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Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game123.4
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#18
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder
12 Mar 2027
BOS v OKC
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
BOS119
OKC109
12 Mar 2025
BOS112
OKC118
03 Apr 2024
BOS135
OKC100
14 Nov 2022
BOS126
OKC122
20 Nov 2021
BOS111
OKC105
27 Apr 2021
BOS115
OKC119
24 Jul 2020
BOS84
OKC98
08 Mar 2020
BOS104
OKC105
03 Feb 2019
BOS134
OKC129
20 Mar 2018
BOS100
OKC99
23 Dec 2016
BOS112
OKC117
16 Mar 2016
BOS109
OKC130
12 Nov 2014
BOS94
OKC109
24 Jan 2014
BOS83
OKC101
23 Nov 2012
BOS108
OKC100
16 Jan 2012
BOS88
OKC97
19 Nov 2010
BOS84
OKC89
31 Mar 2010
BOS104
OKC109
29 Mar 2009
BOS103
OKC84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Boston Celtics
5.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 116.2
120.8▲ 4.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 107.2
111.6▲ 4.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
59%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.9
27.8▲ 1.8
🔥 Form · Oklahoma City Thunder
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.7
108.2▼ 7.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 108.8
104.6▼ 4.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
55%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.1
23.2▼ 2.8
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
100-109
100
109
-9
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
124-113
124
113
+11
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
144-106
144
106
+38
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-93
114
93
+21
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
125-120 OT
125
120
+5
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
113-121
113
121
-8
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
107-103
107
103
+4
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
134-99
134
99
+35
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
125-111
125
111
+14
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
32-29
39-33
28-34
25-17
24-20
39-22
41-27
40-37
28-20
26-24
31-33
29-16
34-28
24-32
26-34
31-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
231.0Avg total
121.1Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)123.4110.0233.4+13.489%
Season at home (6)124.8106.0230.8+18.8100%
Season away (3)120.7118.0238.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)121.1109.9231.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)120.8111.6232.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)113.0105.5218.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)117.3107.7225.0+9.673%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H07/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
L
126-128
126
128
-2
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
89-116
89
116
-27
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
96-120
96
120
-24
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
33-24
26-38
17-26
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
219.8Avg total
109.0Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)109.0110.8219.8-1.850%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (4)102.8113.2216.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)109.0110.8219.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)108.2104.6212.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)105.0111.0216.0-6.033%
vs Similar (12)107.2110.2217.4-2.950%
vs Weaker (15)121.9109.9231.8+11.980%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
Boston CelticsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
60.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.152.5111.5+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.152.3110.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (12)60.552.8113.2+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)60.452.1112.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.6113.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)55.054.2109.2+0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.752.2111.9+7.565%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H07/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
58.2Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.5113.2+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.354.8115.1+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)56.954.2111.1+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)58.254.3112.5+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.2106.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)53.751.3105.0+2.333%-
vs Similar (12)54.154.1108.2+0.033%-
vs Weaker (15)63.555.5118.9+8.073%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.4
53.8%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.415.6
35.1%
34.9%46.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
76.2%18.3
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.2%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLWLLL
#1
League position
#18
+7.6
Net rating
-0.2
105.3
Offensive rating
99.0
97.7
Defensive rating
99.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.1%
3-point %
36.0%
65.2%
Assist %
61.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 99.0Defence97.7 · 99.2Shooting53.3% · 52.3%3-point %35.1% · 36.0%Ball care13.0% · 14.0%Off. rebounds21.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
16/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-120 OT
14/10/26HCharlotte Hornets114-93
11/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers144-106
08/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers124-113
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128
07/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans110-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game123.4124.8120.7
Allowed / game110.0106.0118.0
Point differential+13.4+18.8+2.7
Avg total233.4230.8238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%17%33%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game109.0113.2102.8
Allowed / game110.8109.2113.2
Point differential-1.8+4.0-10.5
Avg total219.8222.3216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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