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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-113
20-29 24-32 31-29 29-23
Position#25
Record11-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game114.2
Toronto Raptors
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#3
Record18-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 105
A27/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
103-115
103
115
-12
87avg 105
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
112-105
112
105
+7
104avg 105
H30/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
106-119
106
119
-13
98avg 105
H02/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
103-112
103
112
-9
100avg 105
H07/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
116-119
116
119
-3
111avg 105
A09/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
130-136
130
136
-6
120avg 105
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
135-128
135
128
+7
142avg 105
H14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
104-125
104
125
-21
99avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-99
114
99
+15
116avg 105
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
24-17
20-32
30-31
21-22
23-30
31-24
28-39
27-20
33-33
26-27
26-25
26-34
31-23
20-33
29-29
32-37
34-27
18-23
19-25
22-35
32-31
23-24
39-29
35-35
25-31
37-32
33-38
31-39
33-27
39-29
32-33
24-30
25-29
29-28
26-38
19-27
29-25
31-29
35-18
228.8Avg total
112.5Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)112.5114.2226.7-1.742%
Season at home (15)112.7111.3224.0+1.353%
Season away (11)112.4118.1230.5-5.727%
Last 10 (10)112.5116.3228.8-3.830%
Last 5 (5)119.8121.4241.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)110.5115.2225.7-4.733%
vs Similar (9)114.0109.1223.1+4.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
134-124
134
124
+10
130avg 111
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 111
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
117-123
117
123
-6
112avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 111
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
106-114
106
114
-8
94avg 111
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 111
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 111
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 111
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 111
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 111
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
35-33
32-38
26-27
41-30
29-33
24-28
25-20
30-25
20-39
28-24
39-35
36-21
21-40
25-18
20-32
22-27
26-25
26-40
32-22
28-36
37-26
38-24
26-36
32-25
25-25
35-30
22-26
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
232.6Avg total
119.2Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)115.2110.5225.8+4.764%
Season at home (13)121.0110.3231.3+10.785%
Season away (15)110.3110.7221.0-0.547%
Last 10 (10)119.2113.4232.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)122.8110.2233.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)113.7112.1225.8+1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)115.3104.5219.8+10.7100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H30/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H02/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H07/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A09/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H16/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H19/12
NBA
113.1Avg total
55.4Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.856.4110.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.055.5112.5+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)49.657.6107.2-8.023%-
Last 10 (10)55.457.7113.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)55.061.8116.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.557.6112.1-3.143%-
vs Similar (9)52.253.6105.8-1.344%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.0113.9+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.353.6112.9+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)56.858.1114.8-1.362%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.3116.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)59.652.8112.4+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)58.158.1116.2+0.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)57.652.4110.0+5.382%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.932.0
55.3%
54.4%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.7
32.5%
36.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.4
72.9%
78.2%16.4
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.932.7
53.7%
54.4%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.3
39.4%
36.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.9
76.1%
78.2%16.9
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLWLLLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLLLWW
#25
League position
#3
-3.8
Net rating
+5.8
113.1
Offensive rating
120.1
116.9
Defensive rating
114.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
12.3%
Turnover %
9.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.5%
3-point %
39.4%
68.6%
Assist %
68.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 120.1Defence116.9 · 114.3Shooting52.9% · 55.5%3-point %32.5% · 39.4%Ball care12.3% · 9.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 26.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
14/03/23Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets125-110
07/03/23Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors118-113
13/03/22Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors115-127
13/02/22Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets109-110
30/04/21Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors121-111
24/03/21Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets135-111
14/08/20Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets117-109
01/03/20Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors133-118
17/12/18Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors95-86
04/12/18Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets103-106
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HCharlotte Hornets114-99
16/12/23HAtlanta Hawks104-125
14/12/23HAtlanta Hawks135-128
12/12/23ANew York Knicks130-136
09/12/23ACharlotte Hornets116-119
07/12/23HMiami Heat103-112
02/12/23HNew York Knicks106-119
30/11/23HPhoenix Suns112-105
29/11/23ABrooklyn Nets103-115
27/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers102-105
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101
13/12/23AChicago Bulls114-106
12/12/23AAtlanta Hawks129-122
09/12/23HHouston Rockets106-114
07/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers102-111
03/12/23ASacramento Kings117-123
02/12/23APhoenix Suns119-111
30/11/23HHouston Rockets134-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %42%53%27%
Points / game112.5112.7112.4
Allowed / game114.2111.3118.1
Point differential-1.7+1.3-5.7
Avg total226.7224.0230.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%18%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWLWLW85%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %64%85%47%
Points / game115.2121.0110.3
Allowed / game110.5110.3110.7
Point differential+4.7+10.7-0.5
Avg total225.8231.3221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%62%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2520580%118.2108.9+9.3
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2620677%113.5106.7+6.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks2519676%124.0118.8+5.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers2719870%122.3111.0+11.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2517868%120.2113.0+7.2
6 Sacramento Kings2416867%118.2116.8+1.5
7 Denver Nuggets28181064%115.2110.5+4.7
8 Los Angeles Clippers26161062%117.0110.7+6.3
9 Orlando Magic26161062%113.0110.1+2.9
10 Dallas Mavericks26161062%119.3117.6+1.7
11 New York Knicks25151060%114.2110.4+3.8
12 New Orleans Pelicans26151158%116.5113.0+3.5
13 Miami Heat28161257%112.9111.8+1.1
14 Cleveland Cavaliers28161257%112.4112.1+0.4
15 Houston Rockets24131154%110.7107.3+3.4
16 Phoenix Suns26141254%115.3114.1+1.2
17 Los Angeles Lakers25131252%113.4114.9-1.5
18 Brooklyn Nets26131350%116.1115.1+1.0
19 Indiana Pacers24121250%128.2127.4+0.8
20 Golden State Warriors27131448%116.5116.0+0.4
21 Atlanta Hawks26111542%122.7122.7+0.0
22 Toronto Raptors26111542%112.5114.2-1.7
23 Chicago Bulls28111739%109.9113.3-3.4
24 Utah Jazz28101836%112.3119.7-7.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies2671927%106.0112.5-6.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers2671927%107.7114.2-6.5
27 Charlotte Hornets2671927%111.0121.6-10.6
28 Washington Wizards2642215%117.0126.8-9.9
29 San Antonio Spurs2642215%110.9122.5-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons272257%108.9120.8-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors20243129104
Denver Nuggets29322923113
← all games of the day
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