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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-119
36-30 25-31 26-30 16-28
Position#15
Record29-26
FormWLWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game117.4
vs
Position#3
Record38-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Chase Center (San Francisco)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
134-141 OT
134
141
-7
121avg 114
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 114
A06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
127-104
127
104
+23
125avg 114
A08/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
131-109
131
109
+22
133avg 114
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
107avg 114
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
129-107
129
107
+22
124avg 114
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
125-130
125
130
-5
117avg 114
H15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
140-137
140
137
+3
143avg 114
A16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
128-110
128
110
+18
119avg 114
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 114
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
31-36
25-25
34-34
20-23
23-26
32-21
34-28
15-22
33-23
43-23
36-36
45-34
25-24
25-18
36-33
33-28
26-30
25-24
29-30
34-26
29-29
30-25
36-27
30-23
29-29
38-34
28-44
36-39
48-32
36-31
20-35
31-28
36-28
31-26
30-28
22-15
21-14
30-23
24-32
236.5Avg total
123.3Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)119.5117.4236.9+2.153%
Season at home (30)118.0117.7235.7+0.353%
Season away (25)121.2117.1238.3+4.252%
Last 10 (10)123.3113.2236.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)123.8113.6237.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)132.0126.0258.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)123.1122.7245.8+0.444%
vs Weaker (13)121.2113.5234.7+7.677%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 109
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
86avg 109
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
120-108
120
108
+12
122avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
112-103
112
103
+9
107avg 109
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
114-106
114
106
+8
113avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
106-135
106
135
-29
96avg 109
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
95-112
95
112
-17
82avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 109
H15/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-110
130
110
+20
139avg 109
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
127-112
127
112
+15
133avg 109
A24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
31-30
26-19
31-32
28-19
23-28
21-26
28-32
33-20
26-35
33-29
28-24
25-37
35-26
26-21
26-19
29-23
30-26
24-30
31-27
35-32
22-35
29-39
20-29
23-28
21-32
19-31
32-21
27-16
26-25
21-30
24-31
38-25
34-24
29-34
29-27
25-20
38-28
32-29
32-35
221.5Avg total
111.5Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)114.5110.8225.3+3.667%
Season at home (27)119.1109.6228.7+9.681%
Season away (30)110.3112.0222.2-1.753%
Last 10 (10)111.5110.0221.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)111.2114.2225.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.1114.4225.5-3.450%
vs Weaker (13)119.1107.3226.4+11.892%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A08/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H24/02
NBA
113.7Avg total
60.0Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.058.1117.1+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.259.4117.6-1.250%-
Last 30 away (12)60.256.2116.3+4.075%-
Last 10 (10)60.053.7113.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)63.252.6115.8+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.065.0127.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.160.2119.2-1.150%-
vs Weaker (13)58.755.0113.7+3.777%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A24/02
NBA
110.9Avg total
57.4Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.856.4115.3+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.353.9114.3+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)57.358.9116.3-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)57.453.5110.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.157.9116.1+0.250%-
vs Weaker (13)60.054.2114.2+5.862%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 123.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.931.0
53.5%
54.4%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.515.9
39.3%
36.3%47.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
78.2%13.6
They take 98.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.832.4
54.2%
54.4%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.7
34.4%
36.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
78.2%14.6
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWLWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLWWWLW
#15
League position
#3
+9.6
Net rating
+1.5
117.2
Offensive rating
113.1
107.6
Defensive rating
111.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.3%
3-point %
34.4%
66.7%
Assist %
69.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 113.1Defence107.6 · 111.6Shooting55.7% · 53.3%3-point %39.3% · 34.4%Ball care12.6% · 12.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HCharlotte Hornets97-84
23/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers128-110
16/02/24AUtah Jazz140-137
15/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers125-130
13/02/24AUtah Jazz129-107
11/02/24HPhoenix Suns113-112
09/02/24AIndiana Pacers131-109
08/02/24APhiladelphia 76ers127-104
06/02/24ABrooklyn Nets109-98
04/02/24AAtlanta Hawks134-141 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24APortland Trail Blazers127-112
23/02/24HWashington Wizards130-110
15/02/24HSacramento Kings98-102
13/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks95-112
10/02/24ASacramento Kings106-135
09/02/24ALos Angeles Lakers114-106
05/02/24HPortland Trail Blazers112-103
03/02/24HPortland Trail Blazers120-108
01/02/24AOklahoma City Thunder100-105
30/01/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeWWLWW53%
AwayWWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games553025
Win %53%53%52%
Points / game119.5118.0121.2
Allowed / game117.4117.7117.1
Point differential+2.1+0.3+4.2
Avg total236.9235.7238.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)50% (12)38% (8)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %67%81%53%
Points / game114.5119.1110.3
Allowed / game110.8109.6112.0
Point differential+3.6+9.6-1.7
Avg total225.3228.7222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%52%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)40% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics56451180%120.9110.2+10.7
2 Minnesota Timberwolves57401770%113.6106.4+7.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder56391770%121.4113.4+8.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers55371867%117.7112.7+5.1
5 Denver Nuggets57381967%114.5110.8+3.6
6 Cleveland Cavaliers56371966%114.4109.2+5.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks56362064%121.4118.0+3.4
8 New York Knicks56342261%114.1109.2+4.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans55332260%116.6111.5+5.1
10 Phoenix Suns57342360%117.7114.6+3.1
11 Sacramento Kings54322259%118.6117.8+0.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers57332458%117.3113.7+3.7
13 Dallas Mavericks57332458%118.6117.4+1.2
14 Orlando Magic57322556%111.8110.8+1.0
15 Indiana Pacers56312555%123.9122.2+1.7
16 Miami Heat56312555%110.5110.1+0.4
17 Golden State Warriors55292653%119.5117.4+2.1
18 Los Angeles Lakers57292851%116.8118.2-1.4
19 Chicago Bulls56263046%111.8113.2-1.4
20 Utah Jazz57263146%117.8120.6-2.8
21 Houston Rockets56253145%113.2112.9+0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks56243243%121.3123.9-2.6
23 Brooklyn Nets56213538%112.5115.5-3.0
24 Toronto Raptors57213637%114.2117.4-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies57203735%106.9112.8-5.9
26 Portland Trail Blazers55154027%107.9116.9-8.9
27 Charlotte Hornets56144225%108.3118.8-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs57114619%112.1120.6-8.5
29 Washington Wizards5794816%114.4124.2-9.8
30 Detroit Pistons5684814%112.8121.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors36252616103
Denver Nuggets30313028119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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