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Brescia vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-79
26-23 24-22 24-17 14-17
Position#8
Record10-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.7
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record8-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 73
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 73
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-59
95
59
+36
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 73
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 73
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 73
H26/03
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 73
A28/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 73
A01/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
18-19
24-17
18-21
16-26
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
26-20
27-14
21-17
21-8
17-18
12-20
19-14
17-22
22-18
15-17
22-24
20-29
24-16
28-20
17-21
15-25
11-21
26-14
23-15
23-24
19-16
11-24
24-28
22-18
19-16
17-16
19-10
17-27
155.9Avg total
77.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.781.7164.4+1.042%
Season at home (12)84.879.4164.2+5.358%
Season away (12)80.784.0164.7-3.325%
Last 10 (10)77.878.1155.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)78.879.8158.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.783.2162.8-3.533%
vs Similar (14)78.881.1159.9-2.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.075.7158.7+7.367%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 69
H15/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
67avg 69
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
81avg 69
A29/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 69
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
68-102
68
102
-34
50avg 69
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 69
H05/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
60avg 69
A12/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
87avg 69
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 69
H02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
22-18
20-17
25-22
20-18
19-23
20-10
14-25
17-24
25-25
20-19
20-19
18-20
16-21
25-24
22-32
19-25
21-23
19-22
9-32
19-20
19-18
19-13
21-25
17-24
18-21
13-18
21-10
16-16
22-26
21-17
19-19
27-15
22-28
27-30
18-25
14-25
26-19
20-19
27-11
166.0Avg total
80.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.486.3165.7-6.933%
Season at home (12)84.589.0173.5-4.542%
Season away (12)74.383.6157.9-9.225%
Last 10 (10)80.585.5166.0-5.030%
Last 5 (5)84.083.2167.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.687.3165.9-8.728%
vs Similar (12)79.273.2152.3+6.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
BresciaVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/03
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/04
Lega A
75.3Avg total
39.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.578.7+1.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.538.178.6+2.471%-
Last 30 away (16)39.938.878.8+1.169%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.375.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.741.080.7-1.367%-
vs Similar (14)39.140.479.5-1.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.834.876.6+7.089%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A29/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H02/04
Lega A
82.0Avg total
39.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.680.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.182.1+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)38.441.179.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.982.0-3.810%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.342.682.9-2.328%-
vs Similar (12)40.237.677.8+2.675%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.914.6
45.8%
51.3%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.9
36.6%
36.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
76.1%15.9
They take 53.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.4
54.0%
51.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.3
30.4%
36.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
76.1%14.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLWWLLWLLW
Verona
WLLLWLLLLW
#8
League position
#16
-7.8
Net rating
-9.2
109.5
Offensive rating
103.5
117.3
Defensive rating
112.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.6%
3-point %
30.4%
61.3%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 103.5Defence117.3 · 112.7Shooting49.4% · 50.7%3-point %36.6% · 30.4%Ball care13.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds24.6% · 27.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
1
Verona wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Verona v Brescia81-77
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23ABasket Napoli72-69
28/03/23ABursaspor76-86
26/03/23HOlimpia Milano83-74
21/03/23HCedevita Olimpija84-82
18/03/23APesaro79-88
15/03/23HLietkabelis65-74
12/03/23HTrieste95-59
08/03/23AVenezia64-90
05/03/23ATrento76-83
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HSassari87-74
26/03/23AVarese94-98
19/03/23HVenezia92-95 OT
12/03/23ATortona69-73
05/03/23HReggiana78-76
12/02/23ABrindisi68-102
04/02/23HTreviso81-97
29/01/23AVirtus Bologna82-87
21/01/23APesaro73-76
15/01/23HBrescia81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game82.784.880.7
Allowed / game81.779.484.0
Point differential+1.0+5.3-3.3
Avg total164.4164.2164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Verona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeWLWLW42%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%42%25%
Points / game79.484.574.3
Allowed / game86.389.083.6
Point differential-6.9-4.5-9.2
Avg total165.7173.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)60% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2519676%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olimpia Milano2417771%81.773.5+8.2
3 Tortona2517868%81.477.5+3.8
4 Sassari25151060%85.880.0+5.8
5 Varese25141156%91.791.4+0.3
6 Brindisi24131154%83.282.5+0.8
7 Venezia25131252%82.279.9+2.3
8 Trento25131252%75.976.7-0.8
9 Pesaro24121250%84.986.2-1.4
10 Brescia24101442%82.781.7+1.0
11 Trieste25101540%77.982.8-4.9
12 Treviso25101540%80.886.1-5.3
13 Reggiana2591636%75.677.1-1.5
14 Basket Napoli2591636%77.883.8-6.1
15 Scafati2481633%77.879.5-1.7
16 Verona2481633%79.486.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2624241488
Verona2322171779
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