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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-110
29-32 15-20 23-34 33-24
Position#24
Record19-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game116.6
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
Position#5
Record31-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game109.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics
30 Nov 2026
DAL v BOS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DAL100
BOS110
25 Jan 2025
DAL107
BOS122
14 Jun 2024
DAL122
BOS84
12 Jun 2024
DAL99
BOS106
22 Jan 2024
DAL110
BOS119
05 Jan 2023
DAL95
BOS124
06 Nov 2021
DAL107
BOS104
23 Feb 2021
DAL110
BOS107
18 Dec 2019
DAL103
BOS109
24 Nov 2018
DAL113
BOS104
20 Nov 2017
DAL102
BOS110
13 Feb 2017
DAL98
BOS111
18 Jan 2016
DAL118
BOS113
03 Nov 2014
DAL118
BOS113
17 Mar 2014
DAL94
BOS89
22 Mar 2013
DAL104
BOS94
20 Feb 2012
DAL89
BOS73
08 Nov 2010
DAL89
BOS87
20 Mar 2010
DAL93
BOS102
12 Feb 2009
DAL92
BOS99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-105
113
105
+8
107avg 104
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
109-118
109
118
-9
91avg 104
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-122
144
122
+22
145avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
138-120
138
120
+18
136avg 104
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
114-97
114
97
+17
111avg 104
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
123-115
123
115
+8
122avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
110-116
110
116
-6
94avg 104
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
105-118
105
118
-13
97avg 104
H29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
121-123
121
123
-2
110avg 104
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
107-111
107
111
-4
92avg 104
A01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
24-22
28-32
29-28
23-29
23-34
32-25
31-30
35-24
35-26
42-29
32-43
42-29
29-30
35-35
32-26
31-22
44-25
19-24
20-26
24-27
31-23
29-39
39-26
28-37
24-28
35-14
23-37
29-31
19-27
27-34
30-26
20-33
38-26
35-34
28-30
28-31
23-28
31-28
25-24
232.9Avg total
118.4Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)114.1116.6230.7-2.539%
Season at home (28)115.8116.0231.9-0.250%
Season away (21)111.8117.3229.1-5.624%
Last 10 (10)118.4114.5232.9+3.950%
Last 5 (5)113.2116.6229.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)116.0117.5233.6-1.545%
vs Similar (6)124.8123.7248.5+1.233%
vs Weaker (4)109.8106.8216.5+3.075%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
119-114
119
114
+5
112avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
132-106
132
106
+26
132avg 106
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
87avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
119-104
119
104
+15
117avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
116avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
111-114
111
114
-3
98avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
102-94
102
94
+8
89avg 106
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
100avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-93
112
93
+19
101avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
107-79
107
79
+28
101avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
29-28
29-29
36-21
30-23
52-28
35-23
15-32
29-26
22-33
31-25
21-20
30-20
36-26
25-32
28-26
28-28
21-27
29-26
26-23
28-30
30-22
27-36
26-26
32-11
20-26
23-28
27-29
18-38
28-22
30-27
30-30
40-25
32-21
17-20
23-27
26-26
30-16
22-19
29-18
219.2Avg total
114.1Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)116.1109.1225.2+7.063%
Season at home (24)115.4108.1223.5+7.367%
Season away (25)116.8110.0226.8+6.760%
Last 10 (10)114.1105.1219.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)107.699.4207.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)107.2109.4216.6-2.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)118.9107.8226.7+11.080%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
Dallas MavericksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
75-47
75
47
+28
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A01/02
NBA
113.7Avg total
58.2Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.6118.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.256.8116.0+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)58.362.4120.7-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)58.255.5113.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)52.858.2111.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)58.160.2118.3-2.140%-
vs Similar (6)64.860.2125.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)52.855.8108.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
82-51
82
51
+31
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H01/02
NBA
109.8Avg total
58.6Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.354.0114.3+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.050.1108.1+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)62.357.4119.7+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)58.651.2109.8+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)56.847.4104.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)55.854.4110.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.253.9115.1+7.372%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.8
54.6%
54.8%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.9
36.6%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws27.219.1
70.2%
78.1%19.1
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.626.7
52.8%
54.8%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.915.2
36.3%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
78.1%15.1
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWLWLWWLWW
#24
League position
#5
+3.8
Net rating
+9.1
114.1
Offensive rating
115.0
110.4
Defensive rating
105.9
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
12.0%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.6%
3-point %
36.3%
58.6%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 115.0Defence110.4 · 105.9Shooting54.7% · 53.5%3-point %36.6% · 36.3%Ball care12.2% · 12.0%Off. rebounds25.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dallas Mavericks wins
8
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks120-127
25/01/25Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics107-122
18/06/24Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks106-88
15/06/24Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics122-84
13/06/24Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics99-106
10/06/24Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks105-98
07/06/24Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks107-89
02/03/24Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks138-110
23/01/24Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics110-119
06/01/23Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics95-124
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AHouston Rockets107-111
30/01/26HCharlotte Hornets121-123
29/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves105-118
25/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers110-116
23/01/26HGolden State Warriors123-115
19/01/26ANew York Knicks114-97
17/01/26HUtah Jazz138-120
16/01/26HUtah Jazz144-122
15/01/26HDenver Nuggets109-118
13/01/26HBrooklyn Nets113-105
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-79
31/01/26HSacramento Kings112-93
29/01/26HAtlanta Hawks106-117
27/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers102-94
25/01/26AChicago Bulls111-114
24/01/26ABrooklyn Nets130-126 OT
22/01/26HIndiana Pacers119-104
20/01/26ADetroit Pistons103-104
18/01/26AAtlanta Hawks132-106
16/01/26AMiami Heat119-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492821
Win %39%50%24%
Points / game114.1115.8111.8
Allowed / game116.6116.0117.3
Point differential-2.5-0.2-5.6
Avg total230.7231.9229.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)56% (9)33% (6)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game116.1115.4116.8
Allowed / game109.1108.1110.0
Point differential+7.0+7.3+6.7
Avg total225.2223.5226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)33% (6)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder48381079%120.2108.4+11.8
2 Detroit Pistons49371276%117.5109.9+7.5
3 San Antonio Spurs47311666%116.7111.8+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets51331865%120.0115.9+4.1
5 Houston Rockets48311765%116.0110.0+6.0
6 Boston Celtics49311863%116.1109.1+7.0
7 New York Knicks48301862%117.6111.9+5.7
8 Los Angeles Lakers48301862%116.2115.9+0.4
9 Phoenix Suns49301961%114.3110.8+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves51312061%119.5114.5+4.9
11 Toronto Raptors50302060%113.8112.1+1.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%119.3116.2+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers49282157%116.9115.7+1.2
14 Golden State Warriors50272354%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Miami Heat51272453%120.1118.0+2.1
16 Orlando Magic46242252%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks52252748%117.4118.3-0.8
18 Chicago Bulls50242648%117.2119.9-2.7
19 Los Angeles Clippers49232647%112.7112.9-0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers50232746%115.1117.9-2.8
21 Charlotte Hornets51232845%116.0114.2+1.8
22 Memphis Grizzlies48192940%115.0116.8-1.8
23 Dallas Mavericks49193039%114.1116.6-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks47182938%111.1115.6-4.5
25 Utah Jazz51163531%118.3126.9-8.6
26 Brooklyn Nets49133627%107.1114.9-7.8
27 Washington Wizards49133627%112.1122.7-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers51133825%110.9118.7-7.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans52133925%114.0120.6-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings51123924%110.2120.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29152333100
Boston Celtics32203424110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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