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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 133-123
31-19 29-38 35-26 38-40
Position#13
Record38-34
FormWLLLL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game113.0
vs
Position#22
Record35-40
FormWWLLL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game116.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
126-106
126
106
+20
125avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
126-119
126
119
+7
130avg 106
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-121
105
121
-16
89avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-104
93
104
-11
77avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-89
118
89
+29
110avg 106
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
114-108
114
108
+6
106avg 106
A23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
106-108
106
108
-2
94avg 106
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
117-127
117
127
-10
112avg 106
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
101avg 106
H29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
124-145
124
145
-21
111avg 106
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
38-34
31-19
24-24
38-30
27-30
35-22
26-37
26-24
15-29
33-39
31-29
27-32
17-26
32-20
17-26
34-19
23-27
34-23
27-20
17-25
32-36
37-28
28-19
30-25
28-29
20-27
28-27
27-38
37-29
28-33
25-27
19-25
30-35
24-21
34-35
44-37
31-45
17-36
32-27
227.9Avg total
113.6Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)114.5113.0227.5+1.653%
Season at home (36)117.6112.7230.2+4.961%
Season away (36)111.5113.3224.8-1.844%
Last 10 (10)113.6114.3227.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)113.6120.8234.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.3119.3219.7-19.00%
vs Similar (21)116.2114.0230.2+2.352%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)114.5117.8232.3-3.350%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
104-111
104
111
-7
101avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
122-106
122
106
+16
122avg 108
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
89avg 108
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
129-89
129
89
+40
134avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-121
127
121
+6
125avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 108
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
108-106
108
106
+2
109avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-132
102
132
-30
88avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
109-124
109
124
-15
105avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
109-148
109
148
-39
101avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
25-25
27-31
25-23
36-22
26-35
35-25
25-24
15-31
22-23
34-29
25-24
24-29
39-11
30-24
36-25
31-22
32-29
36-33
28-37
35-34
27-17
36-28
25-33
25-30
29-28
27-20
27-28
38-42
16-31
27-35
21-24
21-27
24-30
30-35
34-32
24-32
25-46
24-34
36-36
228.5Avg total
112.9Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.3116.4230.7-2.147%
Season at home (38)114.5113.9228.4+0.661%
Season away (37)114.0119.0233.0-4.932%
Last 10 (10)112.9115.6228.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)110.2124.4234.6-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)115.2124.2239.5-9.024%
vs Similar (10)116.5115.1231.6+1.450%
vs Weaker (3)125.3119.7245.0+5.767%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H30/03
NBA
117.7Avg total
57.3Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.460.0118.4-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.060.1118.1-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)58.759.9118.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)57.360.4117.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)59.064.8123.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.764.3110.0-18.70%-
vs Similar (21)59.259.2118.4-0.048%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)61.860.5122.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A16/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H31/03
NBA
111.7Avg total
54.1Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.957.6113.5-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.157.7114.9-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)54.757.5112.2-2.953%-
Last 10 (10)54.157.6111.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)52.863.4116.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)55.660.0115.6-4.447%-
vs Similar (10)55.255.1110.3+0.160%-
vs Weaker (3)60.052.7112.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.526.1
56.1%
54.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.4
37.3%
35.9%40.2
🏀 Free throws27.721.2
76.5%
77.8%21.2
They take 82.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.726.3
55.1%
54.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.915.2
40.1%
35.9%45.6
🏀 Free throws17.214.7
85.5%
77.8%14.7
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLWWLLWW
Phoenix Suns
LLLWWWWLWL
#13
League position
#22
-0.7
Net rating
-2.8
115.7
Offensive rating
116.6
116.4
Defensive rating
119.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
57.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
11.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
17.7%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.3%
3-point %
40.1%
61.5%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 116.6Defence116.4 · 119.4Shooting56.1% · 57.4%3-point %37.3% · 40.1%Ball care11.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds17.7% · 25.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HAtlanta Hawks124-145
29/03/25HNew York Knicks107-116
27/03/25ADenver Nuggets117-127
25/03/25APhoenix Suns106-108
23/03/25ASacramento Kings114-108
21/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers118-89
19/03/25AGolden State Warriors93-104
17/03/25HOklahoma City Thunder105-121
16/03/25HIndiana Pacers126-119
13/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers126-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25HHouston Rockets109-148
29/03/25AMinnesota Timberwolves109-124
27/03/25HBoston Celtics102-132
25/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks108-106
22/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers123-112
20/03/25HChicago Bulls127-121
18/03/25HToronto Raptors129-89
16/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-107
15/03/25HSacramento Kings122-106
13/03/25AHouston Rockets104-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWLLL61%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %53%61%44%
Points / game114.5117.6111.5
Allowed / game113.0112.7113.3
Point differential+1.6+4.9-1.8
Avg total227.5230.2224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)20% (5)42% (12)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %47%61%32%
Points / game114.3114.5114.0
Allowed / game116.4113.9119.0
Point differential-2.1+0.6-4.9
Avg total230.7228.4233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)86% (7)33% (12)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73611284%120.6107.2+13.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers75601580%122.3112.3+10.0
3 Boston Celtics75561975%116.9107.7+9.2
4 Houston Rockets74482665%114.5109.3+5.2
5 New York Knicks73472664%116.6112.1+4.5
6 Denver Nuggets75472863%120.9116.7+4.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers75462961%113.1112.2+0.8
8 Golden State Warriors73433059%113.8110.9+2.8
9 Memphis Grizzlies75443159%121.9117.1+4.9
10 Indiana Pacers75443159%117.1115.3+1.8
11 Minnesota Timberwolves75433257%113.8109.2+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers75433257%112.2108.4+3.8
13 Detroit Pistons75423356%115.5113.1+2.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks72383453%114.5113.0+1.6
15 Dallas Mavericks75373849%115.0115.1-0.1
16 Atlanta Hawks72353749%118.2119.8-1.6
17 Sacramento Kings75363948%115.8115.7+0.0
18 Orlando Magic75363948%104.8105.6-0.8
19 Phoenix Suns75354047%114.3116.4-2.1
20 Miami Heat75344145%109.6109.9-0.3
21 Chicago Bulls75334244%117.3120.0-2.7
22 Portland Trail Blazers75324343%110.7114.4-3.7
23 San Antonio Spurs74314342%114.2116.8-2.6
24 Toronto Raptors75284737%110.7115.0-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets76255133%105.2111.8-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers75235231%109.8115.8-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans75215428%110.2118.8-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets75195625%105.6113.6-8.0
29 Washington Wizards75165921%108.6120.9-12.3
30 Utah Jazz76166021%111.5120.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks31293538133
Phoenix Suns19382640123
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