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Pesaro vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-79
18-22 17-15 24-22 29-20
Position#10
Record11-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game86.6
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record8-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.4
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Brescia
03 Mar 2024
PES93
BRE83
18 Mar 2023
PES88
BRE79
27 Mar 2022
PES83
BRE88
10 Jan 2021
PES98
BRE88
22 Mar 2020
PES v BRE
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
PES86
BRE92
01 Oct 2017
PES70
BRE73
02 Oct 2016
PES76
BRE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 74
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 74
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 74
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 74
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 74
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 74
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 74
A11/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-13
32-14
28-18
15-13
26-18
11-24
29-14
18-20
23-19
10-20
25-14
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
165.9Avg total
80.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.986.6172.5-0.852%
Season at home (10)85.484.7170.1+0.760%
Season away (11)86.388.4174.6-2.145%
Last 10 (10)80.485.5165.9-5.150%
Last 5 (5)77.491.4168.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.387.6165.8-9.328%
vs Similar (11)86.681.0167.6+5.673%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 74
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 74
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 74
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 74
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-59
95
59
+36
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 74
H15/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
23-19
22-23
16-22
22-19
20-19
22-22
39-24
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
18-19
24-17
18-21
16-26
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
26-20
27-14
21-17
21-8
17-18
12-20
19-14
17-22
156.6Avg total
79.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.482.4165.8+1.038%
Season at home (11)84.979.9164.8+5.055%
Season away (10)81.785.1166.8-3.420%
Last 10 (10)79.477.2156.6+2.250%
Last 5 (5)76.876.4153.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.891.2171.0-11.317%
vs Similar (15)77.180.6157.7-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.275.5162.8+11.875%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
PesaroBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
81.4Avg total
38.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.281.9-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.681.0+1.764%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.682.6-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.981.4-4.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.481.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.642.982.5-3.433%-
vs Similar (11)42.139.081.1+3.182%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
75.6Avg total
39.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.380.0-0.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.239.078.2+0.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.581.6-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.975.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.076.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.745.384.0-6.750%-
vs Similar (15)38.541.079.5-2.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.136.878.9+5.475%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
49.9%
51.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.4
36.7%
36.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.1%14.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.415.0
46.3%
51.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.5
33.6%
36.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.117.1
85.1%
76.1%17.1
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLWLWWW
Brescia
LWLLWWWLWL
#10
League position
#8
-7.4
Net rating
-16.6
110.2
Offensive rating
108.3
117.6
Defensive rating
124.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
61.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
33.6%
59.6%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 108.3Defence117.6 · 124.9Shooting52.2% · 48.0%3-point %36.7% · 33.6%Ball care16.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Brescia v Pesaro74-57
29/10/22Brescia v Pesaro97-98
27/03/22Pesaro v Brescia83-88
20/01/22Brescia v Pesaro110-78
10/05/21Brescia v Pesaro86-84
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74
15/02/23HVarese84-80
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
29/01/23ASassari74-110
21/01/23HVerona76-73
15/01/23AScafati81-69
08/01/23HTreviso101-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/23HLietkabelis65-74
12/03/23HTrieste95-59
08/03/23AVenezia64-90
05/03/23ATrento76-83
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
08/02/23HCluj-Napoca103-84
05/02/23AVirtus Bologna78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game85.985.486.3
Allowed / game86.684.788.4
Point differential-0.8+0.7-2.1
Avg total172.5170.1174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game83.484.981.7
Allowed / game82.479.985.1
Point differential+1.0+5.0-3.4
Avg total165.8164.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2117481%83.072.9+10.2
2 Virtus Bologna2117481%84.277.1+7.1
3 Tortona2216673%81.976.7+5.1
4 Sassari2112957%85.980.9+5.0
5 Varese2112957%92.590.9+1.6
6 Brindisi21111052%81.882.6-0.8
7 Pesaro21111052%85.986.6-0.8
8 Trento22111150%75.077.0-2.0
9 Venezia2191243%81.880.1+1.6
10 Treviso2191243%80.284.7-4.5
11 Trieste2291341%77.982.5-4.5
12 Brescia2181338%83.482.4+1.0
13 Scafati2171433%77.078.8-1.9
14 Basket Napoli2171433%77.184.2-7.1
15 Verona2171433%77.885.9-8.1
16 Reggiana2271532%75.477.2-1.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1817242988
Brescia2215222079
← all games of the day
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