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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-106
25-30 29-28 27-20 27-28
Position#22
Record34-37
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Position#13
Record38-30
FormWLLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
119-117
119
117
+2
118avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
140avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
125-116
125
116
+9
132avg 108
A09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
118-120
118
120
-2
114avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
104-111
104
111
-7
101avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
122-106
122
106
+16
122avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
89avg 108
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
129-89
129
89
+40
134avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-121
127
121
+6
125avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 108
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
19-41
27-30
43-22
28-37
28-31
35-34
34-23
32-24
28-30
37-32
28-30
34-26
25-31
31-38
28-25
27-32
25-25
27-31
25-23
36-22
26-35
35-25
25-24
15-31
22-23
34-29
25-24
24-29
39-11
30-24
36-25
31-22
32-29
36-33
28-37
35-34
27-17
36-28
25-33
235.2Avg total
120.4Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)114.7115.8230.5-1.148%
Season at home (35)115.2112.6227.9+2.663%
Season away (36)114.2118.8233.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)120.4114.8235.2+5.660%
Last 5 (5)119.4107.0226.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)115.6121.9237.5-6.327%
vs Similar (10)116.5115.1231.6+1.450%
vs Weaker (5)120.6110.4231.0+10.280%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
137-107
137
107
+30
142avg 106
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
109-111
109
111
-2
101avg 106
H09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
100-112
100
112
-12
87avg 106
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
114-115
114
115
-1
115avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
126-106
126
106
+20
125avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
126-119
126
119
+7
130avg 106
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-121
105
121
-16
89avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-104
93
104
-11
77avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-89
118
89
+29
110avg 106
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
114-108
114
108
+6
106avg 106
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-30
29-23
34-26
31-28
20-34
27-26
29-30
33-21
32-34
20-28
25-22
23-28
28-32
27-25
33-31
26-27
33-29
38-34
31-19
24-24
38-30
27-30
35-22
26-37
26-24
15-29
33-39
31-29
27-32
17-26
32-20
17-26
34-19
23-27
34-23
27-20
17-25
32-36
37-28
28-19
223.4Avg total
114.2Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)114.6112.3226.9+2.356%
Season at home (34)117.7111.6229.3+6.165%
Season away (34)111.5113.0224.5-1.547%
Last 10 (10)114.2109.2223.4+5.050%
Last 5 (5)111.2108.2219.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.3119.3219.7-19.00%
vs Similar (20)116.8111.4228.2+5.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)118.4116.9235.3+1.671%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H22/03
NBA
111.7Avg total
56.3Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.855.5112.2+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.154.1113.2+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)54.756.7111.4-2.056%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.4111.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)57.450.6108.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)56.657.3113.9-0.760%-
vs Similar (10)55.255.1110.3+0.160%-
vs Weaker (5)60.450.6111.0+9.880%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A23/03
NBA
112.6Avg total
55.3Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.758.6117.4+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.457.5115.9+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)59.059.6118.6-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)55.357.3112.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)51.255.6106.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.764.3110.0-18.70%-
vs Similar (20)59.257.4116.7+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)62.959.7122.6+3.171%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 120.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.528.2
57.0%
54.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.115.7
42.3%
35.9%47.1
🏀 Free throws19.916.9
84.9%
77.8%16.9
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.427.6
55.9%
54.3%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.013.1
38.5%
35.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.219.7
78.2%
77.8%19.7
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWLLWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLLWWLLLW
#22
League position
#13
+5.7
Net rating
+5.0
123.1
Offensive rating
115.3
117.3
Defensive rating
110.3
59.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
42.3%
3-point %
38.5%
71.1%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 115.3Defence117.3 · 110.3Shooting59.8% · 56.7%3-point %42.3% · 38.5%Ball care12.7% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.2% · 20.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Phoenix Suns wins
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers123-112
20/03/25HChicago Bulls127-121
18/03/25HToronto Raptors129-89
16/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-107
15/03/25HSacramento Kings122-106
13/03/25AHouston Rockets104-111
11/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies118-120
09/03/25ADallas Mavericks125-116
08/03/25ADenver Nuggets141-149 OT
05/03/25HLos Angeles Clippers119-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ASacramento Kings114-108
21/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers118-89
19/03/25AGolden State Warriors93-104
17/03/25HOklahoma City Thunder105-121
16/03/25HIndiana Pacers126-119
13/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers126-106
11/03/25AIndiana Pacers114-115
10/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers100-112
09/03/25HOrlando Magic109-111
06/03/25HDallas Mavericks137-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeWWWWW63%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %48%63%33%
Points / game114.7115.2114.2
Allowed / game115.8112.6118.8
Point differential-1.1+2.6-4.7
Avg total230.5227.9233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%26%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)83% (6)33% (12)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLLWWL65%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game114.6117.7111.5
Allowed / game112.3111.6113.0
Point differential+2.3+6.1-1.5
Avg total226.9229.3224.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)20% (5)45% (11)
Overtime %1%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder69571283%120.0107.1+12.9
2 Cleveland Cavaliers71571480%122.3111.9+10.4
3 Boston Celtics71521973%116.7108.0+8.7
4 Houston Rockets70452564%114.1109.3+4.8
5 New York Knicks69442564%116.6112.3+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets73452862%120.7117.0+3.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies71432861%122.1116.9+5.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers71432861%112.7112.0+0.7
9 Indiana Pacers71422959%116.6115.2+1.4
10 Golden State Warriors70412959%113.7111.2+2.5
11 Los Angeles Clippers71403156%111.8108.5+3.3
12 Minnesota Timberwolves73413256%113.5109.3+4.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks68383056%114.6112.3+2.3
14 Detroit Pistons72403256%115.3113.1+2.2
15 Sacramento Kings70353550%116.5115.8+0.7
16 Dallas Mavericks71353649%115.3115.2+0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks69343549%118.0119.7-1.8
18 Orlando Magic71343748%104.9106.0-1.1
19 Phoenix Suns71343748%114.7115.8-1.1
20 Chicago Bulls72324044%117.3119.7-2.4
21 Portland Trail Blazers72324044%111.0114.1-3.2
22 San Antonio Spurs70313944%114.6116.1-1.6
23 Miami Heat71304142%109.2110.6-1.5
24 Toronto Raptors72254735%110.4115.7-5.3
25 Philadelphia 76ers72234932%110.0115.6-5.6
26 Brooklyn Nets72234932%105.3111.5-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans73205327%110.6119.2-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets71185325%105.8114.0-8.2
29 Utah Jazz72165622%112.0119.8-7.8
30 Washington Wizards71155621%108.6120.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns25292727108
Milwaukee Bucks30282028106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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