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Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 88-71
28-25 25-13 22-15 13-18
Position#9
Record9-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game92.7
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#8
Record11-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game91.8
AustraliaNBLRound 17· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Cairns Taipans
27 Sep 2026
ADEL83
CAIR69
24 Dec 2025
ADEL93
CAIR73
16 Nov 2025
ADEL105
CAIR101
25 Oct 2024
ADEL99
CAIR93
27 Jan 2024
ADEL88
CAIR71
09 Dec 2023
ADEL101
CAIR116
02 Dec 2022
ADEL78
CAIR75
18 Mar 2022
ADEL83
CAIR57
20 Feb 2022
ADEL82
CAIR71
11 Feb 2017
ADEL89
CAIR98
21 Oct 2016
ADEL83
CAIR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 80
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 80
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 80
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 80
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 80
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 80
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 80
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 80
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 80
A20/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-35
31-26
27-24
17-31
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
192.5Avg total
96.0Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.692.7181.3-4.139%
Season at home (11)88.990.8179.7-1.955%
Season away (12)88.394.5182.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)96.096.5192.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)100.492.6193.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)88.393.1181.3-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.898.3190.1-6.527%
vs Weaker (4)98.096.5194.5+1.550%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 82
H15/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
97avg 82
A17/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 82
H22/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 82
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 82
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 82
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
76avg 82
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
no box
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
85avg 82
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
80avg 82
H21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-36
18-26
29-29
17-20
35-17
21-26
23-24
23-34
30-18
16-26
20-15
28-16
17-26
26-28
24-22
35-29
24-27
21-27
12-15
25-32
26-19
19-21
21-23
29-15
20-29
21-22
18-28
27-24
27-28
26-28
19-26
22-12
19-23
25-17
23-23
26-29
17-26
23-35
22-18
22-23
190.0Avg total
93.1Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.291.8181.9-1.646%
Season at home (12)89.388.6177.9+0.850%
Season away (12)91.094.9185.9-3.942%
Last 10 (10)93.196.9190.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)93.895.2189.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)88.490.8179.2-2.433%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.590.5180.0-1.153%
vs Weaker (3)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
AdelaideCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
94.7Avg total
49.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.047.591.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.145.589.5-1.438%-
Last 30 away (17)43.949.193.0-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)49.445.394.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.840.291.0+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.147.189.2-5.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.047.693.6-1.655%-
vs Weaker (4)45.848.594.2-2.825%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H15/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H21/01
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.9Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.546.391.8-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.746.590.3-2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)47.346.093.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.950.595.4-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.649.694.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)47.347.394.7+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.346.190.4-1.747%-
vs Weaker (3)44.043.087.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.6
50.2%
50.9%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
73.8%18.8
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.9
51.3%
50.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
73.8%18.3
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWLWWLLWLL
Cairns Taipans
LWWLWLLWWL
#9
League position
#8
-3.4
Net rating
-3.9
109.8
Offensive rating
109.7
113.2
Defensive rating
113.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.6%
3-point %
37.9%
52.8%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 109.7Defence113.2 · 113.6Shooting49.8% · 53.1%3-point %32.6% · 37.9%Ball care14.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 25.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Adelaide   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
6
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
31/12/22Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-83
02/12/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans78-75
18/03/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans83-57
20/02/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans82-71
18/12/21Cairns Taipans v Adelaide93-67
11/02/17Adelaide v Cairns Taipans89-98
09/02/17Cairns Taipans v Adelaide89-85
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
09/12/23HCairns Taipans101-116
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HBrisbane Bullets84-102
18/01/24AIllawarra Hawks93-92
13/01/24HAdelaide111-101 OT
06/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-103
31/12/23HMelbourne United95-78
29/12/23ASydney82-101
26/12/23HPerth102-105
22/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-75
17/12/23ABrisbane Bullets102-101
15/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers82-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW39%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game88.688.988.3
Allowed / game92.790.894.5
Point differential-4.1-1.9-6.2
Avg total181.3179.7182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game90.289.391.0
Allowed / game91.888.694.9
Point differential-1.6+0.8-3.9
Avg total181.9177.9185.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2317674%93.787.3+6.4
2 Perth2315865%94.391.3+2.9
3 Tasmania JackJumpers24121250%90.986.1+4.8
4 Brisbane Bullets25121348%87.790.3-2.6
5 Sydney24111346%95.094.1+0.9
6 Cairns Taipans24111346%90.291.8-1.6
7 New Zealand Breakers22101245%90.189.6+0.5
8 Illawarra Hawks22101245%90.190.5-0.3
9 South East Melbourne24101442%88.294.7-6.5
10 Adelaide2391439%88.692.7-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2825221388
Cairns Taipans2513151871
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