PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 127-123
31-29 27-32 40-25 29-37
Position#2
Record22-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#1
Record26-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· Paycom Center (Oklahoma)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
17 Feb 2027
OKC v BOS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
OKC104
BOS102
05 Jan 2025
OKC105
BOS92
02 Jan 2024
OKC127
BOS123
03 Jan 2023
OKC150
BOS117
21 Mar 2022
OKC123
BOS132
27 Mar 2021
OKC94
BOS111
09 Feb 2020
OKC111
BOS112
25 Oct 2018
OKC95
BOS101
03 Nov 2017
OKC94
BOS101
11 Dec 2016
OKC99
BOS96
15 Nov 2015
OKC85
BOS100
18 Mar 2015
OKC122
BOS118
05 Jan 2014
OKC119
BOS96
10 Mar 2013
OKC91
BOS79
22 Feb 2012
OKC119
BOS104
07 Nov 2010
OKC83
BOS92
04 Dec 2009
OKC87
BOS105
05 Nov 2008
OKC83
BOS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
130avg 110
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
123-128
123
128
-5
108avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
118-117
118
117
+1
110avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
116-97
116
97
+19
116avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
134-115
134
115
+19
136avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
120-129
120
129
-9
108avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
129-106
129
106
+23
130avg 110
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
129-120
129
120
+9
111avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
119-93
119
93
+26
119avg 110
A30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-108
124
108
+16
127avg 110
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
32-32
45-23
23-45
30-29
23-30
39-41
31-28
27-31
27-25
31-31
33-30
34-26
34-27
26-13
22-31
35-29
29-30
45-33
25-23
39-36
20-35
32-36
29-22
40-35
26-25
36-31
27-15
38-25
31-35
24-29
36-31
33-27
21-21
34-20
31-25
33-36
26-20
30-23
35-29
237.9Avg total
124.6Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)121.3112.7234.0+8.571%
Season at home (18)124.3115.8240.1+8.472%
Season away (13)117.2108.5225.6+8.769%
Last 10 (10)124.6113.3237.9+11.380%
Last 5 (5)124.2111.2235.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)114.1111.4225.6+2.757%
vs Weaker (23)123.3113.5236.9+9.874%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
116-107
116
107
+9
110avg 112
H15/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
128-111
128
111
+17
119avg 112
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
114-97
114
97
+17
105avg 112
H17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
111avg 112
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
144-119
144
119
+25
148avg 112
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
145-108
145
108
+37
145avg 112
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
126-115
126
115
+11
122avg 112
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
115avg 112
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
121avg 112
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
134-101
134
101
+33
135avg 112
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
32-30
25-33
26-20
30-24
34-27
37-27
27-33
27-31
34-19
22-24
31-23
40-30
25-32
32-24
24-35
38-41
36-25
39-24
31-29
28-21
40-30
38-30
39-27
32-23
26-34
41-33
27-25
27-30
20-36
35-16
26-26
35-20
33-33
31-33
21-32
30-22
35-31
40-23
29-25
241.1Avg total
128.1Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)121.0109.9230.9+11.284%
Season at home (16)122.9108.8231.6+14.1100%
Season away (15)119.1111.1230.1+8.067%
Last 10 (10)128.1113.0241.1+15.190%
Last 5 (5)130.6112.8243.4+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)121.5110.1231.5+11.483%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Oklahoma City ThunderBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A17/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H28/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H01/01
NBA
118.6Avg total
61.2Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.755.5115.2+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)61.356.7118.0+4.772%-
Last 30 away (12)57.253.8110.9+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)61.257.4118.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)61.459.0120.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)58.055.6113.6+2.471%-
vs Weaker (23)60.255.5115.7+4.761%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A01/01
NBA
119.8Avg total
63.5Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.555.4118.9+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.855.6119.3+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)63.255.2118.4+8.086%-
Last 10 (10)63.556.3119.8+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)61.256.0117.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)63.555.4118.9+8.180%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.632.7
58.8%
54.4%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.8
40.0%
36.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws20.817.8
85.6%
78.2%17.8
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 128.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.630.3
58.7%
54.4%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.916.8
39.2%
36.3%50.4
🏀 Free throws21.217.1
80.7%
78.2%17.1
They take 94.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#1
+11.0
Net rating
+14.9
121.3
Offensive rating
126.5
110.3
Defensive rating
111.6
59.3%
Effective FG%
58.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
10.4%
Turnover %
10.7%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.0%
3-point %
39.2%
61.9%
Assist %
59.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence121.3 · 126.5Defence110.3 · 111.6Shooting59.3% · 58.7%3-point %40.0% · 39.2%Ball care10.4% · 10.7%Off. rebounds20.1% · 28.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24HBrooklyn Nets124-108
30/12/23ADenver Nuggets119-93
28/12/23HNew York Knicks129-120
27/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves129-106
24/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers120-129
22/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-115
19/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies116-97
17/12/23ADenver Nuggets118-117
15/12/23ASacramento Kings123-128
12/12/23HUtah Jazz134-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs134-101
30/12/23HToronto Raptors120-118
29/12/23HDetroit Pistons128-122 OT
25/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers126-115
23/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers145-108
21/12/23ASacramento Kings144-119
20/12/23AGolden State Warriors126-132 OT
17/12/23HOrlando Magic114-97
16/12/23HOrlando Magic128-111
15/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers116-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %71%72%69%
Points / game121.3124.3117.2
Allowed / game112.7115.8108.5
Point differential+8.5+8.4+8.7
Avg total234.0240.1225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%8%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %84%100%67%
Points / game121.0122.9119.1
Allowed / game109.9108.8111.1
Point differential+11.2+14.1+8.0
Avg total230.9231.6230.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%56%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %13%6%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3126584%121.0109.9+11.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3224875%113.0107.5+5.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks3123874%124.1118.6+5.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder3122971%121.3112.7+8.5
5 Philadelphia 76ers33231070%120.7110.5+10.2
6 Denver Nuggets35241169%115.1109.8+5.4
7 Sacramento Kings30191163%117.6116.4+1.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers32201262%116.7111.9+4.8
9 Orlando Magic32191359%112.8110.7+2.2
10 New Orleans Pelicans31181358%116.5112.2+4.3
11 Miami Heat33191458%113.0112.0+1.0
12 New York Knicks32181456%115.0112.7+2.4
13 Phoenix Suns32181456%115.6113.8+1.8
14 Dallas Mavericks34191556%118.3118.0+0.3
15 Cleveland Cavaliers33181555%112.3112.4-0.1
16 Indiana Pacers30161453%126.5125.0+1.5
17 Houston Rockets31161552%113.1109.8+3.2
18 Golden State Warriors32151747%116.8116.3+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers32151747%113.9115.9-2.0
20 Brooklyn Nets33151845%115.6116.4-0.8
21 Utah Jazz34151944%113.8117.9-4.1
22 Chicago Bulls35152043%109.5112.0-2.5
23 Atlanta Hawks32131941%122.2122.7-0.5
24 Toronto Raptors33132039%114.0115.2-1.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies32102231%106.8113.8-7.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers3292328%108.8115.0-6.2
27 Charlotte Hornets3172423%110.0121.1-11.1
28 Washington Wizards3262619%116.7126.2-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs3252716%111.3123.3-12.0
30 Detroit Pistons333309%110.4121.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder31274029127
Boston Celtics29322537123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.