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Breogan vs Hapoel Holon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-72
22-17 19-16 19-22 22-17
Position#29
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game72.7
Breogan 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Pazo dos Deportes
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Holon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 62
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 62
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 62
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 62
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 62
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 62
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 62
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 62
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 62
A18/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
148.9Avg total
71.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.772.7145.3+0.033%
Season at home (1)68.048.0116.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)71.877.1148.9-5.320%
Last 5 (5)76.282.6158.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.882.6153.4-11.88%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.380.9160.1-1.636%
vs Weaker (4)79.565.5145.0+14.075%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolon
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A05/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
106-69
106
69
+37
no box
H15/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
A18/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
97-88
97
88
+9
no box
H22/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A30/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
85-112
85
112
-27
no box
H02/06
Super League
H. Afula
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
68avg 75
H21/09
League Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
66avg 75
A27/09
League Cup
Bonn
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 75
A01/11
Champions League
Breogan
#29
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 75
H15/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
26-20
22-17
21-22
22-20
29-19
27-13
28-17
25-30
19-20
26-13
26-25
21-23
28-21
21-22
27-22
25-21
18-28
21-23
12-18
19-33
19-21
24-28
23-30
22-22
18-24
15-11
24-7
13-21
19-26
18-18
25-32
14-14
24-14
18-22
19-24
22-14
21-19
24-26
17-20
170.8Avg total
86.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.576.5156.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.384.5170.8+1.870%
Last 5 (5)79.685.2164.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.494.4178.9-10.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.679.7155.2-4.133%
vs Weaker (13)93.882.7176.5+11.185%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
BreoganHapoel Holon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
68.6Avg total
32.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.674.1-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.575.0-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)33.539.773.2-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)32.536.168.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.278.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.839.070.8-7.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.540.778.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.269.5+9.050%-
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A05/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H15/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H22/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A30/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H02/06
Super League
H. Afula
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H21/09
League Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/09
League Cup
Bonn
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A01/11
Champions League
Breogan
#29
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/11
Champions League
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.184.8+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.841.484.2+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.679.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.346.788.0-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.739.378.0-0.744%-
vs Weaker (13)46.941.588.5+5.477%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.415.8
43.4%
51.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.2
30.1%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
74.5%16.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Holontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Holon: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.2
50.2%
51.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.5
42.1%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.712.6
75.4%
74.5%12.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLLLLWLL
Hapoel Holon
WWLWLLWWWW
#29
League position
#10
-6.3
Net rating
+1.9
95.8
Offensive rating
113.6
102.1
Defensive rating
111.7
44.1%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.1%
3-point %
42.1%
61.7%
Assist %
72.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 113.6Defence102.1 · 111.7Shooting44.1% · 56.1%3-point %30.1% · 42.1%Ball care19.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Hapoel Holon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
1
Hapoel Holon wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Hapoel Holon v Breogan84-79
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HBreogan84-79
01/11/23ABonn75-74
27/09/23AHapoel Jerusalem75-97
21/09/23HH. Afula79-64
02/06/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-112
30/05/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-90
22/05/23HGalil Elyon97-88
18/05/23AGalil Elyon96-88
15/05/23HGalil Elyon106-69
05/05/23AGalil Elyon90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.768.075.0
Allowed / game72.748.085.0
Point differential+0.0+20.0-10.0
Avg total145.3116.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Holon
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.584.075.0
Allowed / game76.579.074.0
Point differential+3.0+5.0+1.0
Avg total156.0163.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 AEK Athens440100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Strasbourg660100%81.774.3+7.3
5 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
6 Hapoel Holon220100%79.576.5+3.0
7 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
8 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
9 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
10 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
11 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Karsiyaka32167%81.380.0+1.3
16 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
17 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
29 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Breogan31233%72.772.7+0.0
32 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
33 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
34 Oostende31233%77.786.0-8.3
35 Bursaspor31233%71.080.3-9.3
36 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
37 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
38 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
39 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
40 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
41 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
42 Oldenburg3030%83.086.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Igokea3030%77.789.0-11.3
49 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2219192282
Hapoel Holon1716221772
← all games of the day
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