PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Buffalo vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 87-74
32-32 55-42
Position#333
Record8-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game80.8
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Toledo
USA
Position#167
Record16-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Buffalo v Toledo
23 Jan 2027
BUFF v TOLE
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
BUFF87
TOLE74
02 Mar 2024
BUFF79
TOLE85
20 Jan 2023
BUFF77
TOLE86
01 Mar 2022
BUFF76
TOLE92
19 Feb 2021
BUFF70
TOLE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
64-97
64
97
-33
H19/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-42
32-48
30-34
45-35
32-45
44-44
32-42
42-45
31-38
44-42
32-21
41-46
27-28
32-35
23-52
41-45
36-41
30-39
38-34
31-39
150.3Avg total
70.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.480.8152.2-9.429%
Season at home (13)73.179.1152.2-6.038%
Season away (15)70.082.3152.3-12.320%
Last 10 (10)70.879.5150.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)66.276.0142.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.981.8150.7-12.915%
vs Similar (2)77.574.0151.5+3.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
65-105
65
105
-40
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-38
41-33
47-39
39-44
50-35
39-50
42-32
45-42
38-41
34-28
30-45
50-47
33-43
40-37
28-35
39-31
37-41
31-28
30-54
35-51
156.5Avg total
77.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.478.4155.8-1.057%
Season at home (14)77.574.9152.4+2.671%
Season away (14)77.281.9159.1-4.643%
Last 10 (10)77.179.4156.5-2.360%
Last 5 (5)70.682.4153.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.883.0154.8-11.236%
vs Similar (11)75.874.4150.2+1.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)94.470.6165.0+23.8100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +0.2+0.2
BuffaloToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H19/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
32.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.638.471.0-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.738.469.1-7.77%-
Last 30 away (15)34.638.473.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)32.637.770.3-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.266.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.639.170.7-7.519%-
vs Similar (2)37.532.069.5+5.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A26/02
NCAA
78.1Avg total
37.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.973.6-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.171.2+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.140.276.3-4.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.378.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.643.675.2-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.940.374.2-6.429%-
vs Similar (11)35.534.970.4+0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.832.078.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buffalo wins
8
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Toledo v Buffalo87-74
02/03/24Buffalo v Toledo79-85
17/01/24Toledo v Buffalo77-66
25/02/23Toledo v Buffalo101-71
21/01/23Buffalo v Toledo77-86
02/03/22Buffalo v Toledo76-92
26/01/22Toledo v Buffalo86-75
20/02/21Buffalo v Toledo70-80
14/02/20Toledo v Buffalo67-83
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ACentral Michigan69-73
22/02/25ABall State66-80
19/02/25HWestern Michigan64-97
15/02/25HBowling Green59-63
12/02/25ANorthern Illinois73-67
08/02/25HGeorgia State75-80
05/02/25AToledo74-87
01/02/25HBall State76-89
29/01/25HCentral Michigan75-69
25/01/25AEastern Michigan77-90
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AKent State65-105
21/02/25HBowling Green68-69
19/02/25HBall State67-66
15/02/25AEastern Michigan73-80
12/02/25AMiami (Ohio)80-92
08/02/25HJames Madison72-69
05/02/25HBuffalo87-74
01/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-85
29/01/25AOhio86-83
24/01/25ABowling Green84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %29%38%20%
Points / game71.473.170.0
Allowed / game80.879.182.3
Point differential-9.4-6.0-12.3
Avg total152.2152.2152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game77.477.577.2
Allowed / game78.474.981.9
Point differential-1.0+2.6-4.6
Avg total155.8152.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)86% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2923679%83.473.9+9.5
2 Miami (Ohio)2921872%81.073.2+7.8
3 Kent State29191066%73.968.0+5.9
4 Toledo28161257%77.478.4-1.0
5 Ohio29161355%79.675.2+4.4
6 Eastern Michigan29151452%73.376.3-3.0
7 Ball State29141548%76.074.2+1.8
8 Central Michigan29131645%75.672.0+3.6
9 Bowling Green29131645%74.274.1+0.1
10 UMass28111739%73.174.5-1.4
11 Western Michigan28101836%72.476.8-4.4
12 Buffalo2882029%71.480.8-9.4
13 Northern Illinois2852318%71.077.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo325587
Toledo324274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.