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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 103-124
22-29 23-30 36-32 22-33
Position#3
Record56-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game107.7
vs
Position#20
Record34-41
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-118
112
118
-6
100avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
103-91
103
91
+12
92avg 109
A14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
115-113
115
113
+2
111avg 109
A15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
104-96
104
96
+8
102avg 109
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
121-99
121
99
+22
113avg 109
A22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
129-116
129
116
+13
126avg 109
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
113-95
113
95
+18
105avg 109
A25/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
132-102
132
102
+30
134avg 109
A27/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
121-111
121
111
+10
121avg 109
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
117-103
117
103
+14
113avg 109
A31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-33
30-30
28-25
24-30
30-23
20-27
28-27
25-14
30-27
33-24
23-30
29-32
21-26
23-23
27-21
33-26
35-21
25-30
29-24
32-24
34-24
30-27
38-39
27-26
30-29
26-22
32-27
25-17
42-38
31-16
35-27
24-21
36-27
28-25
30-29
27-30
25-32
41-29
26-24
25-18
221.1Avg total
116.7Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)116.9107.7224.6+9.275%
Season at home (36)117.2109.3226.6+7.967%
Season away (39)116.5106.2222.7+10.482%
Last 10 (10)116.7104.4221.1+12.390%
Last 5 (5)122.4105.4227.8+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)113.3115.3228.7-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)116.8105.7222.5+11.189%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
81avg 104
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
91-125
91
125
-34
78avg 104
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
95-116
95
116
-21
88avg 104
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 104
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
96avg 104
H22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
122-105
122
105
+17
117avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-86
112
86
+26
113avg 104
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
122-112
122
112
+10
117avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-95
118
95
+23
116avg 104
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
120-94
120
94
+26
122avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
27-20
27-28
14-25
27-38
21-25
19-31
24-31
29-18
20-29
15-41
31-28
32-22
28-36
33-30
20-28
27-23
32-28
21-27
18-24
20-26
37-21
39-28
26-30
28-22
29-18
26-30
29-16
22-32
38-23
33-25
29-32
34-29
28-24
34-22
22-20
36-23
22-24
34-28
28-19
213.6Avg total
108.2Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)109.6109.9219.5-0.345%
Season at home (37)111.4109.8221.2+1.549%
Season away (38)108.0109.9217.9-2.042%
Last 10 (10)108.2105.4213.6+2.850%
Last 5 (5)118.898.4217.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)99.5113.0212.5-13.50%
vs Similar (12)114.4111.7226.1+2.850%
vs Weaker (7)108.998.9207.7+10.071%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A25/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A27/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A31/03
NBA
113.3Avg total
60.0Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.152.4112.5+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.452.9113.3+7.569%-
Last 30 away (17)59.952.0111.9+7.982%-
Last 10 (10)60.053.3113.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)64.653.8118.4+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)62.757.0119.7+5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)59.851.9111.7+7.978%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A31/03
NBA
107.1Avg total
56.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.653.2109.8+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.952.2108.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)57.454.2111.6+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)56.051.1107.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)58.848.4107.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)52.553.7106.3-1.236%-
vs Similar (12)59.654.9114.5+4.775%-
vs Weaker (7)57.949.3107.1+8.686%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers56.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.923.2
61.2%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.518.7
36.3%
35.9%56.1
🏀 Free throws17.514.2
81.1%
77.8%14.2
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 51.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.429.1
55.5%
54.3%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.4
39.7%
35.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
77.8%12.8
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWWWWL
Miami Heat
WWWWWLLLLL
#3
League position
#20
+12.8
Net rating
+2.9
121.7
Offensive rating
112.4
108.8
Defensive rating
109.5
57.3%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.3%
3-point %
39.7%
66.1%
Assist %
61.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 112.4Defence108.8 · 109.5Shooting57.3% · 57.1%3-point %36.3% · 39.7%Ball care11.1% · 15.4%Off. rebounds27.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Boston Celtics wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies117-103
30/03/25ASan Antonio Spurs121-111
27/03/25APhoenix Suns132-102
25/03/25ASacramento Kings113-95
23/03/25APortland Trail Blazers129-116
22/03/25AUtah Jazz121-99
18/03/25HBrooklyn Nets104-96
15/03/25ABrooklyn Nets115-113
14/03/25AMiami Heat103-91
12/03/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-118
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25AWashington Wizards120-94
29/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers118-95
27/03/25HAtlanta Hawks122-112
25/03/25HGolden State Warriors112-86
23/03/25HCharlotte Hornets122-105
22/03/25HHouston Rockets98-102
19/03/25HDetroit Pistons113-116
17/03/25ANew York Knicks95-116
16/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies91-125
14/03/25HBoston Celtics91-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753639
Win %75%67%82%
Points / game116.9117.2116.5
Allowed / game107.7109.3106.2
Point differential+9.2+7.9+10.4
Avg total224.6226.6222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%42%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)56% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %7%8%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW45%
HomeLLWWW49%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %45%49%42%
Points / game109.6111.4108.0
Allowed / game109.9109.8109.9
Point differential-0.3+1.5-2.0
Avg total219.5221.2217.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%35%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (23)20% (10)46% (13)
Overtime %9%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73611284%120.6107.2+13.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers76611580%122.4112.2+10.1
3 Boston Celtics75561975%116.9107.7+9.2
4 Houston Rockets74482665%114.5109.3+5.2
5 New York Knicks75482764%116.3112.0+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets76472962%121.1117.0+4.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers75462961%113.1112.2+0.8
8 Golden State Warriors74443059%114.0111.1+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers76453159%117.1115.2+1.9
10 Memphis Grizzlies76443258%122.0117.3+4.7
11 Minnesota Timberwolves76443258%114.2109.6+4.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers75433257%112.2108.4+3.8
13 Detroit Pistons75423356%115.5113.1+2.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks73393453%114.8113.1+1.7
15 Dallas Mavericks75373849%115.0115.1-0.1
16 Orlando Magic76373949%105.0105.6-0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks73353848%118.2119.9-1.8
18 Sacramento Kings76364047%115.7115.7-0.0
19 Phoenix Suns76354146%114.4116.6-2.2
20 Miami Heat75344145%109.6109.9-0.3
21 Chicago Bulls76344245%117.6120.0-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers76334343%110.9114.3-3.5
23 San Antonio Spurs75314441%114.0116.8-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors76284837%110.8115.3-4.5
25 Brooklyn Nets76255133%105.2111.8-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers76235330%109.6115.7-6.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans75215428%110.2118.8-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets76195725%105.6113.6-8.1
29 Washington Wizards76175922%108.7120.8-12.1
30 Utah Jazz76166021%111.5120.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics22233622103
Miami Heat29303233124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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