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Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 119-109
20-31 29-22 39-30 31-26
Position#5
Record50-25
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game106.9
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
USA
Position#1
Record60-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game107.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder
12 Mar 2027
BOS v OKC
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
BOS119
OKC109
12 Mar 2025
BOS112
OKC118
03 Apr 2024
BOS135
OKC100
14 Nov 2022
BOS126
OKC122
20 Nov 2021
BOS111
OKC105
27 Apr 2021
BOS115
OKC119
24 Jul 2020
BOS84
OKC98
08 Mar 2020
BOS104
OKC105
03 Feb 2019
BOS134
OKC129
20 Mar 2018
BOS100
OKC99
23 Dec 2016
BOS112
OKC117
16 Mar 2016
BOS109
OKC130
12 Nov 2014
BOS94
OKC109
24 Jan 2014
BOS83
OKC101
23 Nov 2012
BOS108
OKC100
16 Jan 2012
BOS88
OKC97
19 Nov 2010
BOS84
OKC89
31 Mar 2010
BOS104
OKC109
29 Mar 2009
BOS103
OKC84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
89-118
89
118
-29
80avg 105
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
120-100
120
100
+20
117avg 105
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 105
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-104
102
104
-2
91avg 105
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 105
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
120-112
120
112
+8
120avg 105
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-99
120
99
+21
113avg 105
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-112
117
112
+5
111avg 105
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
92-102
92
102
-10
76avg 105
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
20-29
25-27
21-27
21-22
37-31
32-27
30-20
35-26
21-10
30-33
23-29
31-29
27-29
32-39
26-28
28-27
31-29
24-24
19-24
29-27
35-14
29-31
18-28
31-32
34-29
26-25
29-26
36-23
27-27
26-23
31-26
29-27
26-27
29-34
33-24
23-14
21-33
33-29
15-26
216.6Avg total
109.6Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.4106.9221.3+7.467%
Season at home (37)114.7107.1221.8+7.670%
Season away (38)114.1106.8220.8+7.363%
Last 10 (10)109.6107.0216.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)112.0105.0217.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)99.6108.3207.9-8.714%
vs Weaker (23)113.3100.9214.3+12.487%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 108
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
97avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
104-97
104
97
+7
100avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
129-126
129
126
+3
118avg 108
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
104-102
104
102
+2
94avg 108
H13/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-103
116
103
+13
103avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
W
113-108
113
108
+5
105avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
121-92
121
92
+29
116avg 108
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
132-111
132
111
+21
132avg 108
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
123-103
123
103
+20
126avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
29-32
32-22
29-32
25-23
25-17
27-40
26-20
34-28
33-26
19-29
18-14
37-40
29-20
30-33
33-33
27-28
29-31
24-24
24-19
23-22
24-31
33-23
36-27
26-22
25-28
34-29
28-29
28-11
32-13
31-31
30-37
32-32
37-32
34-32
29-15
35-25
30-18
32-36
26-24
221.1Avg total
116.1Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)117.9107.8225.7+10.179%
Season at home (36)117.2107.1224.2+10.183%
Season away (40)118.5108.5227.0+10.075%
Last 10 (10)116.1105.0221.1+11.1100%
Last 5 (5)121.0103.4224.4+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)107.2110.5217.8-3.250%
vs Weaker (26)116.7106.6223.3+10.177%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Boston CelticsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
43-64
43
64
-21
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/03
NBA
108.5Avg total
56.5Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.550.3106.9+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.551.1108.6+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)55.449.5104.9+5.979%-
Last 10 (10)56.552.0108.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.6108.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)51.655.1106.7-3.643%-
vs Weaker (23)58.048.9106.9+9.283%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
60-24
60
24
+36
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A23/03
NBA
108.7Avg total
58.6Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.652.7111.3+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.852.7108.5+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)60.752.7113.4+8.082%-
Last 10 (10)58.650.1108.7+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)58.446.8105.2+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)54.057.5111.5-3.525%-
vs Weaker (26)59.352.0111.3+7.377%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.225.3
53.6%
54.8%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.513.6
32.8%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws20.718.2
87.9%
78.1%18.2
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.428.3
57.3%
54.8%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.213.8
35.2%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.918.1
82.6%
78.1%18.1
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWLLWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+2.7
Net rating
+11.0
112.9
Offensive rating
114.9
110.2
Defensive rating
103.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.2%
Turnover %
11.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.8%
3-point %
35.2%
60.9%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 114.9Defence110.2 · 103.9Shooting51.5% · 55.3%3-point %32.8% · 35.2%Ball care12.2% · 11.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 21.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics104-102
12/03/25Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder112-118
05/01/25Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics105-92
03/04/24Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder135-100
03/01/24Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics127-123
04/01/23Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics150-117
15/11/22Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder126-122
22/03/22Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics123-132
21/11/21Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder111-105
27/04/21Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder115-119
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves92-102
21/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-112
18/03/26HGolden State Warriors120-99
16/03/26HPhoenix Suns120-112
14/03/26HWashington Wizards111-100
13/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder102-104
11/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-125
08/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-98
07/03/26HDallas Mavericks120-100
05/03/26HCharlotte Hornets89-118
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-103
21/03/26AWashington Wizards132-111
18/03/26ABrooklyn Nets121-92
17/03/26AOrlando Magic113-108
15/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-103
13/03/26HBoston Celtics104-102
09/03/26HDenver Nuggets129-126
08/03/26HGolden State Warriors104-97
05/03/26ANew York Knicks103-100
04/03/26AChicago Bulls116-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWWLLW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %67%70%63%
Points / game114.4114.7114.1
Allowed / game106.9107.1106.8
Point differential+7.4+7.6+7.3
Avg total221.3221.8220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%43%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)50% (8)46% (13)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763640
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game117.9117.2118.5
Allowed / game107.8107.1108.5
Point differential+10.1+10.1+10.0
Avg total225.7224.2227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%47%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)75% (8)50% (8)
Overtime %5%8%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder76601679%117.9107.8+10.1
2 San Antonio Spurs74561876%119.5111.6+7.9
3 Detroit Pistons76542271%117.3109.9+7.4
4 Boston Celtics75502567%114.4106.9+7.4
5 New York Knicks76502666%116.3109.9+6.4
6 Houston Rockets75472863%115.1110.8+4.3
7 Denver Nuggets78483062%120.1115.9+4.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers78483062%115.6114.8+0.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers76463061%118.9115.1+3.8
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%118.3114.9+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors76443258%114.4112.2+2.1
12 Phoenix Suns76433357%112.8110.5+2.2
13 Atlanta Hawks77433456%118.4116.9+1.5
14 Orlando Magic74413355%116.2114.4+1.7
15 Philadelphia 76ers77413653%115.5116.3-0.8
16 Charlotte Hornets77403752%116.6112.3+4.3
17 Los Angeles Clippers75383751%113.3112.2+1.1
18 Miami Heat77383949%119.6117.7+1.9
19 Golden State Warriors77374048%115.1114.8+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers77374048%115.7117.4-1.8
21 Milwaukee Bucks75324343%111.0116.1-5.1
22 Chicago Bulls77324542%116.6120.7-4.2
23 Dallas Mavericks76265034%113.8118.0-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans75255033%115.8119.5-3.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies76255133%115.5119.7-4.2
26 Utah Jazz76225429%117.7125.3-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings77205726%110.9121.1-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets75185724%106.7115.9-9.2
29 Indiana Pacers77185923%112.1120.9-8.8
30 Washington Wizards74175723%112.4123.6-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics20293931119
Oklahoma City Thunder31223026109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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