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Breogan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 59-61
15-11 6-13 20-16 18-21
Position#16
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game82.5
SpainACBRound 5· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Valencia
24 Jan 2027
BRE v VAL
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
BRE90
VAL113
13 Oct 2024
BRE75
VAL87
15 Oct 2023
BRE59
VAL61
06 Nov 2022
BRE83
VAL88
13 Feb 2022
BRE99
VAL82
20 Jan 2019
BRE65
VAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 64
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 64
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 64
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 64
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 64
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 64
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 64
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 64
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
156.1Avg total
74.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.582.0160.5-3.525%
Season at home (2)82.088.5170.5-6.50%
Season away (2)75.075.5150.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)74.481.7156.1-7.320%
Last 5 (5)78.881.0159.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.186.1158.1-14.07%
vs Similar (14)79.178.2157.4+0.957%
vs Weaker (2)95.570.0165.5+25.5100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 74
A29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
47avg 74
H02/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
66avg 74
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 74
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 74
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
67avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 74
H13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
20-9
22-23
23-19
20-18
14-18
19-20
24-24
16-18
21-22
18-29
19-15
13-26
13-17
19-24
19-20
21-27
20-15
17-17
27-30
19-25
28-13
24-21
23-27
21-26
16-12
21-17
24-21
17-20
22-18
14-13
17-14
21-20
14-16
23-18
27-25
22-9
17-24
19-20
19-21
159.6Avg total
80.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.582.5169.0+4.075%
Season at home (2)85.084.0169.0+1.050%
Season away (2)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.179.5159.6+0.660%
Last 5 (5)81.676.0157.6+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.381.0157.3-4.742%
vs Similar (11)80.985.1166.0-4.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.479.7164.1+4.771%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
BreoganValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
74.8Avg total
35.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.775.8-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.877.5-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)34.439.674.0-5.220%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.574.8-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.276.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.142.075.1-8.97%-
vs Similar (14)37.338.675.9-1.343%-
vs Weaker (2)48.531.580.0+17.050%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H02/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H13/10
Euroleague
76.0Avg total
38.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.980.6-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.739.678.2-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.942.483.3-1.421%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.776.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.676.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.841.879.6-4.125%-
vs Similar (11)41.542.183.6-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.337.377.6+3.043%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.120.1
46.6%
53.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.5
29.3%
34.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.611.1
63.1%
75.6%11.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.9
55.1%
53.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.3
34.0%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
75.6%15.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLWLLLLL
Valencia
WWWWWLLLLW
#16
League position
#4
-12.7
Net rating
+1.4
98.9
Offensive rating
109.7
111.6
Defensive rating
108.3
45.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.3%
3-point %
34.0%
49.2%
Assist %
57.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 109.7Defence111.6 · 108.3Shooting45.7% · 53.6%3-point %29.3% · 34.0%Ball care16.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds32.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
24/05/23Valencia v Breogan77-80
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83
07/05/23HMurcia60-65
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HFenerbahce77-74
08/10/23HObradoiro CAB85-79
06/10/23HMonaco70-65
30/09/23AUnicaja82-76
27/09/23ATenerife94-86
23/09/23HBasquet Girona85-89
02/06/23HBarcelona64-87
29/05/23ABarcelona74-84
24/05/23HBreogan77-80
14/05/23AFuenlabrada93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.582.075.0
Allowed / game82.088.575.5
Point differential-3.5-6.5-0.5
Avg total160.5170.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%50%50%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.585.088.0
Allowed / game82.584.081.0
Point differential+4.0+1.0+7.0
Avg total169.0169.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%96.080.6+15.4
2 Bilbao54180%83.280.6+2.6
3 Baskonia43175%86.580.0+6.5
4 Valencia43175%86.582.5+4.0
5 Barcelona43175%87.283.8+3.5
6 Basquet Girona53260%83.882.4+1.4
7 Murcia53260%86.485.6+0.8
8 Manresa53260%88.488.4+0.0
9 Joventut Badalona53260%84.086.4-2.4
10 Gran Canaria42250%78.084.5-6.5
11 Unicaja52340%89.684.8+4.8
12 Obradoiro CAB52340%81.878.2+3.6
13 MoraBanc Andorra52340%80.483.6-3.2
14 Tenerife52340%79.283.8-4.6
15 Breogan41325%78.582.0-3.5
16 Basket Zaragoza41325%79.288.5-9.2
17 Granada5050%89.295.2-6.0
18 Palencia5050%76.284.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan156201859
Valencia1113162161
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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