.5+5.2
8 Denver Nuggets63392462%120.4116.0+4.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers61372461%115.7115.0+0.7
11 Toronto Raptors61352657%113.8112.0+1.8
12 Phoenix Suns61352657%112.4110.7+1.7
13 Miami Heat62342855%120.2116.6+3.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers62342855%115.8115.9-0.1
15 Orlando Magic59322754%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors62323052%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Charlotte Hornets63323151%116.1112.3+3.8
18 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.6117.3+0.3
19 Los Angeles Clippers61303149%112.4112.0+0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers63303348%115.3118.3-2.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls63263741%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks62214134%113.5117.6-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans64204431%115.1120.2-5.1
26 Utah Jazz63194430%117.7125.2-7.6
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Indiana Pacers62154724%111.3119.7-8.4
29 Brooklyn Nets62154724%106.9115.7-8.9
30 Sacramento Kings64145022%110.4121.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics21373230120
Dallas Mavericks22312720100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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