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Real Madrid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 91-58
17-19 24-9 27-12 23-18
Position#1
Record10-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game80.2
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Breogan
Spain
Position#16
Record3-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game79.1
SpainACBRound 12· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Breogan
18 Apr 2027
MAD v BRE
upcoming
10 May 2026
MAD97
BRE101
15 Dec 2024
MAD106
BRE69
03 Dec 2023
MAD91
BRE58
22 Jan 2023
MAD91
BRE73
17 Apr 2022
MAD90
BRE65
17 Feb 2022
MAD73
BRE67
27 Apr 2019
MAD94
BRE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 74
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 74
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
102avg 74
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 74
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
109avg 74
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 74
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 74
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
91avg 74
A30/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
24-26
19-23
20-13
13-11
30-20
23-19
27-11
11-23
25-26
29-13
18-27
21-33
27-17
17-16
23-18
32-24
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
29-16
15-21
23-22
20-28
171.2Avg total
91.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.080.2171.2+10.891%
Season at home (6)93.780.7174.3+13.083%
Season away (5)87.879.6167.4+8.2100%
Last 10 (10)91.280.0171.2+11.280%
Last 5 (5)95.084.0179.0+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)87.093.8180.8-6.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)90.276.8167.0+13.496%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 63
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 63
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 63
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 63
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 63
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 63
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 63
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 63
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 63
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 63
H26/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
151.3Avg total
74.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.179.1153.2-5.027%
Season at home (6)75.578.5154.0-3.033%
Season away (5)72.479.8152.2-7.420%
Last 10 (10)74.277.1151.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)82.279.4161.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.882.6153.4-11.88%
vs Similar (15)78.880.7159.5-1.940%
vs Weaker (3)73.065.0138.0+8.067%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Real MadridBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/11
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
46.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.282.1+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.435.781.1+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)44.438.582.9+5.981%-
Last 10 (10)46.237.583.7+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.684.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.542.288.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.736.381.0+8.480%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
73.3Avg total
35.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.939.073.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.338.274.5-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)33.539.773.2-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.173.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.839.070.8-7.28%-
vs Similar (15)37.840.378.1-2.540%-
vs Weaker (3)32.732.365.0+0.333%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.4
58.5%
53.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.9
36.5%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.616.9
86.2%
75.6%16.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.216.7
46.1%
53.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
75.6%16.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWLWWWWW
Breogan
WWLLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#16
+14.8
Net rating
-4.2
119.8
Offensive rating
99.7
104.9
Defensive rating
103.9
56.7%
Effective FG%
47.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.5%
3-point %
32.6%
70.9%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 99.7Defence104.9 · 103.9Shooting56.7% · 47.3%3-point %36.5% · 32.6%Ball care15.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AFenerbahce99-100 OT
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
23/11/23HAlba Berlin99-75
19/11/23HUnicaja93-99
16/11/23HMonaco91-73
14/11/23AValencia76-73
12/11/23ABilbao87-84
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74
05/11/23AGranada83-76
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game91.093.787.8
Allowed / game80.280.779.6
Point differential+10.8+13.0+8.2
Avg total171.2174.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game74.175.572.4
Allowed / game79.178.579.8
Point differential-5.0-3.0-7.4
Avg total153.2154.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%91.080.2+10.8
2 Unicaja129375%87.878.6+9.2
3 Barcelona118373%86.578.8+7.7
4 Valencia118373%80.876.8+4.0
5 Murcia128467%85.878.9+6.8
6 Basquet Girona127558%84.286.1-1.9
7 Baskonia116555%84.684.9-0.3
8 Gran Canaria116555%81.985.0-3.1
9 Tenerife126650%82.882.2+0.6
10 Manresa126650%84.585.3-0.8
11 Joventut Badalona115645%81.689.4-7.7
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%81.883.0-1.2
13 Bilbao114736%78.181.8-3.7
14 Basket Zaragoza124833%81.683.2-1.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra124833%82.384.5-2.2
16 Granada113827%85.888.5-2.6
17 Breogan113827%74.179.1-5.0
18 Palencia111109%73.983.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1724272391
Breogan199121858
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