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Hapoel Holon vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-79
22-14 21-19 24-26 17-20
Position#10
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#29
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Arena Riga
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Holon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel HolonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolon
Date
Competition
Nes Ziona
#8
W
103-81
103
81
+22
no box
H30/04
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A05/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
106-69
106
69
+37
no box
H15/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
A18/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
97-88
97
88
+9
no box
H22/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A30/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
85-112
85
112
-27
no box
H02/06
Super League
H. Afula
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
68avg 75
H21/09
League Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
66avg 75
A27/09
League Cup
Bonn
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 75
A01/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
25-20
26-21
20-13
21-25
26-20
22-17
21-22
22-20
29-19
27-13
28-17
25-30
19-20
26-13
26-25
21-23
28-21
21-22
27-22
25-21
18-28
21-23
12-18
19-33
19-21
24-28
23-30
22-22
18-24
15-11
24-7
13-21
19-26
18-18
25-32
14-14
24-14
18-22
19-24
172.9Avg total
88.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.284.7172.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)78.087.4165.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.494.4178.9-10.029%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.579.8154.2-5.225%
vs Weaker (14)93.682.5176.1+11.186%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 61
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 61
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 61
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 61
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 61
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 61
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 61
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 61
H11/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
146.2Avg total
71.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)68.048.0116.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.075.2146.2-4.230%
Last 5 (5)69.680.6150.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.684.4155.1-13.87%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.080.1159.1-1.142%
vs Weaker (4)79.565.5145.0+14.075%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Hapoel HolonBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nes Ziona
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H30/04
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A05/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H15/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H22/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A30/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H02/06
Super League
H. Afula
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H21/09
League Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/09
League Cup
Bonn
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A01/11
Champions League
88.8Avg total
43.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.585.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.842.084.8+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.085.7-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.988.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.346.788.0-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.140.178.2-2.038%-
vs Weaker (14)46.741.888.5+4.971%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
68.1Avg total
31.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.839.073.8-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.575.0-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)32.140.572.5-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)31.936.268.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.671.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.940.572.4-8.67%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.740.276.8-3.533%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.269.5+9.050%-
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Holontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Holon: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.8
50.0%
51.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.5
41.5%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.2
76.7%
74.5%13.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.516.4
43.7%
51.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.9
29.0%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.415.8
73.8%
74.5%15.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Holon
WLWLLWWWWW
Breogan
WLLLLWLLLW
#10
League position
#29
+2.4
Net rating
-5.4
113.5
Offensive rating
96.8
111.1
Defensive rating
102.3
55.7%
Effective FG%
43.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
41.5%
3-point %
29.0%
73.3%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 96.8Defence111.1 · 102.3Shooting55.7% · 43.6%3-point %41.5% · 29.0%Ball care20.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 32.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Hapoel Holon   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hapoel Holon wins
0
Breogan wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23ABonn75-74
27/09/23AHapoel Jerusalem75-97
21/09/23HH. Afula79-64
02/06/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-112
30/05/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-90
22/05/23HGalil Elyon97-88
18/05/23AGalil Elyon96-88
15/05/23HGalil Elyon106-69
05/05/23AGalil Elyon90-84
30/04/23HNes Ziona103-81
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Holon
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.568.071.0
Allowed / game67.048.086.0
Point differential+2.5+20.0-15.0
Avg total136.5116.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 Strasbourg660100%81.774.3+7.3
4 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
5 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
6 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
7 Cholet65183%82.079.5+2.5
8 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
9 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
10 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
11 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
12 Tenerife32167%85.072.7+12.3
13 Bonn32167%83.773.0+10.7
14 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
15 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
16 Karsiyaka32167%81.380.0+1.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
19 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Breogan21150%69.567.0+2.5
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
29 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
32 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
33 Szombathely31233%76.379.0-2.7
34 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
35 Peristeri31233%73.082.3-9.3
36 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
37 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
38 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
39 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
40 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
41 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
42 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
43 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
44 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
45 VEF Riga3030%67.778.0-10.3
46 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Holon2221241784
Breogan1419262079
← all games of the day
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