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Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Projected 100-97
Projected total 197.4
Final 95-107
35-32 27-29 20-26 13-20
Position#6
Record6-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game96.5
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Vs
59%
41%
■ CAIR 59%■ ILLA 41%
Pythia win probability
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#10
Record3-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game104.5
AustraliaNBLRound 8· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks
05 Nov 2026
CAIR95
ILLA107
07 Nov 2025
CAIR90
ILLA107
23 Jan 2025
CAIR100
ILLA94
19 Oct 2024
CAIR75
ILLA87
21 Sep 2024
CAIR75
ILLA102
11 Nov 2023
CAIR81
ILLA71
13 Jan 2023
CAIR89
ILLA84
10 Dec 2022
CAIR102
ILLA101
29 Jan 2022
CAIR75
ILLA94
22 Jan 2017
CAIR85
ILLA79
17 Dec 2016
CAIR99
ILLA82
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Cairns Taipans, the favourite, will host the Illawarra Hawks on 5 November 2026 in the NBL, with Pythia predicting a 59% chance for Cairns to win and a projected score of 100-97; the Hawks have a 41% chance. Cairns are 6-5 this season, averaging 92.2 points and conceding 96.5, and sit in fifth place, while their home record is 3-1 with 93.2 points for and 93.8 against. In their last five outings they went 3-2, including a 107-85 win away and a 86-84 home win, but they also lost 97-113 to Melbourne United at home. Illawarra, 3-8 overall, averages 96.1 points and allows 104.5, positioned tenth, and on the road they are 2-4 with 94.7 points for and 103.2 against; their recent five games are 2-3, highlighted by a 105-98 win over Perth and losses to Brisbane and Sydney. The Hawks trail Cairns 6-4 in head-to-head meetings, with the last encounter ending 110-100 in favour of Cairns on 11 October. Pythia sets the home line at -3.5 with a 48% probability that Cairns covers, and the total line of 198.5 carries a 46% chance of an over, while the game has a 5% chance of going into overtime. The final score will likely reflect the close projected margin, with Cairns edging the Hawks by three points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
58.8%fair 1.70
Best odds1.66
Implied57.5%
Edge+1.2pp
Illawarra Hawks winWon
41.2%fair 2.42
Best odds2.35
Implied42.5%
Edge-1.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 09:16 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 80
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 80
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 80
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 80
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 80
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 80
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 80
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 80
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
107-85
107
85
+22
98avg 80
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
91avg 80
H31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
33-26
21-25
19-34
24-28
187.5Avg total
92.4Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.296.5188.7-4.455%
Season at home (4)93.293.8187.0-0.575%
Season away (7)91.698.1189.7-6.643%
Last 10 (10)92.495.1187.5-2.760%
Last 5 (5)96.699.4196.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)87.199.9187.0-12.829%
vs Similar ◀ (6)92.085.7177.7+6.383%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#4
L
95-103
95
103
-8
82avg 89
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#2
L
100-121
100
121
-21
87avg 89
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
114-92
114
92
+22
117avg 89
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
96-113
96
113
-17
87avg 89
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
L
112-122
112
122
-10
102avg 89
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#6
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 89
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 89
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#2
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 89
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
61avg 89
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
104avg 89
A31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
24-25
24-23
29-30
27-31
18-34
26-33
29-23
35-21
30-14
27-32
22-25
23-23
18-36
32-26
23-28
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
24-19
27-25
27-25
27-29
203.0Avg total
97.6Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.1104.5200.5-8.427%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (6)94.7103.2197.8-8.533%
Last 10 (10)97.6105.4203.0-7.830%
Last 5 (5)91.8100.6192.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)92.9105.1198.0-12.217%
vs Similar ◀ (8)100.894.8195.5+6.062%
vs Weaker (4)96.282.8179.0+13.575%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 194Actual: Over 194
Over 194
56.9%
@ 1.52-4.8pp
Under 194
43.1%
@ 2.45+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.45
Over/Under 199 · main lineActual: Over 199
Over 199
44.7%
@ 1.93-4.8pp
Under 199
55.3%
@ 1.97+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Over/Under 204Actual: Under 204
Over 204
33.1%
@ 2.25-8.4pp
Under 204
66.9%
@ 1.60+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Cairns Taipans total 97.5Actual: Cairns Taipans under 97.5
Over 97.5
58.8%
@ 1.54-3.4pp
Under 97.5
41.2%
@ 2.42+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Bet365
2.35
Cairns Taipans total 101.5 · main lineActual: Cairns Taipans under 101.5
Over 101.5
43.5%
@ 1.94-4.8pp
Under 101.5
56.5%
@ 1.87+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.94
1xBet
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Cairns Taipans total 105.5Actual: Cairns Taipans under 105.5
Over 105.5
29.2%
@ 2.62-6.2pp
Under 105.5
70.8%
@ 1.45+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
Illawarra Hawks total 94.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks over 94.5
Over 94.5
60.3%
@ 1.47-3.0pp
Under 94.5
39.7%
@ 2.60+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Illawarra Hawks total 98.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks over 98.5
Over 98.5
45.2%
@ 1.93-3.9pp
Under 98.5
54.8%
@ 1.87+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Illawarra Hawks total 102.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks over 102.5
Over 102.5
30.9%
@ 2.55-6.9pp
Under 102.5
69.1%
@ 1.54+6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.42
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cairns Taipans -6Actual: Illawarra Hawks +6
CAIR -6
38.2%
@ 2.35-2.1pp
ILLA +6
61.8%
@ 1.57+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
CAIR
Bet365
2.35
Marathon Be
2.29
1xBet
2.29
ILLA
Bet365
1.57
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Spread Cairns Taipans -3 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks +3
CAIR -3
49.8%
@ 1.90-0.5pp
ILLA +3
50.2%
@ 1.92+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
CAIR
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
ILLA
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Spread Cairns Taipans 0Actual: Illawarra Hawks 0
CAIR 0
58.8%
ILLA 0
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
CAIR
No market prices yet.
ILLA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
Cairns TaipansIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H31/10
NBL
95.4Avg total
46.9Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 99.5
Last 30 (30)46.847.193.9-0.453%27%
Last 30 at home (13)47.744.692.3+3.169%23%
Last 30 away (17)46.149.195.1-3.041%29%
Last 10 (10)46.948.595.4-1.650%30%
Last 5 (5)52.250.2102.4+2.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)46.647.994.5-1.350%29%
vs Similar ◀ (6)47.544.291.7+3.367%17%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#2
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#1
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#6
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBL
99.1Avg total
46.8Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 99.5
Last 30 (30)46.950.096.9-3.130%43%
Last 30 at home (14)45.649.795.3-4.121%36%
Last 30 away (16)48.150.398.4-2.238%50%
Last 10 (10)46.852.399.1-5.530%50%
Last 5 (5)45.649.495.0-3.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)44.553.197.6-8.617%50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)52.945.998.8+7.062%50%
vs Weaker (4)45.844.890.5+1.025%0%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Cairns Taipans win
CAIR win
no forecast
@ 1.71
ILLA win
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Spread Cairns Taipans -1 · main linePush
CAIR -1
no forecast
@ 1.86
ILLA +1
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 99.5 · main lineActual: Over 99.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
Cairns Taipans 1st half total 51.5 · main lineActual: Cairns Taipans over 51.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Illawarra Hawks 1st half total 49.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks over 49.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half: CAIR + total 100.5
CAIR & over
no forecast
@ 3.35
CAIR & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half: Draw + total 100.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: ILLA + total 100.5
ILLA & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
ILLA & under
no forecast
@ 4.10
1st half Over/Under 101Actual: Over 101
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Cairns Taipans -2Actual: Illawarra Hawks +2
CAIR -2
no forecast
@ 2.03
ILLA +2
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Spread Cairns Taipans 0Actual: Cairns Taipans 0
CAIR 0
no forecast
@ 1.72
ILLA 0
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 97.5Actual: Over 97.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Over/Under 102.5Actual: Over 102.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Over/Under 95.5Actual: Over 95.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half Spread Cairns Taipans -3.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +3.5
CAIR -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
ILLA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Illawarra Hawks (regulation)
CAIR
no forecast
@ 1.75
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
ILLA
no forecast
@ 2.29

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CAIR win + total 199.5
🔒 Pro
ILLA win + total 199.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CAIR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ILLA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (CAIR:ILLA): CAIR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Cairns Taipans under 110.584.6%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+9.8ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 106.580.8%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+9.8ppLost
Illawarra Hawks under 110.589.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+9.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 104.575.3%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+9.3ppLost
Cairns Taipans under 108.579.7%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+9.2ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 108.585.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+9.2ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 106.573.9%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+9.0ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 113.590.3%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+8.8ppWon
Under 20671.1%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+8.6ppWon
Under 20773.1%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+8.4ppWon
Under 209.577.2%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+8.4ppWon
Under 207.573.6%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+8.2ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 112.592.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+8.2ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 107.583.2%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+7.9ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 111.586.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+7.8ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 109.582.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+7.8ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 105.578.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+7.7ppLost
Cairns Taipans under 120.597.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+7.7ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 114.594.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 118.597.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+7.6ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 115.593.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+7.5ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 107.576.9%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+7.5ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 119.596.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+7.3ppWon
Under 214.584.8%1.21
Bet365
1.21		----+7.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 116.596.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.3ppWon
Under 206.571.7%1.44
Bet365
1.48
Betano
1.40		---+7.2ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 117.595.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+7.2ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 121.597.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.1ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 117.596.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+7.0ppWon
Under 213.583.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.8ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 103.572.3%1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40		---+6.8ppLost
Under 208.575.4%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+6.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +12.580.9%1.25
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.18		---+6.4ppWon
Under 218.589.3%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+6.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 76.597.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.3ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 125.599.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.3ppWon
Cairns Taipans under 105.570.8%1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42		---+6.2ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 79.597.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.0ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 81.596.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.0ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +23.596.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.8ppWon
Under 223.593.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+5.8ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 80.596.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.8ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 77.597.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.7ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 82.595.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.7ppWon
Cairns Taipans +17.595.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.6ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 83.594.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 79.595.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +11.578.5%1.27
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.26		---+5.5ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 78.596.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.4ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +13.583.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.4ppWon
Cairns Taipans +7.580.3%1.23
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22		---+5.3ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 80.594.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.2ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +22.595.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.1ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 85.591.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+5.1ppWon
Cairns Taipans +22.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Illawarra Hawks under 122.598.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.0ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 81.593.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.0ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +18.591.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+4.9ppWon
Cairns Taipans +21.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 89.584.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.6ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 87.588.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +28.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +10.575.8%1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30		---+4.4ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 84.593.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.4ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +9.573.0%1.33
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.30		--+4.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 83.590.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+4.3ppWon
Cairns Taipans +16.594.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 85.587.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+4.2ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 82.592.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.1ppWon
Cairns Taipans +12.590.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.9ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +1177.9%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+3.8ppWon
Illawarra Hawks +1075.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+3.7ppWon
Cairns Taipans +5.574.9%1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30		---+3.6ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +17.590.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.6ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 86.590.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.5ppWon
Cairns Taipans +4.571.8%1.32
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.26		-+3.4ppLost
Illawarra Hawks +972.1%1.33
Bet365
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.31		---+3.3ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 88.586.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+3.3ppWon
Over 173.592.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.3ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 87.582.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.2ppWon
Overtime: no94.7%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.2pp-
Illawarra Hawks over 84.589.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.1ppWon
Over 174.591.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.0ppWon
Cairns Taipans +574.1%1.27
Bet365
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.23		---+3.0ppLost
Cairns Taipans +6.577.7%1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22		---+2.9ppLost
Cairns Taipans over 90.581.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.8ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 91.579.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.8ppWon
Over 178.586.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.4ppWon
Cairns Taipans +11.588.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.4ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 86.585.1%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+2.0ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 89.577.3%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+2.0ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 93.573.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+1.5ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 88.580.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+1.3ppWon
Over 179.585.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+1.0ppWon
Cairns Taipans over 92.576.1%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+0.8ppWon
Cairns Taipans +470.9%1.31
Bet365
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.28		---+0.5ppLost
Illawarra Hawks over 91.571.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+0.5ppWon
Over 183.579.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.1ppWon
Illawarra Hawks over 90.574.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----0.5ppWon
Over 184.577.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----1.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
56.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.8
35.2%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
74.0%10.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.6
56.8%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
74.0%12.1
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LWWLWWWLLW
Illawarra Hawks
WLLWLLLWLL
#6
League position
#10
-3.9
Net rating
-8.7
96.3
Offensive rating
100.8
100.2
Defensive rating
109.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.2%
3-point %
35.6%
65.3%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 100.8Defence100.2 · 109.5Shooting55.3% · 55.4%3-point %35.2% · 35.6%Ball care13.8% · 12.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cairns Taipans wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans100-110
03/01/26Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans96-78
06/12/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans76-93
07/11/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks90-107
23/01/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks100-94
03/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans105-108
19/10/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-87
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HMelbourne United97-113
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APerth105-98
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
04/10/26ASouth East Melbourne96-113
02/10/26HAdelaide114-92
27/09/26ASydney100-121
25/09/26ABrisbane Bullets95-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game92.293.291.6
Allowed / game96.593.898.1
Point differential-4.4-0.5-6.6
Avg total188.7187.0189.7
Over 19936%25%43%
Win by 10+27%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game96.197.894.7
Allowed / game104.5106.0103.2
Point differential-8.4-8.2-8.5
Avg total200.5203.8197.8
Over 19955%60%50%
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers107370%95.690.8+4.8
3 Melbourne United116555%96.590.8+5.6
4 Brisbane Bullets116555%95.297.4-2.2
5 Cairns Taipans116555%92.296.5-4.4
6 Perth105550%94.397.9-3.6
7 Adelaide115645%91.093.7-2.7
8 South East Melbourne104640%96.994.3+2.6
9 New Zealand Breakers114736%90.590.9-0.4
10 Illawarra Hawks113827%96.1104.5-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans3527201395
Illawarra Hawks32292620107
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