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Brescia vs Sassari Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.9
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brescia v Sassari
10 May 2026
BRE92
SAS71
20 Oct 2024
BRE94
SAS87
10 Dec 2023
BRE110
SAS65
12 Feb 2023
BRE80
SAS93
18 May 2022
BRE85
SAS91
16 May 2022
BRE104
SAS97
23 Jan 2022
BRE97
SAS86
18 Apr 2021
BRE82
SAS94
29 Mar 2020
BRE v SAS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
BRE71
SAS95
09 Dec 2017
BRE78
SAS79
05 Feb 2017
BRE56
SAS48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
152.7Avg total
80.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.374.0155.3+7.367%
Season at home (11)85.274.9160.1+10.382%
Season away (10)77.073.0150.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.272.5152.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.889.0172.8-5.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.279.5159.7+0.750%
vs Weaker (16)83.372.8156.1+10.681%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
25-19
28-25
36-19
18-19
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
24-19
30-16
19-27
20-26
171.2Avg total
90.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.575.9161.4+9.676%
Season at home (10)88.377.5165.8+10.880%
Season away (11)83.074.5157.5+8.573%
Last 10 (10)90.281.0171.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)92.486.0178.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.778.7166.3+9.083%
vs Weaker (24)87.376.8164.2+10.583%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
BresciaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.979.2+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.378.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.842.281.0-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.938.677.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A07/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.285.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.736.779.4+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.541.383.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker (24)44.737.982.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
73.6%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.5
77.7%
73.6%20.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWWWWWWW
Sassari
WLLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+11.9
Net rating
+12.4
117.1
Offensive rating
123.1
105.1
Defensive rating
110.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
59.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.46
41.8%
3-point %
44.9%
59.1%
Assist %
61.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 123.1Defence105.1 · 110.7Shooting55.0% · 59.6%3-point %41.8% · 44.9%Ball care16.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds31.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Sassari v Brescia76-70
28/04/19Sassari v Brescia95-87
30/12/18Brescia v Sassari71-95
08/04/18Sassari v Brescia76-80
09/12/17Brescia v Sassari78-79
18/02/17Sassari v Brescia77-70
05/02/17Brescia v Sassari56-48
15/10/16Sassari v Brescia96-73
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AVirtus Roma93-88
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90
19/01/20APesaro107-82
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game81.385.277.0
Allowed / game74.074.973.0
Point differential+7.3+10.3+4.0
Avg total155.3160.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game85.588.383.0
Allowed / game75.977.574.5
Point differential+9.6+10.8+8.5
Avg total161.4165.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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