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Breogan vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 100-103
25-18 23-32 30-27 22-26
Position#11
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#3
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game89.2
SpainACBRound 13· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Baskonia
21 May 2027
BRE v BAS
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
BRE100
BAS103
30 Mar 2025
BRE88
BAS82
24 Sep 2023
BRE79
BAS88
27 Dec 2022
BRE77
BAS86
19 Jan 2022
BRE89
BAS83
10 Mar 2019
BRE72
BAS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 76
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 76
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
95-74
95
74
+21
82avg 76
H01/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
81-92
81
92
-11
79avg 76
H08/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 76
A16/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
105-78
105
78
+27
101avg 76
H22/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
66avg 76
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
86avg 76
H13/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
90avg 76
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 76
A27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
27-24
23-24
22-17
18-28
23-16
26-28
18-28
38-14
13-22
20-17
24-21
11-23
26-26
27-28
17-15
25-15
23-23
22-19
26-26
30-18
27-20
20-15
28-25
14-30
16-30
23-24
27-19
24-33
27-26
20-22
25-27
21-23
24-24
26-22
29-30
18-17
17-26
19-11
21-29
180.5Avg total
90.1Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.292.0180.2-3.842%
Season at home (6)94.594.0188.5+0.550%
Season away (6)82.090.0172.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)90.190.4180.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)91.294.2185.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.788.6170.3-6.939%
vs Similar (9)90.794.9185.6-4.233%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
110-91
110
91
+19
107avg 82
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
63avg 82
A25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
80avg 82
H05/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 82
H07/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 82
A11/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 82
H17/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
124-134 OT
124
134
-10
118avg 82
A19/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 82
A21/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 82
A23/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
89-77
89
77
+12
80avg 82
H27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
38-23
14-22
25-23
24-18
18-19
12-17
13-28
23-20
26-22
21-12
18-24
17-20
27-19
16-23
29-29
23-24
16-18
21-29
27-23
17-14
26-20
19-21
23-18
26-17
27-30
22-23
22-27
23-25
20-26
22-25
28-14
19-27
28-31
18-18
16-15
28-16
26-20
18-20
17-21
181.4Avg total
91.3Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.389.2179.5+1.155%
Season at home (5)96.487.6184.0+8.880%
Season away (6)85.290.5175.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)91.390.1181.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)94.493.0187.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)89.196.2185.2-7.117%
vs Similar (11)88.488.1176.5+0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.387.1177.4+3.171%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
BreoganBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H01/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H08/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A16/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H13/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/12
ACB
89.5Avg total
43.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.284.5-1.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.882.6-1.027%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.686.3-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.789.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.493.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.441.280.7-1.822%-
vs Similar (9)44.947.892.7-2.933%-
vs Weaker (3)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H07/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H17/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A19/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A21/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A23/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H27/12
ACB
91.7Avg total
48.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.189.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.989.0+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.547.389.8-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)48.543.291.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.045.293.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)45.045.290.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (11)44.145.689.7-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.444.187.6-0.743%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.2
53.4%
50.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.8
34.5%
42.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.119.3
80.1%
74.7%19.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.0
37.9%
42.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.9
78.9%
74.7%17.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLLWWLWLW
Baskonia
WLWLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
+1.7
115.2
Offensive rating
111.8
115.4
Defensive rating
110.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.5%
3-point %
37.9%
57.3%
Assist %
58.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 111.8Defence115.4 · 110.0Shooting52.7% · 56.5%3-point %34.5% · 37.9%Ball care15.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds33.1% · 25.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
8
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Breogan v Baskonia88-82
19/01/25Baskonia v Breogan97-91
14/04/24Baskonia v Breogan76-74
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AJoventut Badalona75-83
21/12/25HBilbao100-99
13/12/25HTenerife96-108
06/12/25ABasquet Girona80-103
22/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos105-78
16/11/25AMurcia96-83
08/11/25HGran Canaria81-92
01/11/25HGranada95-74
25/10/25ABarcelona85-100
18/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-84
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HSan Pablo Burgos89-77
23/12/25AValencia81-91
21/12/25AUnicaja93-90
19/12/25ABarcelona124-134 OT
17/12/25HMonaco85-73
11/12/25AReal Madrid87-94
07/12/25HValencia89-91
05/12/25HOlimpia Milano88-78
25/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas67-82
23/11/25HBilbao110-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game88.294.582.0
Allowed / game92.094.090.0
Point differential-3.8+0.5-8.0
Avg total180.2188.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game90.396.485.2
Allowed / game89.287.690.5
Point differential+1.1+8.8-5.3
Avg total179.5184.0175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%90.780.7+10.0
2 Murcia1210283%90.079.1+10.9
3 Valencia119282%94.183.4+10.7
4 Tenerife128467%89.883.4+6.4
5 Barcelona128467%85.178.8+6.2
6 Joventut Badalona128467%85.279.8+5.3
7 Unicaja127558%86.984.2+2.7
8 Baskonia116555%90.389.2+1.1
9 Gran Canaria115645%79.781.0-1.3
10 Bilbao125742%82.883.9-1.1
11 Breogan125742%88.292.0-3.8
12 Manresa125742%82.887.8-4.9
13 Basquet Girona125742%86.792.2-5.6
14 Basket Zaragoza114736%88.590.2-1.6
15 Forca Lleida124833%83.090.3-7.3
16 MoraBanc Andorra124833%82.692.0-9.4
17 Granada121118%81.389.4-8.1
18 San Pablo Burgos121118%87.597.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan25233022100
Baskonia18322726103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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