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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 124-109
27-21 30-24 35-30 32-34
Position#7
Record41-32
FormWLLWL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#22
Record35-38
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
125-110
125
110
+15
118avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
106-104
106
104
+2
104avg 106
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
141-124
141
124
+17
143avg 106
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
115-95
115
95
+20
113avg 106
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
118-111
118
111
+7
116avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
128-102
128
102
+26
122avg 106
H16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
130-132 OT
130
132
-2
116avg 106
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
115-119
115
119
-4
107avg 106
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
134-93
134
93
+41
136avg 106
H22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-119
103
119
-16
96avg 106
A24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-28
26-30
32-25
28-27
33-25
19-27
28-28
26-24
37-29
31-31
41-34
32-30
34-26
23-22
32-27
26-20
33-30
29-28
16-29
40-24
34-20
28-31
37-25
29-26
30-30
16-30
41-29
30-28
30-24
31-38
30-34
24-23
28-22
34-26
35-24
37-21
23-25
25-29
25-41
30-24
232.4Avg total
121.5Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)113.5109.3222.9+4.256%
Season at home (37)115.3109.4224.6+5.957%
Season away (36)111.8109.3221.0+2.556%
Last 10 (10)121.5110.9232.4+10.670%
Last 5 (5)122.0113.0235.0+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)119.2121.8241.0-2.550%
vs Similar (8)115.8112.4228.1+3.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)119.8108.3228.1+11.678%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
125-116
125
116
+9
132avg 108
A09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
118-120
118
120
-2
114avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
104-111
104
111
-7
101avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
122-106
122
106
+16
122avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
89avg 108
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
129-89
129
89
+40
134avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-121
127
121
+6
125avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 108
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
108-106
108
106
+2
109avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-132
102
132
-30
88avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
28-30
37-32
28-30
34-26
25-31
31-38
28-25
27-32
25-25
27-31
25-23
36-22
26-35
35-25
25-24
15-31
22-23
34-29
25-24
24-29
39-11
30-24
36-25
31-22
32-29
36-33
28-37
35-34
27-17
36-28
25-33
25-30
29-28
27-20
27-28
38-42
16-31
27-35
21-24
227.4Avg total
115.4Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)114.4115.9230.3-1.448%
Season at home (37)114.7113.0227.6+1.762%
Season away (36)114.2118.8233.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)115.4112.0227.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)117.8112.0229.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)115.8121.8237.6-6.131%
vs Similar (10)116.5115.1231.6+1.450%
vs Weaker (4)123.8117.0240.8+6.875%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A06/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A24/03
NBA
113.4Avg total
58.3Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.3114.8+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.857.6117.4+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)54.556.9111.4-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)58.355.1113.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.0110.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.061.8115.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (8)56.558.8115.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)58.755.7114.4+3.161%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H27/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
56.6Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.056.5113.5+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.555.5114.0+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)55.457.6112.9-2.257%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.2111.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)59.254.6113.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)56.958.2115.2-1.356%-
vs Similar (10)55.255.1110.3+0.160%-
vs Weaker (4)62.052.8114.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 121.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.527.9
58.7%
54.3%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.216.2
39.3%
35.9%48.6
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
77.8%17.1
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.826.8
54.9%
54.3%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.615.4
41.0%
35.9%46.2
🏀 Free throws18.215.6
85.7%
77.8%15.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
LWWWWLWLLW
#7
League position
#22
+10.7
Net rating
+3.5
120.4
Offensive rating
119.3
109.7
Defensive rating
115.8
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.3%
3-point %
41.0%
66.2%
Assist %
69.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 119.3Defence109.7 · 115.8Shooting58.9% · 57.8%3-point %39.3% · 41.0%Ball care12.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds24.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25AIndiana Pacers103-119
22/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans134-93
20/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans115-119
18/03/25HIndiana Pacers130-132 OT
16/03/25HUtah Jazz128-102
15/03/25HOrlando Magic118-111
13/03/25ADenver Nuggets115-95
10/03/25HSan Antonio Spurs141-124
08/03/25AMiami Heat106-104
06/03/25ACharlotte Hornets125-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HBoston Celtics102-132
25/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks108-106
22/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers123-112
20/03/25HChicago Bulls127-121
18/03/25HToronto Raptors129-89
16/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-107
15/03/25HSacramento Kings122-106
13/03/25AHouston Rockets104-111
11/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies118-120
09/03/25ADallas Mavericks125-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game113.5115.3111.8
Allowed / game109.3109.4109.3
Point differential+4.2+5.9+2.5
Avg total222.9224.6221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)36% (14)60% (10)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL48%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %48%62%33%
Points / game114.4114.7114.2
Allowed / game115.9113.0118.8
Point differential-1.4+1.7-4.7
Avg total230.3227.6233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)86% (7)33% (12)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder71591283%120.1107.1+13.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers74591580%122.3112.2+10.1
3 Boston Celtics73541974%116.8107.7+9.1
4 Houston Rockets72472565%114.3109.4+4.9
5 New York Knicks71452663%116.7112.5+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets74462862%120.8117.0+3.8
7 Memphis Grizzlies73442960%122.1116.9+5.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers73442960%112.9112.2+0.7
9 Indiana Pacers73433059%117.2115.2+2.1
10 Golden State Warriors71413058%113.3111.2+2.1
11 Los Angeles Clippers73423158%112.2108.4+3.8
12 Detroit Pistons74423257%115.7113.0+2.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves73413256%113.5109.3+4.2
14 Milwaukee Bucks70383254%114.5112.5+2.0
15 Sacramento Kings73363749%116.2115.7+0.5
16 Dallas Mavericks73363749%115.0115.1-0.0
17 Orlando Magic73353848%104.8105.9-1.1
18 Phoenix Suns73353848%114.4115.9-1.4
19 Atlanta Hawks71343748%117.8119.8-1.9
20 Chicago Bulls73334045%117.3119.7-2.4
21 Miami Heat73324144%109.4110.3-0.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers74324243%110.9114.4-3.5
23 San Antonio Spurs72314143%114.3116.3-2.0
24 Toronto Raptors74274736%110.4115.1-4.6
25 Philadelphia 76ers73235032%110.0115.7-5.6
26 Brooklyn Nets74235131%105.0111.9-6.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans73205327%110.6119.2-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets73185525%105.7113.9-8.2
29 Washington Wizards73165722%108.7121.0-12.3
30 Utah Jazz74165822%111.8120.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves27303532124
Phoenix Suns21243034109
← all games of the day
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