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Brasilia vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 84-61
25-12 16-20 20-16 23-13
Position#5
Record18-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game71.8
Brasilia 🏆
Brazil
vs
Vasco
Brazil
Position#20
Record4-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Vasco
07 Feb 2026
BRAS84
VASC61
05 Apr 2025
BRAS77
VASC79
08 Mar 2024
BRAS84
VASC89
13 Oct 2018
BRAS76
VASC77
12 Nov 2016
BRAS95
VASC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 72
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 72
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 72
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 72
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-64
89
64
+25
84avg 72
H03/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
9-16
20-13
23-13
20-18
20-18
19-8
25-25
21-16
15-27
21-17
27-32
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
18-20
29-6
13-17
18-17
7-15
19-12
34-22
17-16
25-23
22-14
21-12
28-15
16-16
14-25
21-18
21-13
17-21
12-18
30-18
5-13
23-19
23-22
15-10
28-13
148.2Avg total
79.2Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.471.8153.2+9.672%
Season at home (11)83.869.6153.5+14.291%
Season away (14)79.573.5153.0+6.057%
Last 10 (10)79.269.0148.2+10.270%
Last 5 (5)81.469.2150.6+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (13)72.373.5145.8-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.670.6156.2+14.988%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 68
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
76avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 68
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
65avg 68
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
60-67
60
67
-7
49avg 68
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 68
A02/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
17-21
23-15
10-23
25-20
19-22
19-29
19-27
23-24
14-21
21-24
14-16
26-17
10-20
25-18
14-24
29-11
12-21
24-18
12-17
19-19
7-25
16-16
18-11
19-15
19-24
13-21
23-20
29-10
152.0Avg total
73.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.579.0148.4-9.517%
Season at home (10)72.881.5154.3-8.710%
Season away (14)67.177.1144.2-10.121%
Last 10 (10)73.678.4152.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)72.873.6146.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.580.5149.0-12.010%
vs Similar (10)77.779.1156.8-1.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +6.6+6.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +6.6+6.6
BrasiliaVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/02
NBB
71.3Avg total
36.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.975.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.436.877.2+3.569%-
Last 30 away (17)37.636.974.5+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.171.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.072.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.337.471.7-3.131%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.736.178.8+6.681%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/02
NBB
74.7Avg total
32.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.239.574.7-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.038.873.8-3.831%-
Last 30 away (17)35.439.975.4-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)32.841.974.7-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)32.241.673.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.539.973.3-6.425%-
vs Similar (10)38.738.777.4+0.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.614.8
50.0%
52.2%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.8
31.2%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
72.8%15.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.9
48.4%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.7
31.6%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.613.4
65.0%
72.8%13.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLLWWWWLWW
Vasco
WLLWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#20
+4.9
Net rating
-6.8
94.4
Offensive rating
92.1
89.5
Defensive rating
98.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.2%
3-point %
31.6%
67.1%
Assist %
72.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 92.1Defence89.5 · 98.9Shooting48.4% · 48.0%3-point %31.2% · 31.6%Ball care18.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brasilia wins
5
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Vasco v Brasilia59-81
05/04/25Brasilia v Vasco77-79
12/12/24Vasco v Brasilia79-88
08/03/24Brasilia v Vasco84-89
19/11/23Vasco v Brasilia79-54
07/03/19Vasco v Brasilia78-94
13/10/18Brasilia v Vasco76-77
19/01/17Vasco v Brasilia85-76
12/11/16Brasilia v Vasco95-72
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HUniao Corinthians89-64
21/01/26APinheiros64-70
19/01/26APaulistano81-83 OT
16/01/26AOsasco96-64
12/01/26HCaxias do Sul77-65
09/01/26ARio Claro78-60
29/12/25ABauru71-66
27/12/25AFranca84-92
23/12/25HPato84-69
16/12/25AMogi68-57
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/26APato84-75
20/01/26HMogi60-67
17/01/26HCorinthians Paulista67-75
13/01/26ACearense78-73
10/01/26AUnifacisa75-78
27/12/25HFlamengo80-102
23/12/25ACruzeiro75-79
21/12/25AMinas59-71
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW72%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %72%91%57%
Points / game81.483.879.5
Allowed / game71.869.673.5
Point differential+9.6+14.2+6.0
Avg total153.2153.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW17%
HomeLWLLL10%
AwayLLLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %17%10%21%
Points / game69.572.867.1
Allowed / game79.081.577.1
Point differential-9.5-8.7-10.1
Avg total148.4154.3144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2420483%87.675.1+12.5
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2518772%81.471.8+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2516964%83.179.4+3.8
8 Paulistano2415962%81.277.0+4.2
9 Unifacisa24131154%81.080.1+0.9
10 Mogi23121152%76.069.4+6.5
11 Bauru25131252%77.477.9-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians24121250%79.882.3-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2371630%79.185.4-6.3
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2561924%73.480.4-7.1
17 Cearense2451921%77.787.6-9.9
18 Botafogo2451921%72.282.3-10.2
19 Vasco2442017%69.579.0-9.5
20 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2516202384
Vasco1220161361
← all games of the day
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