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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 105-92
32-35 23-30 21-15 29-12
Position#1
Record27-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game103.5
vs
Position#3
Record26-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game108.4
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
17 Feb 2027
OKC v BOS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
OKC104
BOS102
05 Jan 2025
OKC105
BOS92
02 Jan 2024
OKC127
BOS123
03 Jan 2023
OKC150
BOS117
21 Mar 2022
OKC123
BOS132
27 Mar 2021
OKC94
BOS111
09 Feb 2020
OKC111
BOS112
25 Oct 2018
OKC95
BOS101
03 Nov 2017
OKC94
BOS101
11 Dec 2016
OKC99
BOS96
15 Nov 2015
OKC85
BOS100
18 Mar 2015
OKC122
BOS118
05 Jan 2014
OKC119
BOS96
10 Mar 2013
OKC91
BOS79
22 Feb 2012
OKC119
BOS104
07 Nov 2010
OKC83
BOS92
04 Dec 2009
OKC87
BOS105
05 Nov 2008
OKC83
BOS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
81-97
81
97
-16
90avg 108
A18/12
NBA Cup
Orlando Magic
#15
W
105-99
105
99
+6
94avg 108
A20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
104-97
104
97
+7
98avg 108
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
123-105
123
105
+18
113avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-114
120
114
+6
106avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
106-94
106
94
+12
105avg 108
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
130-106
130
106
+24
126avg 108
H30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
113-105
113
105
+8
101avg 108
H01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-98
116
98
+18
109avg 108
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
22-24
14-26
17-20
29-28
36-18
17-28
23-25
30-25
20-22
31-23
23-27
29-32
38-31
24-24
32-18
19-29
34-32
30-23
37-30
28-22
33-24
29-28
16-20
34-31
42-19
26-24
28-32
21-24
25-28
43-23
24-30
22-30
26-22
42-20
26-26
33-30
21-36
26-22
37-19
213.7Avg total
111.5Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)115.5103.5219.0+12.084%
Season at home (16)117.2103.9221.2+13.388%
Season away (16)113.7103.1216.8+10.681%
Last 10 (10)111.5102.2213.7+9.390%
Last 5 (5)116.4102.0218.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.097.0178.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)115.0104.1219.1+10.982%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-98
112
98
+14
105avg 111
A15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-117
108
117
-9
91avg 111
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-98
123
98
+25
120avg 111
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 111
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
114-118
114
118
-4
105avg 111
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
142-105
142
105
+37
142avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
114-123
114
123
-9
102avg 111
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-71
125
71
+54
125avg 111
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
118-115
118
115
+3
108avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
109-86
109
86
+23
103avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
33-29
24-20
21-26
25-21
32-33
29-28
22-35
28-28
33-26
32-23
30-21
32-21
26-22
21-36
25-29
25-30
33-36
24-16
32-36
39-22
28-23
36-33
39-27
29-27
29-38
33-33
23-25
23-12
22-23
45-18
35-18
28-35
34-16
29-34
27-30
37-31
28-25
17-16
27-14
220.8Avg total
116.9Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)119.3108.4227.7+10.974%
Season at home (19)119.1108.9227.9+10.268%
Season away (16)119.6107.9227.4+11.781%
Last 10 (10)116.9103.9220.8+13.060%
Last 5 (5)121.6100.0221.6+21.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)115.5116.0231.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (28)118.4106.8225.2+11.675%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
Oklahoma City ThunderBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A18/12
NBA Cup
Orlando Magic
#15
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
76-50
76
50
+26
H30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H04/01
NBA
110.4Avg total
57.0Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.352.5110.8+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.252.3109.5+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)59.652.7112.4+6.964%-
Last 10 (10)57.053.4110.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)57.053.2110.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)58.752.5111.2+6.264%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A03/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A04/01
NBA
111.9Avg total
59.8Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.253.9114.1+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.352.6110.9+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)62.755.7118.4+7.069%-
Last 10 (10)59.852.1111.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)59.450.4109.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)57.049.5106.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker (28)60.454.2114.7+6.268%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.130.4
55.2%
54.3%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.6
32.7%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.115.7
82.2%
77.8%15.7
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.125.1
58.2%
54.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.717.7
37.1%
35.9%53.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
77.8%13.6
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWL
Boston Celtics
WWWLWLLWLW
#1
League position
#3
+9.0
Net rating
+13.2
110.3
Offensive rating
119.1
101.2
Defensive rating
105.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
10.7%
Turnover %
11.5%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.7%
3-point %
37.1%
59.3%
Assist %
57.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 119.1Defence101.2 · 105.9Shooting52.8% · 56.9%3-point %32.7% · 37.1%Ball care10.7% · 11.5%Off. rebounds20.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HNew York Knicks117-107
03/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-98
01/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves113-105
30/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies130-106
28/12/24ACharlotte Hornets106-94
27/12/24AIndiana Pacers120-114
24/12/24HWashington Wizards123-105
21/12/24AMiami Heat104-97
20/12/24AOrlando Magic105-99
18/12/24AMilwaukee Bucks81-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AHouston Rockets109-86
03/01/25AMinnesota Timberwolves118-115
31/12/24HToronto Raptors125-71
29/12/24HIndiana Pacers114-123
28/12/24HIndiana Pacers142-105
25/12/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-118
24/12/24AOrlando Magic104-108
22/12/24AChicago Bulls123-98
20/12/24HChicago Bulls108-117
15/12/24AWashington Wizards112-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %84%88%81%
Points / game115.5117.2113.7
Allowed / game103.5103.9103.1
Point differential+12.0+13.3+10.6
Avg total219.0221.2216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeLLWLW68%
AwayWWLWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %74%68%81%
Points / game119.3119.1119.6
Allowed / game108.4108.9107.9
Point differential+10.9+10.2+11.7
Avg total227.7227.9227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%42%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %9%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3430488%122.7110.8+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3227584%115.5103.5+12.0
3 Boston Celtics3526974%119.3108.4+10.9
4 New York Knicks35241169%118.3110.7+7.6
5 Houston Rockets32211166%113.2106.8+6.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies36231364%123.2115.0+8.2
7 Orlando Magic35211460%105.5103.1+2.5
8 Dallas Mavericks34201459%117.1111.9+5.2
9 Denver Nuggets34201459%120.8117.2+3.5
10 Los Angeles Lakers34201459%112.2113.7-1.5
11 Los Angeles Clippers35201557%109.2107.9+1.3
12 Golden State Warriors33181555%113.3111.1+2.2
13 Miami Heat33171652%111.1110.1+1.0
14 San Antonio Spurs35181751%111.5111.5+0.0
15 Minnesota Timberwolves34171750%109.2108.0+1.2
16 Indiana Pacers36181850%115.3116.6-1.2
17 Atlanta Hawks34171750%117.8120.6-2.8
18 Detroit Pistons35171849%111.8113.7-1.9
19 Milwaukee Bucks31151648%112.3111.6+0.7
20 Sacramento Kings35161946%115.4114.1+1.3
21 Chicago Bulls35161946%117.9121.3-3.4
22 Phoenix Suns33151845%112.1114.4-2.3
23 Philadelphia 76ers33141942%107.6110.8-3.1
24 Brooklyn Nets35132237%107.7113.5-5.7
25 Portland Trail Blazers34122235%107.9116.8-8.9
26 Utah Jazz3382524%111.5119.2-7.7
27 Toronto Raptors3582723%111.2118.7-7.5
28 Charlotte Hornets3372621%105.8112.4-6.6
29 Washington Wizards3262619%109.2122.2-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3562917%107.4118.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder32232129105
Boston Celtics3530151292
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