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Minas vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 89-52
26-5 21-12 25-18 17-17
Position#3
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game73.7
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#15
Record6-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game84.7
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Botafogo
29 Dec 2026
MINA v BOTA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MINA95
BOTA88
09 Apr 2025
MINA97
BOTA59
08 Jan 2024
MINA89
BOTA52
14 Oct 2019
MINA84
BOTA85
04 Dec 2018
MINA85
BOTA77
25 Nov 2017
MINA74
BOTA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 84
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
84avg 84
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
67-68
67
68
-1
63avg 84
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 84
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
90avg 84
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 84
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 84
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-55
84
55
+29
82avg 84
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-71
95
71
+24
100avg 84
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
19-21
17-21
26-20
23-15
20-22
12-20
30-25
25-9
19-17
17-26
21-30
23-20
13-26
17-10
14-12
27-20
24-28
19-35
26-22
31-21
22-15
22-13
16-12
22-10
34-22
15-21
20-18
23-20
23-14
16-27
22-14
17-22
26-14
23-4
18-15
26-14
26-14
19-14
24-29
161.9Avg total
87.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.373.7159.0+11.783%
Season at home (9)85.474.6160.0+10.978%
Season away (9)85.272.8158.0+12.489%
Last 10 (10)87.274.7161.9+12.580%
Last 5 (5)89.066.6155.6+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.893.2183.0-3.333%
vs Similar (7)76.475.9152.3+0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.673.9160.5+12.788%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 65
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 65
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 65
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 65
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 65
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 65
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 65
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 65
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 65
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
24-28
16-12
20-16
17-17
21-17
18-26
25-26
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
22-14
22-32
22-14
17-20
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
167.8Avg total
82.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.484.7163.1-6.333%
Season at home (9)79.084.6163.6-5.644%
Season away (9)77.884.8162.6-7.022%
Last 10 (10)82.085.8167.8-3.850%
Last 5 (5)86.689.0175.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.985.5163.4-7.629%
vs Similar (10)80.882.4163.2-1.650%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
MinasBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H29/12
NBB
82.0Avg total
46.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.038.283.2+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.636.981.6+7.775%-
Last 30 away (14)45.439.685.0+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)46.735.382.0+11.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.033.283.2+16.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.046.594.5+1.533%-
vs Similar (7)39.435.474.9+4.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.236.482.6+9.882%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
81.7Avg total
38.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.179.5-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.342.482.6-2.129%-
Last 30 away (16)36.640.176.7-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.081.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.080.2-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.242.780.9-4.529%-
vs Similar (10)38.739.177.8-0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.1
52.9%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.0
41.0%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
72.6%14.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.5
49.1%
51.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
72.6%16.1
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWLLWWW
Botafogo
WLWWLLWLLW
#3
League position
#15
+17.7
Net rating
-4.9
116.0
Offensive rating
104.8
98.3
Defensive rating
109.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.0%
3-point %
31.8%
69.8%
Assist %
58.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 104.8Defence98.3 · 109.7Shooting56.6% · 48.5%3-point %41.0% · 31.8%Ball care16.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minas wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Botafogo v Minas76-96
28/01/20Botafogo v Minas84-86
14/10/19Minas v Botafogo84-85
06/03/19Botafogo v Minas79-62
04/12/18Minas v Botafogo85-77
20/02/18Botafogo v Minas70-76
25/11/17Minas v Botafogo74-56
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HUniao Corinthians95-71
27/12/23HCaxias do Sul84-55
22/12/23HPato84-75
20/12/23HBrasilia91-71
16/12/23APinheiros91-61
14/12/23ACorinthians Paulista96-105
06/12/23HCerrado67-68
01/12/23HCearense93-88 OT
29/11/23HUnifacisa85-82
25/11/23APaulistano86-71
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78
29/11/23HBauru83-80
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
20/11/23AMogi81-86
18/11/23HCerrado74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%78%89%
Points / game85.385.485.2
Allowed / game73.774.672.8
Point differential+11.7+10.9+12.4
Avg total159.0160.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%44%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeWWWWL44%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game78.479.077.8
Allowed / game84.784.684.8
Point differential-6.3-5.6-7.0
Avg total163.1163.6162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1816289%84.573.3+11.2
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1814478%86.375.4+10.9
4 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
5 Paulistano1913668%74.270.5+3.7
6 Unifacisa1812667%81.778.0+3.7
7 Bauru2012860%78.877.2+1.7
8 Sao Jose1810856%80.074.9+5.1
9 Cearense1810856%78.175.8+2.2
10 Corinthians Paulista1881044%80.482.0-1.6
11 Pato1981142%75.377.3-2.0
12 Sao Paulo1981142%76.578.9-2.4
13 Pinheiros1871139%76.479.1-2.7
14 Botafogo1861233%78.484.7-6.3
15 Caxias do Sul1861233%72.179.2-7.1
16 Cerrado1851328%73.775.4-1.7
17 Uniao Corinthians1851328%71.680.8-9.2
18 Mogi1831517%73.279.9-6.7
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2621251789
Botafogo512181752
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