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Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record7-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder
12 Mar 2027
BOS v OKC
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
BOS119
OKC109
12 Mar 2025
BOS112
OKC118
03 Apr 2024
BOS135
OKC100
14 Nov 2022
BOS126
OKC122
20 Nov 2021
BOS111
OKC105
27 Apr 2021
BOS115
OKC119
24 Jul 2020
BOS84
OKC98
08 Mar 2020
BOS104
OKC105
03 Feb 2019
BOS134
OKC129
20 Mar 2018
BOS100
OKC99
23 Dec 2016
BOS112
OKC117
16 Mar 2016
BOS109
OKC130
12 Nov 2014
BOS94
OKC109
24 Jan 2014
BOS83
OKC101
23 Nov 2012
BOS108
OKC100
16 Jan 2012
BOS88
OKC97
19 Nov 2010
BOS84
OKC89
31 Mar 2010
BOS104
OKC109
29 Mar 2009
BOS103
OKC84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 107
H02/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 107
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#17
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#29
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
218.8Avg total
113.3Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)114.8105.1219.9+9.778%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (4)108.2101.8210.0+6.550%
Last 10 (10)113.3105.5218.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)110.899.8210.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)109.7108.7218.3+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)115.2105.2220.5+10.075%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
103-111
103
111
-8
93avg 101
H31/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#5
W
116-104
116
104
+12
105avg 101
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 101
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#23
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 101
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 101
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 101
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 101
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 101
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 101
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
28-24
24-24
26-31
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
218.9Avg total
111.1Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)112.0107.4219.4+4.678%
Season at home (4)113.2103.8217.0+9.5100%
Season away (5)111.0110.4221.4+0.660%
Last 10 (10)111.1107.8218.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)112.6112.8225.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)107.0111.5218.5-4.550%
vs Similar (12)110.3109.8220.2+0.558%
vs Weaker (16)121.8107.4229.2+14.488%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Boston CelticsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#29
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
109.5Avg total
59.5Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.8110.5+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.352.7111.0+5.653%-
Last 30 away (13)59.450.5109.9+8.869%-
Last 10 (10)59.550.0109.5+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)63.047.2110.2+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)54.753.2107.8+1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)59.851.4111.2+8.467%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#5
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#23
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
108.7Avg total
57.2Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.453.4112.8+6.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.952.9112.9+7.060%-
Last 30 away (15)58.853.9112.7+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)57.251.5108.7+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)60.053.6113.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)58.053.0111.0+5.050%-
vs Similar (12)55.852.6108.4+3.250%-
vs Weaker (16)62.254.1116.2+8.169%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.6%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.227.4
49.6%
54.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.7
34.1%
35.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.719.4
85.5%
76.6%19.4
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#6
+4.5
Net rating
+2.2
111.2
Offensive rating
105.1
106.7
Defensive rating
102.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.5%
3-point %
34.1%
64.0%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 105.1Defence106.7 · 102.9Shooting53.3% · 50.2%3-point %35.5% · 34.1%Ball care13.3% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 25.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
31/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs103-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game114.8120.0108.2
Allowed / game105.1107.8101.8
Point differential+9.7+12.2+6.5
Avg total219.9227.8210.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game112.0113.2111.0
Allowed / game107.4103.8110.4
Point differential+4.6+9.5+0.6
Avg total219.4217.0221.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers108280%122.0114.3+7.7
2 Philadelphia 76ers108280%109.4106.6+2.8
3 Houston Rockets97278%117.9107.6+10.3
4 Boston Celtics97278%114.8105.1+9.7
5 San Antonio Spurs97278%117.7108.7+9.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder97278%112.0107.4+4.6
7 Detroit Pistons86275%111.1101.8+9.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers86275%121.4112.4+9.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves107370%118.4107.7+10.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies96367%117.9111.8+6.1
11 Golden State Warriors96367%117.8113.0+4.8
12 Atlanta Hawks106460%118.1114.9+3.2
13 Denver Nuggets74357%115.4114.7+0.7
14 Toronto Raptors95456%118.2112.8+5.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.2114.7+4.6
16 Dallas Mavericks95456%112.1110.9+1.2
17 New York Knicks84450%110.0105.1+4.9
18 New Orleans Pelicans94544%120.2118.8+1.4
19 Washington Wizards94544%111.4112.3-0.9
20 Indiana Pacers93633%111.2114.2-3.0
21 Miami Heat93633%116.0122.6-6.6
22 Charlotte Hornets103730%96.3110.2-13.9
23 Phoenix Suns72529%113.9121.4-7.6
24 Brooklyn Nets82625%106.6112.9-6.2
25 Orlando Magic82625%105.5115.0-9.5
26 Los Angeles Clippers81712%109.1115.6-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls81712%111.6129.6-18.0
28 Utah Jazz91811%106.9118.2-11.3
29 Milwaukee Bucks91811%109.7122.1-12.4
30 Sacramento Kings91811%109.2123.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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