PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 118-94
29-24 28-28 36-23 25-19
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#12
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· Sahin T. O.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 79
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 79
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 79
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 79
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 79
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 79
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 79
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 79
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 79
H30/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-22
21-26
25-17
21-22
20-23
19-22
17-17
21-28
19-13
21-23
16-19
22-20
25-19
22-21
25-15
23-12
25-16
13-27
18-15
30-19
16-15
25-17
26-24
31-13
28-17
16-25
23-22
29-34
20-27
21-16
19-18
14-22
15-11
20-25
17-19
21-32
18-24
25-21
22-19
166.9Avg total
85.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.381.6166.9+3.750%
Last 5 (5)87.284.0171.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.088.0141.0-35.00%
vs Similar (6)77.283.7160.8-6.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.679.2168.8+10.476%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 82
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 82
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 82
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 82
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 82
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 82
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 82
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 82
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 82
A05/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
182.1Avg total
91.5Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.590.6182.1+0.940%
Last 5 (5)101.289.4190.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.488.3167.8-8.922%
vs Similar (17)93.587.5181.0+5.965%
vs Weaker (4)83.881.0164.8+2.850%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H30/05
Lega A
85.0Avg total
44.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.383.1+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.837.881.6+6.057%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.684.4-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.885.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.887.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.548.571.0-26.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.244.582.7-6.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.638.785.2+7.957%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
94.0Avg total
47.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.689.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.443.490.8+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.345.788.0-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)47.846.294.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)53.646.8100.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.948.390.2-6.433%-
vs Similar (17)46.842.989.7+3.853%-
vs Weaker (4)42.243.285.5-1.050%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.4
41.3%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
76.8%16.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.4
53.4%
52.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.613.5
41.4%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.817.1
82.2%
76.8%17.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLWWWWLLW
Varese
WLWLWLLWLL
#2
League position
#12
+4.9
Net rating
+0.8
117.4
Offensive rating
116.8
112.5
Defensive rating
116.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
57.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.3%
3-point %
41.4%
60.3%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 116.8Defence112.5 · 116.0Shooting55.4% · 57.9%3-point %41.3% · 41.4%Ball care14.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 21.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Varese v Brescia92-95
26/11/23Brescia v Varese116-73
28/01/23Varese v Brescia80-72
08/10/22Brescia v Varese88-83
01/05/22Brescia v Varese102-71
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
01/09/20Brescia v Varese89-88
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/24HOlimpia Milano86-96
27/05/24AOlimpia Milano66-77
25/05/24AOlimpia Milano89-95
17/05/24APistoia98-77
14/05/24HPistoia97-75
12/05/24HPistoia79-70
05/05/24HBrindisi94-75
28/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-83
20/04/24ACremona77-84
14/04/24HVenezia90-84
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80
24/03/24ATortona83-90
17/03/24AReggiana80-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%92.076.0+16.0
2 Tortona110100%80.068.0+12.0
3 Scafati110100%97.086.0+11.0
4 Trieste110100%84.078.0+6.0
5 Treviso110100%78.075.0+3.0
6 Virtus Bologna110100%89.088.0+1.0
7 Trapani1010%88.089.0-1.0
8 Venezia1010%75.078.0-3.0
9 Olimpia Milano1010%78.084.0-6.0
10 Sassari1010%86.097.0-11.0
11 Cremona1010%68.080.0-12.0
12 Reggiana1010%76.092.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia29283625118
Varese2428231994
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.