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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 111-142
38-51 22-28 23-33 28-30
Position#4
Record29-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#2
Record29-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
102-99
102
99
+3
104avg 107
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
122-118
122
118
+4
125avg 107
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-108
115
108
+7
115avg 107
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
123-110
123
110
+13
112avg 107
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
113-125
113
125
-12
106avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-99
103
99
+4
104avg 107
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
121-100
121
100
+21
117avg 107
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-113
116
113
+3
108avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
30-24
17-28
24-24
36-16
26-33
28-29
32-40
28-32
27-24
27-28
33-24
30-30
23-36
31-18
33-29
31-26
27-30
31-28
34-26
35-33
25-37
29-26
24-29
24-18
25-34
27-24
27-23
37-25
28-29
28-22
28-24
23-31
24-29
22-21
24-21
34-32
24-28
35-28
23-25
221.2Avg total
112.5Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)110.4105.5215.9+4.969%
Season at home (21)113.4102.1215.5+11.286%
Season away (21)107.5108.9216.3-1.452%
Last 10 (10)112.5108.7221.2+3.880%
Last 5 (5)109.2107.8217.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.8106.0214.8+2.873%
vs Weaker (13)113.8107.0220.8+6.869%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
129-127
129
127
+2
117avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
101-127
101
127
-26
87avg 110
H26/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
104avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
115-105
115
105
+10
113avg 110
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
132-109
132
109
+23
133avg 110
A01/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
134-135 OT
134
135
-1
130avg 110
H04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
127-123
127
123
+4
124avg 110
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
122-95
122
95
+27
123avg 110
H09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
146-109
146
109
+37
152avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
119-114
119
114
+5
110avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-36
31-35
36-23
26-33
25-32
25-33
32-26
19-36
28-27
18-25
25-23
31-27
30-27
28-23
35-33
22-22
31-27
38-25
39-35
24-22
34-22
36-31
28-39
21-27
43-29
27-40
26-34
31-20
31-25
30-24
33-19
28-27
43-17
33-38
40-21
30-33
25-29
37-25
30-34
27-26
238.8Avg total
123.4Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)117.4111.7229.1+5.767%
Season at home (23)117.8111.4229.2+6.474%
Season away (20)117.0112.1229.1+4.960%
Last 10 (10)123.4115.4238.8+8.070%
Last 5 (5)129.6115.2244.8+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)109.3112.4221.7-3.130%
vs Weaker (20)118.5112.0230.5+6.675%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A08/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H14/01
NBA
113.8Avg total
56.8Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.3113.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.954.0112.9+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)56.956.4113.4+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.0113.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.859.2115.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)57.353.1110.3+4.260%-
vs Weaker (13)58.558.0116.5+0.554%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H26/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A01/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A14/01
NBA
119.9Avg total
62.9Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.5114.2+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.956.1113.1+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)58.656.8115.4+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)62.957.0119.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)67.856.0123.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.153.7106.8-0.640%-
vs Weaker (20)60.157.9118.0+2.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.3
53.8%
51.7%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.4
36.4%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
76.6%15.7
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 123.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.231.0
56.2%
51.7%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.614.8
38.3%
35.4%44.4
🏀 Free throws21.117.0
80.6%
76.6%17.0
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWWWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWWLLW
#4
League position
#2
+3.9
Net rating
+7.7
114.7
Offensive rating
118.4
110.8
Defensive rating
110.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
56.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.4%
3-point %
38.3%
66.3%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 118.4Defence110.8 · 110.7Shooting54.1% · 56.7%3-point %36.4% · 38.3%Ball care13.8% · 12.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 24.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/19HPortland Trail Blazers116-113
13/01/19APhoenix Suns93-102
11/01/19HLos Angeles Clippers121-100
09/01/19AMiami Heat103-99
08/01/19AHouston Rockets113-125
05/01/19HCharlotte Hornets123-110
04/01/19ASacramento Kings117-113
02/01/19HNew York Knicks115-108
30/12/18APhoenix Suns122-118
29/12/18HSan Antonio Spurs102-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/19ADallas Mavericks119-114
12/01/19HChicago Bulls146-109
09/01/19HNew York Knicks122-95
06/01/19ASacramento Kings127-123
04/01/19HHouston Rockets134-135 OT
01/01/19APhoenix Suns132-109
30/12/18APortland Trail Blazers115-105
28/12/18HPortland Trail Blazers109-110 OT
26/12/18HLos Angeles Lakers101-127
24/12/18HLos Angeles Clippers129-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %69%86%52%
Points / game110.4113.4107.5
Allowed / game105.5102.1108.9
Point differential+4.9+11.2-1.4
Avg total215.9215.5216.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won85% (13)80% (5)88% (8)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLLWW74%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432320
Win %67%74%60%
Points / game117.4117.8117.0
Allowed / game111.7111.4112.1
Point differential+5.7+6.4+4.9
Avg total229.1229.2229.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)60% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %9%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors45331273%114.0108.5+5.5
2 Milwaukee Bucks43311272%117.8107.8+10.0
3 Denver Nuggets42291369%110.4105.5+4.9
4 Indiana Pacers43291467%109.0103.0+6.0
5 Golden State Warriors43291467%117.4111.7+5.7
6 Philadelphia 76ers45291664%115.4112.4+2.9
7 Oklahoma City Thunder43261760%113.1108.2+4.9
8 Boston Celtics43251858%111.7105.7+6.0
9 Houston Rockets43251858%111.3109.2+2.1
10 Portland Trail Blazers45261958%111.8110.0+1.8
11 Los Angeles Clippers43241956%115.3114.3+1.0
12 San Antonio Spurs45252056%111.8109.4+2.4
13 Utah Jazz45242153%107.8105.0+2.8
14 Los Angeles Lakers44232152%111.4110.6+0.8
15 Sacramento Kings44232152%114.7115.4-0.8
16 Miami Heat42212150%106.2106.1+0.1
17 Brooklyn Nets45222349%110.7111.3-0.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans44212348%117.0114.8+2.2
19 Minnesota Timberwolves44212348%111.5111.9-0.4
20 Dallas Mavericks43202347%110.0109.7+0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets43202347%112.0111.8+0.2
22 Memphis Grizzlies43192444%100.9102.9-2.0
23 Orlando Magic43192444%103.3107.2-3.9
24 Detroit Pistons42182443%106.6109.5-2.8
25 Washington Wizards44182641%113.5116.8-3.3
26 Atlanta Hawks44143032%109.9117.8-7.9
27 Phoenix Suns45113424%105.9114.6-8.7
28 New York Knicks43103323%107.3115.8-8.5
29 Chicago Bulls43103323%100.9111.0-10.1
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4493520%102.7113.3-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets38222328111
Golden State Warriors51283330142
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