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Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 75-102
21-26 24-28 15-18 15-30
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBLRound 1· Reid C.
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks
05 Nov 2026
CAIR v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
CAIR90
ILLA107
23 Jan 2025
CAIR100
ILLA94
19 Oct 2024
CAIR75
ILLA87
21 Sep 2024
CAIR75
ILLA102
11 Nov 2023
CAIR81
ILLA71
13 Jan 2023
CAIR89
ILLA84
10 Dec 2022
CAIR102
ILLA101
29 Jan 2022
CAIR75
ILLA94
22 Jan 2017
CAIR85
ILLA79
17 Dec 2016
CAIR99
ILLA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 81
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
76avg 81
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
no box
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
85avg 81
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
80avg 81
H21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 81
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 81
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-117
88
117
-29
72avg 81
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 81
H16/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
21-27
12-15
25-32
26-19
19-21
21-23
29-15
20-29
21-22
18-28
27-24
27-28
26-28
19-26
22-12
19-23
25-17
23-23
26-29
17-26
23-35
22-18
22-23
25-28
13-25
15-22
18-13
22-22
22-23
18-27
24-22
30-30
27-27
15-22
16-38
28-15
29-20
20-19
20-34
185.7Avg total
89.3Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.396.4185.7-7.140%
Last 5 (5)85.297.8183.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)88.992.4181.4-3.536%
vs Similar (13)89.293.1182.2-3.946%
vs Weaker (3)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
76-115
76
115
-39
no box
A26/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
81-120
81
120
-39
no box
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
no box
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
no box
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
100-112
100
112
-12
no box
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A13/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-23
29-17
18-18
20-31
16-24
14-32
26-28
23-29
14-19
19-23
26-24
15-28
27-27
18-30
21-35
21-23
18-21
24-19
22-22
25-19
20-29
14-22
34-27
16-23
15-30
20-26
28-28
23-24
23-34
23-26
31-28
20-23
24-21
17-20
28-31
19-21
14-21
14-26
27-25
188.2Avg total
86.4Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.4101.8188.2-15.410%
Last 5 (5)87.0100.8187.8-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)84.6100.8185.4-16.212%
vs Similar (6)94.788.5183.2+6.267%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Cairns TaipansIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/02
NBL
95.6Avg total
46.4Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.546.792.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.545.990.5-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)46.447.593.9-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)46.449.295.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)47.250.297.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)47.646.894.4+0.943%-
vs Similar (13)43.547.591.0-4.138%-
vs Weaker (3)44.043.087.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A26/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/07
NBL1 East
88.7Avg total
39.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.148.391.5-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.448.192.5-3.836%-
Last 30 away (16)42.148.590.6-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.649.188.7-9.50%-
Last 5 (5)39.849.088.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.249.590.7-8.325%-
vs Similar (6)51.043.794.7+7.383%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.222.7
48.1%
52.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws25.919.7
76.1%
74.7%19.7
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
52.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.919.5
69.9%
74.7%19.5
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WLLLLWWLWL
Illawarra Hawks
LLLLLLLLLW
#10
League position
#1
-9.9
Net rating
+3.6
103.3
Offensive rating
112.4
113.2
Defensive rating
108.8
48.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.2%
3-point %
33.3%
57.9%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 112.4Defence113.2 · 108.8Shooting48.2% · 50.1%3-point %32.2% · 33.3%Ball care15.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds23.8% · 38.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cairns Taipans wins
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
12/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans87-81
29/01/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-94
03/02/17Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans90-73
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24HMelbourne United97-88
10/02/24APerth88-117
01/02/24HTasmania JackJumpers86-94
27/01/24AAdelaide71-88
21/01/24HBrisbane Bullets84-102
18/01/24AIllawarra Hawks93-92
13/01/24HAdelaide111-101 OT
06/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-103
31/12/23HMelbourne United95-78
29/12/23ASydney82-101
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks74-93
12/07/24HHills Hornets89-95
07/07/24AMaitland M.100-112
06/07/24AManly W.79-107
29/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-97
22/06/24HBA CoE100-105 OT
15/06/24ASydney Comets81-120
01/06/24HNewcastle Falcons82-95
26/05/24ABA CoE76-115
25/05/24HBankstown Bruins90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United110100%88.079.0+9.0
2 Perth110100%106.098.0+8.0
3 New Zealand Breakers110100%91.087.0+4.0
4 Brisbane Bullets1010%87.091.0-4.0
5 South East Melbourne1010%98.0106.0-8.0
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%79.088.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2124151575
Illawarra Hawks26281830102
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