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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-96
21-32 18-24 25-21 22-19
Position#3
Record24-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#1
Record27-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.1
ItalyLega ALega A - Semi-finals· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 79
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 79
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 79
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 79
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 79
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 79
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 79
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 79
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 79
A27/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
20-22
17-14
22-15
22-19
22-22
21-26
25-17
21-22
20-23
19-22
17-17
21-28
19-13
21-23
16-19
22-20
25-19
22-21
25-15
23-12
25-16
13-27
18-15
30-19
16-15
25-17
26-24
31-13
28-17
16-25
23-22
29-34
20-27
21-16
19-18
14-22
15-11
20-25
17-19
162.4Avg total
83.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.178.5165.5+8.669%
Season at home (17)88.474.8163.1+13.688%
Season away (18)85.882.0167.8+3.850%
Last 10 (10)83.978.5162.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)85.878.8164.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.088.0141.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.481.2156.6-5.820%
vs Weaker (22)90.878.9169.7+11.977%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 74
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
99avg 74
H21/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 74
H28/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
67avg 74
A05/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
78avg 74
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 74
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
81avg 74
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
82avg 74
A19/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 74
H25/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
74avg 74
H27/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
22-9
25-25
27-24
28-20
21-18
21-19
29-20
28-21
13-19
23-21
19-16
17-26
18-13
18-15
20-18
32-21
11-22
21-26
20-16
35-20
30-28
22-16
17-29
17-15
23-23
18-15
25-15
21-22
17-10
28-11
21-26
34-29
27-20
16-21
18-19
22-14
11-15
25-20
19-17
166.1Avg total
87.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.775.1156.9+6.675%
Season at home (19)85.576.3161.7+9.284%
Season away (17)77.573.9151.4+3.665%
Last 10 (10)87.678.5166.1+9.190%
Last 5 (5)89.277.0166.2+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.081.2163.2+0.858%
vs Weaker (16)85.076.0161.0+9.081%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A27/05
Lega A
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.683.1+4.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.636.181.7+9.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.684.4-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.283.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.548.571.0-26.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.042.280.2-4.220%-
vs Weaker (22)47.438.485.8+9.059%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H21/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A19/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H25/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/05
Lega A
84.0Avg total
44.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.037.583.5+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)40.440.080.4+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.684.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.286.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.029.077.0+19.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.641.384.9+2.267%-
vs Weaker (16)43.638.181.7+5.462%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.5
49.7%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.7
40.2%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.8
76.0%
76.3%16.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.8
57.9%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.8
39.6%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.814.8
83.1%
76.3%14.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWWLLWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+7.3
Net rating
+13.2
116.0
Offensive rating
121.0
108.7
Defensive rating
107.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
58.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.2%
3-point %
39.6%
60.6%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 121.0Defence108.7 · 107.8Shooting53.9% · 58.5%3-point %40.2% · 39.6%Ball care14.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/24AOlimpia Milano66-77
25/05/24AOlimpia Milano89-95
17/05/24APistoia98-77
14/05/24HPistoia97-75
12/05/24HPistoia79-70
05/05/24HBrindisi94-75
28/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-83
20/04/24ACremona77-84
14/04/24HVenezia90-84
06/04/24HTortona72-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/24HBrescia77-66
25/05/24HBrescia95-89
19/05/24ATrento87-69
17/05/24ATrento83-68
14/05/24HTrento104-93
12/05/24HTrento84-85
05/05/24ACremona73-72
28/04/24HBrescia83-77
21/04/24HScafati99-77
14/04/24ATreviso91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game87.188.485.8
Allowed / game78.574.882.0
Point differential+8.6+13.6+3.8
Avg total165.5163.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW84%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %75%84%65%
Points / game81.785.577.5
Allowed / game75.176.373.9
Point differential+6.6+9.2+3.6
Avg total156.9161.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)67% (6)100% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3627975%81.775.1+6.6
2 Virtus Bologna38271171%88.177.4+10.6
3 Brescia35241169%87.178.5+8.6
4 Venezia38231561%82.579.1+3.4
5 Reggiana35181751%79.980.2-0.3
6 Trento34161847%82.785.7-3.0
7 Basket Napoli30141647%86.287.1-0.9
8 Sassari30141647%79.882.7-2.9
9 Tortona35161946%80.180.0+0.1
10 Pistoia33151845%80.484.5-4.1
11 Cremona30121840%80.279.6+0.6
12 Varese30121840%87.390.1-2.8
13 Treviso30121840%81.184.8-3.7
14 Scafati30121840%82.787.5-4.8
15 Brindisi30102033%75.881.8-6.0
16 Pesaro30102033%80.687.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2118252286
Olimpia Milano3224211996
← all games of the day
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