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Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 138-110
38-32 28-27 36-31 36-20
Position#1
Record46-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#6
Record34-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.9
Allowed / game117.6
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
15 Nov 2026
BOS v DAL
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BOS120
DAL100
06 Feb 2025
BOS120
DAL127
17 Jun 2024
BOS106
DAL88
09 Jun 2024
BOS105
DAL98
06 Jun 2024
BOS107
DAL89
01 Mar 2024
BOS138
DAL110
23 Nov 2022
BOS125
DAL112
13 Mar 2022
BOS92
DAL95
31 Mar 2021
BOS108
DAL113
11 Nov 2019
BOS116
DAL106
04 Jan 2019
BOS114
DAL93
06 Dec 2017
BOS97
DAL90
16 Nov 2016
BOS90
DAL83
18 Nov 2015
BOS102
DAL106
02 Jan 2015
BOS101
DAL119
09 Feb 2014
BOS91
DAL102
12 Dec 2012
BOS117
DAL115
11 Jan 2012
BOS85
DAL90
04 Feb 2011
BOS97
DAL101
18 Jan 2010
BOS90
DAL99
25 Jan 2009
BOS124
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-114
105
114
-9
102avg 113
H02/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
131-91
131
91
+40
130avg 113
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
125-117
125
117
+8
125avg 113
H08/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
133-129
133
129
+4
129avg 113
H10/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
108avg 113
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
118-110
118
110
+8
116avg 113
A14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
136-86
136
86
+50
140avg 113
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
129-112
129
112
+17
124avg 113
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
116-102
116
102
+14
113avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
117-99
117
99
+18
122avg 113
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
21-32
32-28
27-26
29-20
41-30
29-26
32-15
35-37
36-30
24-23
30-27
31-35
33-36
36-16
33-42
26-22
33-28
27-29
24-27
36-30
36-27
26-25
20-28
30-15
38-17
33-23
35-31
31-23
28-39
37-21
33-29
30-26
32-32
35-26
19-18
30-30
23-21
33-24
31-24
228.6Avg total
122.0Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)120.8110.0230.9+10.881%
Season at home (30)122.4108.6230.9+13.890%
Season away (27)119.1111.7230.8+7.470%
Last 10 (10)122.0106.6228.6+15.490%
Last 5 (5)123.2101.8225.0+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.4110.2231.6+11.283%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
118-102
118
102
+16
113avg 109
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
119-107
119
107
+12
112avg 109
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
122-108
122
108
+14
121avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
146-111
146
111
+35
148avg 109
H10/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-104
112
104
+8
105avg 109
H13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
116-93
116
93
+23
117avg 109
H15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
123-113
123
113
+10
112avg 109
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-133
111
133
-22
94avg 109
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
119-121
119
121
-2
106avg 109
A28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
136-125
136
125
+11
135avg 109
A29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
27-24
24-17
41-28
31-24
34-23
30-30
24-30
28-22
31-26
28-23
35-37
47-30
24-32
39-27
36-22
26-22
25-36
27-30
34-16
25-32
31-19
32-14
28-28
32-33
28-30
36-28
27-22
32-32
28-35
31-33
20-33
24-23
32-37
26-23
37-38
36-34
30-33
40-25
30-33
233.9Avg total
122.2Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)118.9117.6236.5+1.358%
Season at home (31)120.5116.4236.8+4.158%
Season away (28)117.2119.0236.2-1.957%
Last 10 (10)122.2111.7233.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)121.0117.0238.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)128.0115.0243.0+13.050%
vs Similar (19)116.7119.6236.3-2.847%
vs Weaker (9)121.0113.2234.2+7.878%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Boston CelticsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H02/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H08/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H10/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H28/02
NBA
118.2Avg total
62.4Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.856.4118.3+5.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.455.1116.5+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)62.457.9120.3+4.486%-
Last 10 (10)62.455.8118.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)62.852.0114.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)61.956.4118.2+5.576%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A09/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H10/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A29/02
NBA
117.7Avg total
59.7Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.158.2118.3+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.158.6119.8+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)58.857.7116.5+1.131%-
Last 10 (10)59.758.0117.7+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)59.661.6121.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.063.5128.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (19)59.057.9116.9+1.147%-
vs Weaker (9)61.357.7119.0+3.744%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 122.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.729.3
62.7%
54.4%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.715.9
39.1%
36.3%47.7
🏀 Free throws18.615.7
84.4%
78.2%15.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 122.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.030.9
59.4%
54.4%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.315.1
39.4%
36.3%45.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
78.2%15.1
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWWWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#6
+15.7
Net rating
+10.2
124.0
Offensive rating
118.8
108.4
Defensive rating
108.6
60.8%
Effective FG%
59.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
39.4%
62.6%
Assist %
57.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence124.0 · 118.8Defence108.4 · 108.6Shooting60.8% · 59.3%3-point %39.1% · 39.4%Ball care11.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds23.9% · 20.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HPhiladelphia 76ers117-99
25/02/24ANew York Knicks116-102
23/02/24AChicago Bulls129-112
15/02/24HBrooklyn Nets136-86
14/02/24ABrooklyn Nets118-110
11/02/24AMiami Heat110-106
10/02/24HWashington Wizards133-129
08/02/24HAtlanta Hawks125-117
04/02/24HMemphis Grizzlies131-91
02/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers105-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24AToronto Raptors136-125
28/02/24ACleveland Cavaliers119-121
25/02/24AIndiana Pacers111-133
23/02/24HPhoenix Suns123-113
15/02/24HSan Antonio Spurs116-93
13/02/24HWashington Wizards112-104
10/02/24HOklahoma City Thunder146-111
09/02/24ANew York Knicks122-108
07/02/24ABrooklyn Nets119-107
06/02/24APhiladelphia 76ers118-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573027
Win %81%90%70%
Points / game120.8122.4119.1
Allowed / game110.0108.6111.7
Point differential+10.8+13.8+7.4
Avg total230.9230.9230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)80% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %9%7%11%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593128
Win %58%58%57%
Points / game118.9120.5117.2
Allowed / game117.6116.4119.0
Point differential+1.3+4.1-1.9
Avg total236.5236.8236.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%26%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)71% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics57461181%120.8110.0+10.8
2 Minnesota Timberwolves59421771%113.6106.3+7.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder59411869%121.2113.3+7.9
4 Denver Nuggets60411968%114.4110.2+4.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers59392066%114.6109.6+5.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks58382066%121.3117.1+4.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers57372065%117.5112.9+4.5
8 Phoenix Suns58352360%117.6114.4+3.2
9 New York Knicks59352459%113.4109.3+4.1
10 New Orleans Pelicans58342459%116.3111.4+4.9
11 Sacramento Kings57332458%118.1117.7+0.4
12 Philadelphia 76ers59342558%117.1113.7+3.4
13 Dallas Mavericks59342558%118.9117.6+1.3
14 Orlando Magic60342657%111.5110.2+1.3
15 Miami Heat59332656%110.4109.7+0.6
16 Indiana Pacers58322655%123.9122.2+1.7
17 Golden State Warriors58312753%119.1117.0+2.1
18 Los Angeles Lakers59312853%117.1118.3-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls59283147%111.9113.1-1.2
20 Utah Jazz60273345%117.5120.4-2.9
21 Atlanta Hawks59263344%120.7122.9-2.1
22 Houston Rockets59253442%112.7113.1-0.4
23 Brooklyn Nets59233639%112.1114.5-2.4
24 Toronto Raptors59223737%114.6117.8-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies59203934%106.4112.7-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers57154226%107.2116.3-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets60154525%107.6118.1-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs60124820%112.3120.6-8.3
29 Detroit Pistons5995015%112.5121.1-8.7
30 Washington Wizards5995015%114.6124.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics38283636138
Dallas Mavericks32273120110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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