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Brescia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 109-90
27-13 29-32 18-26 35-19
Position#3
Record13-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game74.7
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#10
Record9-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 18· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Pistoia
29 Dec 2024
BRE90
PIS83
14 May 2024
BRE97
PIS75
12 May 2024
BRE79
PIS70
28 Jan 2024
BRE109
PIS90
08 Dec 2019
BRE86
PIS74
31 Mar 2019
BRE87
PIS79
14 Jan 2018
BRE76
PIS72
08 Jan 2017
BRE97
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 73
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
110-65
110
65
+45
113avg 73
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
76avg 73
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
59-91
59
91
-32
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
47-85
47
85
-38
no box
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
61avg 73
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
1avg 73
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 73
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 73
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
95avg 73
A20/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
17-17
25-17
26-24
29-17
33-8
26-13
22-27
23-22
19-16
19-25
16-7
0-0
22-50
0-0
37-41
0-0
23-47
0-0
24-38
22-18
21-20
13-21
15-27
15-18
18-14
19-16
20-16
21-19
19-22
23-26
16-21
18-23
18-17
33-9
19-18
25-17
27-15
25-15
16-22
155.3Avg total
78.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.474.7161.1+11.676%
Season at home (8)89.173.0162.1+16.188%
Season away (9)83.976.2160.1+7.767%
Last 10 (10)78.576.8155.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)80.674.8155.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.088.5146.5-30.50%
vs Similar (7)78.476.9155.3+1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.074.8162.8+13.281%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 70
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 70
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 70
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 70
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 70
H20/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
158.4Avg total
77.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.181.2159.2-3.153%
Season at home (9)73.874.9148.7-1.156%
Season away (8)82.988.2171.1-5.450%
Last 10 (10)77.880.6158.4-2.870%
Last 5 (5)74.083.0157.0-9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.581.7161.2-2.267%
vs Similar (20)74.876.0150.8-1.355%
vs Weaker (4)88.280.0168.2+8.275%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
BresciaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/01
Lega A
77.6Avg total
39.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.179.8+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.036.181.1+8.983%-
Last 30 away (18)37.941.179.0-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.577.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.677.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.545.875.3-16.317%-
vs Similar (7)39.439.378.7+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.337.282.5+8.175%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
83.0Avg total
37.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.879.2-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.574.6-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.283.8-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.845.283.0-7.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.046.079.0-13.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.343.081.3-4.750%-
vs Similar (20)38.039.977.8-1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.825.1
56.0%
53.1%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.6
32.1%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
76.3%13.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.2
51.9%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.6
37.6%
35.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.2
75.2%
76.3%11.2
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWLLLWWW
Pistoia
WLWWLLWWWW
#3
League position
#10
+15.9
Net rating
-5.4
111.4
Offensive rating
107.4
95.5
Defensive rating
112.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.1%
3-point %
37.6%
57.5%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 107.4Defence95.5 · 112.8Shooting53.3% · 54.0%3-point %32.1% · 37.6%Ball care13.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds23.9% · 23.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Pistoia v Brescia72-84
08/12/19Brescia v Pistoia86-74
31/03/19Brescia v Pistoia87-79
09/12/18Pistoia v Brescia73-70
09/05/18Pistoia v Brescia90-85
14/01/18Brescia v Pistoia76-72
07/05/17Pistoia v Brescia86-62
08/01/17Brescia v Pistoia97-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ATrento93-69
14/01/24HTreviso88-67
07/01/24ABrindisi79-88
30/12/23HOlimpia Milano72-64
23/12/23AVenezia71-86
21/12/23AWestern Carolina47-85
20/12/23AKennesaw State59-91
16/12/23AReggiana77-70
10/12/23HSassari110-65
03/12/23AScafati89-83
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
30/12/23ATreviso89-86
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%88%67%
Points / game86.489.183.9
Allowed / game74.773.076.2
Point differential+11.6+16.1+7.7
Avg total161.1162.1160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%38%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game78.173.882.9
Allowed / game81.274.988.2
Point differential-3.1-1.1-5.4
Avg total159.2148.7171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1713476%86.474.7+11.6
2 Venezia1813572%82.577.3+5.2
3 Virtus Bologna1712571%86.976.1+10.8
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%79.474.4+4.9
5 Basket Napoli1711665%86.081.6+4.4
6 Reggiana1710759%83.082.3+0.7
7 Pistoia179853%78.181.2-3.1
8 Scafati189950%85.086.1-1.1
9 Trento189950%82.083.7-1.7
10 Cremona178947%81.078.4+2.6
11 Tortona1771041%78.080.2-2.2
12 Sassari1771041%76.581.9-5.5
13 Varese1761135%85.690.5-4.9
14 Pesaro1751229%78.086.1-8.1
15 Treviso1851328%80.784.3-3.7
16 Brindisi1731418%73.483.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia27291835109
Pistoia1332261990
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