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Sassari vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-112
25-35 16-29 28-27 19-21
Position#8
Record12-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record10-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game90.2
ItalyLega ARound 28· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Sassari v Varese
05 Oct 2025
SAS102
VAR105
05 Jan 2025
SAS81
VAR86
21 Apr 2024
SAS88
VAR112
18 Mar 2023
SAS102
VAR73
19 Dec 2021
SAS104
VAR99
14 Sep 2021
SAS77
VAR61
01 Nov 2020
SAS104
VAR82
12 Jan 2020
SAS93
VAR87
19 Dec 2018
SAS87
VAR90
14 Oct 2018
SAS71
VAR60
25 Mar 2018
SAS87
VAR91
03 Oct 2016
SAS78
VAR72
07 Feb 2016
SAS91
VAR69
19 Apr 2015
SAS71
VAR79
10 Nov 2013
SAS105
VAR74
17 Mar 2013
SAS76
VAR75
11 Dec 2011
SAS90
VAR79
01 May 2011
SAS88
VAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
58avg 75
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
87avg 75
H04/02
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
59avg 75
A10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
93-88
93
88
+5
93avg 75
H03/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 75
A23/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
91-96
91
96
-5
95avg 75
H07/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 75
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
23-24
10-24
12-13
17-15
22-17
20-26
27-22
25-22
12-15
13-22
12-20
27-25
17-15
21-22
28-26
17-18
25-18
15-24
21-11
26-20
27-28
19-28
17-13
15-28
17-15
21-24
23-20
17-16
18-14
20-19
21-21
26-28
20-22
26-16
19-30
21-25
22-17
18-24
18-22
165.2Avg total
81.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.282.7160.9-4.544%
Season at home (13)86.284.7170.9+1.569%
Season away (14)70.880.9151.6-10.121%
Last 10 (10)81.284.0165.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)85.688.4174.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.689.2169.8-8.650%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.680.6160.1-1.044%
vs Weaker (2)85.082.5167.5+2.550%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 81
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 81
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 81
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 81
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 81
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 81
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 81
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
171.8Avg total
86.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.790.2176.0-4.537%
Season at home (14)87.283.7170.9+3.550%
Season away (13)84.297.2181.4-13.123%
Last 10 (10)86.485.4171.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)89.887.4177.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.891.1169.9-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.386.5176.7+3.860%
vs Weaker (5)85.881.0166.8+4.860%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
SassariVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/02
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A23/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A14/04
Lega A
81.5Avg total
41.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.181.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.740.683.3+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.679.9-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.181.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.744.083.7-4.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.439.780.2+0.739%-
vs Weaker (2)43.539.082.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
85.1Avg total
42.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.944.387.2-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.241.487.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.046.886.8-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.685.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.893.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.049.990.9-8.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.041.385.3+2.753%-
vs Weaker (5)43.442.085.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.4
57.6%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.6
34.4%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
76.3%14.9
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.3
52.8%
53.1%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.2
39.1%
35.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
76.3%15.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLWLWWWLWL
Varese
LWLLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#12
-6.9
Net rating
+1.3
108.2
Offensive rating
111.8
115.1
Defensive rating
110.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
39.1%
58.5%
Assist %
67.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 111.8Defence115.1 · 110.5Shooting55.2% · 55.9%3-point %34.4% · 39.1%Ball care20.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.5% · 22.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sassari wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Varese v Sassari90-79
18/03/23Sassari v Varese102-73
02/10/22Varese v Sassari87-81
08/05/22Varese v Sassari96-110
19/12/21Sassari v Varese104-99
14/09/21Sassari v Varese77-61
08/09/21Varese v Sassari82-92
06/03/21Varese v Sassari89-74
01/11/20Sassari v Varese104-82
12/01/20Sassari v Varese93-87
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24ABasket Napoli79-88
07/04/24HPesaro91-96
30/03/24ABrindisi76-70
23/03/24ATrento76-87
17/03/24HBrescia106-101 OT
10/03/24AVenezia78-71
03/03/24HVirtus Bologna93-88
10/02/24ATortona62-79
04/02/24HCremona86-80
28/01/24AOlimpia Milano65-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80
24/03/24ATortona83-90
17/03/24AReggiana80-113
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%69%21%
Points / game78.286.270.8
Allowed / game82.784.780.9
Point differential-4.5+1.5-10.1
Avg total160.9170.9151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)83% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%50%23%
Points / game85.787.284.2
Allowed / game90.283.797.2
Point differential-4.5+3.5-13.1
Avg total176.0170.9181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2820871%87.478.4+9.0
2 Virtus Bologna2719870%88.677.6+11.1
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%79.974.4+5.5
4 Venezia27171063%82.478.3+4.1
5 Reggiana27151256%80.779.8+0.9
6 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
7 Pistoia27141352%80.083.0-3.1
8 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
9 Basket Napoli27131448%85.986.3-0.4
10 Scafati27121544%82.986.1-3.3
11 Sassari27121544%78.282.7-4.5
12 Cremona28121643%80.379.5+0.8
13 Treviso27101737%80.384.6-4.3
14 Varese27101737%85.790.2-4.5
15 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
16 Brindisi2781930%74.881.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2516281988
Varese35292721112
← all games of the day
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