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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 104-102
27-28 29-31 24-24 24-19
Position#1
Record50-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#5
Record43-22
FormWLWWL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game107.2
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
17 Feb 2027
OKC v BOS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
OKC104
BOS102
05 Jan 2025
OKC105
BOS92
02 Jan 2024
OKC127
BOS123
03 Jan 2023
OKC150
BOS117
21 Mar 2022
OKC123
BOS132
27 Mar 2021
OKC94
BOS111
09 Feb 2020
OKC111
BOS112
25 Oct 2018
OKC95
BOS101
03 Nov 2017
OKC94
BOS101
11 Dec 2016
OKC99
BOS96
15 Nov 2015
OKC85
BOS100
18 Mar 2015
OKC122
BOS118
05 Jan 2014
OKC119
BOS96
10 Mar 2013
OKC91
BOS79
22 Feb 2012
OKC119
BOS104
07 Nov 2010
OKC83
BOS92
04 Dec 2009
OKC87
BOS105
05 Nov 2008
OKC83
BOS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
105-86
105
86
+19
99avg 109
H21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
121-113
121
113
+8
118avg 109
H22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
116-107
116
107
+9
109avg 109
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
116-124
116
124
-8
102avg 109
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
127-121 OT
127
121
+6
123avg 109
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 109
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 109
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
97avg 109
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
104-97
104
97
+7
100avg 109
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
129-126
129
126
+3
118avg 109
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
29-10
27-34
28-19
40-25
24-30
25-31
32-27
25-32
35-19
38-29
18-27
34-22
18-36
28-36
36-30
19-33
31-26
27-24
30-24
36-25
22-24
25-20
17-18
26-22
29-32
32-22
29-32
25-23
25-17
27-40
26-20
34-28
33-26
19-29
18-14
37-40
29-20
30-33
33-33
220.6Avg total
113.7Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)118.6108.1226.8+10.578%
Season at home (32)118.2107.6225.8+10.781%
Season away (32)119.1108.7227.7+10.475%
Last 10 (10)113.7106.9220.6+6.890%
Last 5 (5)110.4103.6214.0+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)111.0109.5220.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (26)115.7108.6224.2+7.173%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
111-89
111
89
+22
113avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
72avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-81
108
81
+27
105avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
89-118
89
118
-29
80avg 106
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-100
120
100
+20
117avg 106
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 106
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
32-22
24-21
27-18
21-26
29-20
30-11
17-24
24-21
24-26
19-30
17-26
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
30-20
27-23
26-22
25-16
23-35
20-29
25-27
21-27
21-22
37-31
32-27
30-20
35-26
21-10
30-33
23-29
31-29
27-29
32-39
26-28
210.0Avg total
109.6Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)114.5107.2221.6+7.366%
Season at home (31)114.6107.5222.1+7.068%
Season away (34)114.4106.8221.2+7.665%
Last 10 (10)109.6100.4210.0+9.270%
Last 5 (5)108.4104.4212.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)100.0108.5208.5-8.512%
vs Weaker (22)114.5101.4215.9+13.186%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
Oklahoma City ThunderBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H09/03
NBA
108.5Avg total
57.2Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.4112.0+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.053.6109.6+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)59.255.2114.4+4.073%-
Last 10 (10)57.251.3108.5+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)59.251.4110.6+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)53.855.8109.5-2.050%-
vs Weaker (26)58.254.2112.4+4.069%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
43-64
43
64
-21
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A11/03
NBA
106.2Avg total
55.8Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.351.2108.5+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.752.4110.1+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.950.1107.0+6.973%-
Last 10 (10)55.850.4106.2+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)54.450.8105.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)51.954.8106.6-2.938%-
vs Weaker (22)59.350.0109.2+9.382%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.6
53.1%
54.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.214.8
35.9%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws21.918.1
82.6%
78.1%18.1
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.9
53.8%
54.8%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.7
36.3%
35.8%47.1
🏀 Free throws17.914.7
82.1%
78.1%14.7
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWLWWW
Boston Celtics
LWWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#5
+6.6
Net rating
+9.8
111.1
Offensive rating
116.2
104.4
Defensive rating
106.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
12.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.9%
3-point %
36.3%
62.9%
Assist %
67.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 116.2Defence104.4 · 106.4Shooting53.5% · 54.2%3-point %35.9% · 36.3%Ball care12.1% · 11.7%Off. rebounds20.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HDenver Nuggets129-126
08/03/26HGolden State Warriors104-97
05/03/26ANew York Knicks103-100
04/03/26AChicago Bulls116-108
02/03/26ADallas Mavericks100-87
28/02/26HDenver Nuggets127-121 OT
26/02/26ADetroit Pistons116-124
25/02/26AToronto Raptors116-107
22/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers121-113
21/02/26HBrooklyn Nets105-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-125
08/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-98
07/03/26HDallas Mavericks120-100
05/03/26HCharlotte Hornets89-118
03/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-81
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
26/02/26ADenver Nuggets84-103
25/02/26APhoenix Suns97-81
22/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers111-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %78%81%75%
Points / game118.6118.2119.1
Allowed / game108.1107.6108.7
Point differential+10.5+10.7+10.4
Avg total226.8225.8227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL66%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayWLWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %66%68%65%
Points / game114.5114.6114.4
Allowed / game107.2107.5106.8
Point differential+7.3+7.0+7.6
Avg total221.6222.1221.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%42%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder64501478%118.6108.1+10.5
2 Detroit Pistons65471872%117.2109.6+7.6
3 San Antonio Spurs64461872%118.8111.9+6.9
4 Boston Celtics65432266%114.5107.2+7.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers64402462%115.9114.6+1.3
6 New York Knicks65402562%117.0111.0+6.0
7 Houston Rockets65402562%114.2110.0+4.3
8 Denver Nuggets67412661%120.6116.5+4.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers66402661%118.8114.8+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves66402661%118.6115.1+3.4
11 Phoenix Suns65392660%112.9110.6+2.3
12 Miami Heat66382858%120.7116.5+4.1
13 Orlando Magic63362757%115.5113.8+1.7
14 Toronto Raptors64362856%113.6111.8+1.8
15 Atlanta Hawks66353153%117.7116.9+0.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers66353153%115.8116.5-0.7
17 Los Angeles Clippers65333251%113.4112.6+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets67343351%115.7112.3+3.4
19 Golden State Warriors65323349%115.2114.2+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers66313547%115.1117.8-2.6
21 Chicago Bulls65273842%115.6119.9-4.2
22 Milwaukee Bucks65273842%111.0115.9-4.9
23 Memphis Grizzlies65234235%115.8118.3-2.5
24 Dallas Mavericks66224433%113.1117.7-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans67224533%115.6120.0-4.4
26 Utah Jazz66204630%117.4125.0-7.6
27 Brooklyn Nets66174926%106.9115.8-8.9
28 Washington Wizards65164925%112.8123.9-11.0
29 Sacramento Kings67165124%110.6120.9-10.2
30 Indiana Pacers66155123%111.3120.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder27292424104
Boston Celtics28312419102
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