PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 123-103
31-22 29-25 30-28 33-28
Position#3
Record56-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game107.9
vs
Position#22
Record35-41
FormWLLLL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns
29 Jan 2027
BOS v PHX
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
BOS120
PHX112
04 Apr 2025
BOS123
PHX103
14 Mar 2024
BOS127
PHX112
03 Feb 2023
BOS94
PHX106
31 Dec 2021
BOS123
PHX108
22 Apr 2021
BOS99
PHX86
26 Jul 2020
BOS117
PHX103
18 Jan 2020
BOS119
PHX123
19 Dec 2018
BOS103
PHX111
02 Dec 2017
BOS116
PHX111
24 Mar 2017
BOS130
PHX120
15 Jan 2016
BOS117
PHX103
17 Nov 2014
BOS114
PHX118
14 Mar 2014
BOS80
PHX87
09 Jan 2013
BOS87
PHX79
20 Jan 2012
BOS71
PHX79
02 Mar 2011
BOS115
PHX103
06 Nov 2009
BOS103
PHX110
19 Jan 2009
BOS104
PHX87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
W
103-91
103
91
+12
92avg 108
A14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
115-113
115
113
+2
111avg 108
A15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
104-96
104
96
+8
102avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
121-99
121
99
+22
113avg 108
A22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
129-116
129
116
+13
126avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
113-95
113
95
+18
105avg 108
A25/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
132-102
132
102
+30
134avg 108
A27/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
121-111
121
111
+10
121avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
117-103
117
103
+14
113avg 108
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
103-124
103
124
-21
95avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
20-27
28-27
25-14
30-27
33-24
23-30
29-32
21-26
23-23
27-21
33-26
35-21
25-30
29-24
32-24
34-24
30-27
38-39
27-26
30-29
26-22
32-27
25-17
42-38
31-16
35-27
24-21
36-27
28-25
30-29
27-30
25-32
41-29
26-24
25-18
22-29
23-30
36-32
22-33
220.8Avg total
115.8Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)116.7107.9224.6+8.874%
Season at home (37)116.9109.7226.6+7.165%
Season away (39)116.5106.2222.7+10.482%
Last 10 (10)115.8105.0220.8+10.890%
Last 5 (5)117.2107.0224.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)113.3115.3228.7-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)116.1106.3222.4+9.785%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
122-106
122
106
+16
122avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
89avg 108
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
129-89
129
89
+40
134avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-121
127
121
+6
125avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 108
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
108-106
108
106
+2
109avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-132
102
132
-30
88avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
109-124
109
124
-15
105avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
109-148
109
148
-39
101avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
123-133
123
133
-10
109avg 108
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
26-35
35-25
25-24
15-31
22-23
34-29
25-24
24-29
39-11
30-24
36-25
31-22
32-29
36-33
28-37
35-34
27-17
36-28
25-33
25-30
29-28
27-20
27-28
38-42
16-31
27-35
21-24
21-27
24-30
30-35
34-32
24-32
25-46
24-34
36-36
19-31
38-29
26-35
40-38
232.6Avg total
114.8Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)114.4116.6231.0-2.246%
Season at home (38)114.5113.9228.4+0.661%
Season away (38)114.3119.3233.6-5.132%
Last 10 (10)114.8117.8232.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)110.2128.6238.8-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)115.8124.9240.8-9.124%
vs Similar (10)116.5115.1231.6+1.450%
vs Weaker (3)125.3119.7245.0+5.767%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
Boston CelticsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A25/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A27/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H02/04
NBA
111.4Avg total
58.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.652.7112.4+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.353.4112.6+5.964%-
Last 30 away (16)59.952.2112.1+7.881%-
Last 10 (10)58.552.9111.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)60.855.4116.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)62.757.0119.7+5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)59.352.3111.6+7.074%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A01/04
NBA
112.5Avg total
54.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.857.8113.6-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.057.9114.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)54.857.7112.5-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)54.657.9112.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)51.865.2117.0-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)55.560.3115.8-4.841%-
vs Similar (10)55.255.1110.3+0.160%-
vs Weaker (3)60.052.7112.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.223.8
60.7%
54.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.517.9
36.2%
35.9%53.7
🏀 Free throws17.914.5
81.0%
77.8%14.5
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 49.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.0
54.3%
54.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.616.0
40.4%
35.9%48.0
🏀 Free throws17.314.8
85.5%
77.8%14.8
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
LLLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#22
+11.4
Net rating
-3.1
122.0
Offensive rating
118.3
110.6
Defensive rating
121.4
57.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
11.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.2%
3-point %
40.4%
66.2%
Assist %
67.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 118.3Defence110.6 · 121.4Shooting57.1% · 57.1%3-point %36.2% · 40.4%Ball care11.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds29.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HMiami Heat103-124
31/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies117-103
30/03/25ASan Antonio Spurs121-111
27/03/25APhoenix Suns132-102
25/03/25ASacramento Kings113-95
23/03/25APortland Trail Blazers129-116
22/03/25AUtah Jazz121-99
18/03/25HBrooklyn Nets104-96
15/03/25ABrooklyn Nets115-113
14/03/25AMiami Heat103-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25AMilwaukee Bucks123-133
31/03/25HHouston Rockets109-148
29/03/25AMinnesota Timberwolves109-124
27/03/25HBoston Celtics102-132
25/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks108-106
22/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers123-112
20/03/25HChicago Bulls127-121
18/03/25HToronto Raptors129-89
16/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-107
15/03/25HSacramento Kings122-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWLWL65%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %74%65%82%
Points / game116.7116.9116.5
Allowed / game107.9109.7106.2
Point differential+8.8+7.1+10.4
Avg total224.6226.6222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%41%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)56% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %7%8%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %46%61%32%
Points / game114.4114.5114.3
Allowed / game116.6113.9119.3
Point differential-2.2+0.6-5.1
Avg total231.0228.4233.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)86% (7)33% (12)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder74621284%120.6107.2+13.4
2 Cleveland Cavaliers76611580%122.4112.2+10.1
3 Boston Celtics76562074%116.7107.9+8.8
4 Houston Rockets75492665%114.9109.3+5.6
5 New York Knicks75482764%116.3112.0+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets77473061%120.9116.9+4.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers76463061%113.1112.4+0.7
8 Golden State Warriors75453060%114.1111.2+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers77463160%117.4115.1+2.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%114.0109.4+4.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies77453258%121.8117.2+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers76443258%112.2108.2+3.9
13 Detroit Pistons76423455%115.4113.2+2.2
14 Milwaukee Bucks74403454%114.9113.1+1.8
15 Dallas Mavericks76383850%115.1115.1-0.0
16 Orlando Magic77383949%105.0105.5-0.4
17 Sacramento Kings77374048%115.8115.6+0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks74353947%118.1119.9-1.8
19 Phoenix Suns76354146%114.4116.6-2.2
20 Miami Heat77354245%109.8109.8+0.0
21 Chicago Bulls76344245%117.6120.0-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers77344344%110.9114.2-3.3
23 San Antonio Spurs76324442%114.0116.7-2.6
24 Toronto Raptors77284936%110.6115.2-4.6
25 Brooklyn Nets77255232%105.0111.8-6.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers77235430%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans76215528%110.0118.7-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets77195825%105.5113.8-8.3
29 Washington Wizards77176022%108.5120.6-12.1
30 Utah Jazz78166221%111.4120.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics31293033123
Phoenix Suns22252828103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.