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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-79
26-20 21-21 15-22 19-16
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#16
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 72
A01/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 72
H08/04
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 72
A13/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
90-77 OT
90
77
+13
no box
A16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 72
H30/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 72
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#4
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 72
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-97
60
97
-37
42avg 72
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
17-16
19-10
17-27
26-23
24-22
24-17
14-17
15-17
23-19
20-23
11-18
24-20
20-19
14-17
13-15
19-15
22-24
15-21
18-19
13-15
14-18
19-21
28-15
21-13
16-19
18-12
20-25
24-24
26-27
32-14
6-27
23-8
22-19
20-18
21-18
10-27
25-21
8-28
17-21
154.7Avg total
77.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.677.1154.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)76.678.0154.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.482.2154.6-9.820%
vs Similar (14)76.079.9155.9-3.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.675.6159.1+8.067%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-102
70
102
-32
61avg 74
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 74
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 74
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
87-98
87
98
-11
78avg 74
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 74
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
44avg 74
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 74
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 74
H20/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
9-31
27-30
12-22
18-15
19-16
19-22
23-33
20-27
25-16
26-26
11-27
22-21
24-19
18-23
30-20
27-30
23-22
23-21
14-25
20-14
30-21
13-24
19-19
16-26
17-28
23-24
12-16
15-27
11-17
18-30
13-12
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
17-34
23-21
14-16
26-23
168.7Avg total
78.7Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.790.0168.7-11.330%
Last 5 (5)75.087.0162.0-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.589.4168.9-9.935%
vs Similar (12)83.383.2166.6+0.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/04
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H30/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#4
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
78.5Avg total
40.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.076.5+2.573%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.235.776.9+5.585%-
Last 30 away (17)38.237.976.1+0.265%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.278.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.277.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.037.874.8-0.880%-
vs Similar (14)37.639.376.9-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.634.977.4+7.7100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H20/05
Lega A
84.0Avg total
39.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.883.0-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.780.3+0.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.985.8-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.046.083.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.145.084.1-5.929%-
vs Similar (12)41.540.381.8+1.267%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.3
52.1%
53.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.6
36.9%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
76.3%14.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.3
53.5%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.5
38.3%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.510.8
74.5%
76.3%10.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWWLWLWW
Pesaro
LWLLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#16
+0.9
Net rating
-16.1
112.7
Offensive rating
109.7
111.8
Defensive rating
125.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.9%
3-point %
38.3%
56.1%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 109.7Defence111.8 · 125.8Shooting53.5% · 55.1%3-point %36.9% · 38.3%Ball care14.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds22.6% · 23.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Pesaro v Brescia88-79
18/02/23Brescia v Pesaro74-57
29/10/22Brescia v Pesaro97-98
27/03/22Pesaro v Brescia83-88
20/01/22Brescia v Pesaro110-78
10/05/21Brescia v Pesaro86-84
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23AVirtus Bologna60-97
23/09/23HTortona86-63
07/05/23AScafati88-92
30/04/23HBrindisi75-69
23/04/23AReggiana74-69
19/04/23HVenezia74-79
16/04/23ATortona90-77 OT
13/04/23ATurk Telekom69-77
08/04/23HVerona88-79
01/04/23ABasket Napoli72-69
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23HOlimpia Milano80-94
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
15/05/23AOlimpia Milano57-86
13/05/23AOlimpia Milano68-94
07/05/23HTortona82-78
29/04/23ABasket Napoli87-98
23/04/23HTrieste94-83
19/04/23ATreviso82-96
16/04/23HScafati79-86
09/04/23AOlimpia Milano70-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia110100%76.060.0+16.0
2 Trento110100%91.084.0+7.0
3 Cremona1010%84.091.0-7.0
4 Tortona1010%60.076.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2621151981
Pesaro2021221679
← all games of the day
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