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Bursaspor vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-76
16-19 24-11 28-24 18-22
Position#15
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#13
Record8-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEurocupRound 18
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 78
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 78
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 78
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
73-89
73
89
-16
57avg 78
H15/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
no box
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A22/03
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
24-26
16-22
20-26
26-12
18-21
21-21
30-19
24-23
27-21
21-18
20-20
17-22
12-17
14-23
20-20
18-24
19-25
21-19
25-19
17-23
21-15
32-23
22-24
29-24
18-21
17-18
9-26
17-24
28-20
23-26
24-28
24-23
19-12
22-31
20-22
20-18
15-32
17-19
28-22
170.8Avg total
84.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.485.3169.6-0.941%
Season at home (8)88.183.6171.8+4.562%
Season away (9)81.086.8167.8-5.822%
Last 10 (10)84.186.7170.8-2.630%
Last 5 (5)84.490.2174.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.888.6165.4-11.80%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.185.3168.4-2.241%
vs Weaker (8)94.584.0178.5+10.588%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 74
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 74
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-59
95
59
+36
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 74
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 74
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 74
H26/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
18-19
24-17
18-21
16-26
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
26-20
27-14
21-17
21-8
17-18
12-20
19-14
17-22
22-18
15-17
22-24
20-29
24-16
28-20
17-21
15-25
11-21
26-14
23-15
23-24
153.4Avg total
77.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.179.4159.5+0.747%
Season at home (9)83.677.2160.8+6.356%
Season away (8)76.281.9158.1-5.638%
Last 10 (10)77.975.5153.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)81.275.4156.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.783.2162.8-3.533%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.480.6159.0-2.336%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.0161.6+9.667%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
BursasporBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/03
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.0Avg total
41.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.787.4+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.383.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.184.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.484.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.246.282.4-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.441.885.2+1.665%-
vs Weaker (8)45.241.887.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/03
Lega A
74.7Avg total
40.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.879.5+2.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.179.0+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.580.1+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.534.274.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.677.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.741.080.7-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.540.680.1-1.157%-
vs Weaker (9)43.035.478.4+7.689%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.2
57.7%
53.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.214.4
46.2%
53.9%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.6
38.4%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.617.8
82.4%
74.2%17.8
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLLLWLLWWL
Brescia
WWLLWLLWWW
#15
League position
#13
-4.3
Net rating
-3.8
112.6
Offensive rating
113.8
116.9
Defensive rating
117.6
55.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.6%
3-point %
38.4%
59.4%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 113.8Defence116.9 · 117.6Shooting55.8% · 50.9%3-point %35.6% · 38.4%Ball care17.9% · 13.3%Off. rebounds28.0% · 24.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bursaspor wins
1
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
20/12/22Brescia v Bursaspor110-74
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23AGalatasaray80-91
22/03/23ALietkabelis85-88
19/03/23ADarussafaka92-98
15/03/23HVenezia73-89
11/03/23HPetkim Spor92-85
08/03/23ACluj-Napoca83-87
05/03/23AAnadolu Efes63-82
02/03/23HJL Bourg92-82
05/02/23HMerkezefendi95-73
01/02/23AUlm86-92
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HOlimpia Milano83-74
21/03/23HCedevita Olimpija84-82
18/03/23APesaro79-88
15/03/23HLietkabelis65-74
12/03/23HTrieste95-59
08/03/23AVenezia64-90
05/03/23ATrento76-83
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game84.488.181.0
Allowed / game85.383.686.8
Point differential-0.9+4.5-5.8
Avg total169.6171.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game80.183.676.2
Allowed / game79.477.281.9
Point differential+0.7+6.3-5.6
Avg total159.5160.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1714382%86.179.1+7.0
2 Prometey1713476%88.283.6+4.6
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1712571%87.578.8+8.7
4 Turk Telekom1712571%84.678.8+5.8
5 Joventut Badalona1712571%84.779.3+5.4
6 Promitheas1711665%83.682.9+0.6
7 Paris1710759%85.984.9+1.0
8 Lietkabelis1710759%80.381.0-0.7
9 Ulm1710759%84.185.2-1.1
10 Venezia179853%81.076.2+4.8
11 Buducnost179853%79.176.1+3.0
12 Brescia178947%80.179.4+0.7
13 JL Bourg178947%82.684.6-2.0
14 London Lions1771041%79.980.5-0.6
15 Bursaspor1771041%84.485.3-0.9
16 Hamburg1761135%82.485.6-3.3
17 Cluj-Napoca1751229%85.189.2-4.1
18 Cedevita Olimpija1731418%83.890.4-6.6
19 Trento1731418%73.182.9-9.8
20 Slask Wroclaw171166%73.686.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor1624281886
Brescia1911242276
← all games of the day
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