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Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 75-87
24-17 14-23 20-19 17-28
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game92.3
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game88.6
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks
05 Nov 2026
CAIR v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
CAIR90
ILLA107
23 Jan 2025
CAIR100
ILLA94
19 Oct 2024
CAIR75
ILLA87
21 Sep 2024
CAIR75
ILLA102
11 Nov 2023
CAIR81
ILLA71
13 Jan 2023
CAIR89
ILLA84
10 Dec 2022
CAIR102
ILLA101
29 Jan 2022
CAIR75
ILLA94
22 Jan 2017
CAIR85
ILLA79
17 Dec 2016
CAIR99
ILLA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 80
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 80
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-117
88
117
-29
72avg 80
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 80
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-102
75
102
-27
49avg 80
H21/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
101-97
101
97
+4
96avg 80
H28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 80
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
101-88
101
88
+13
95avg 80
A06/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 80
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 80
A13/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
13-25
15-22
18-13
22-22
22-23
18-27
24-22
30-30
27-27
15-22
16-38
28-15
29-20
20-19
20-34
21-26
24-28
15-18
15-30
28-32
30-22
19-23
24-20
27-21
26-16
18-24
19-17
23-27
35-27
22-17
21-17
23-29
18-19
26-27
20-15
18-28
21-25
18-23
16-23
181.0Avg total
86.9Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.892.3180.2-4.550%
Season at home (4)88.291.8180.0-3.550%
Season away (2)87.093.5180.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)86.994.1181.0-7.240%
Last 5 (5)90.490.4180.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)89.794.6184.4-4.935%
vs Similar (11)90.092.7182.7-2.755%
vs Weaker (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
no box
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
100-112
100
112
-12
no box
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
95avg 83
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 83
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
86avg 83
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
86avg 83
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
109-76
109
76
+33
98avg 83
H12/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-29
14-22
34-27
16-23
15-30
20-26
28-28
23-24
23-34
23-26
31-28
20-23
24-21
17-20
28-31
19-21
14-21
14-26
27-25
26-21
28-24
18-15
30-15
38-25
21-35
30-20
24-21
27-15
21-32
27-20
21-22
32-27
22-25
27-29
19-21
32-17
25-22
27-13
25-24
190.2Avg total
95.5Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)104.088.6192.6+15.480%
Season at home (3)107.393.0200.3+14.367%
Season away (2)99.082.0181.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.594.7190.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)104.088.6192.6+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)84.5101.2185.7-16.713%
vs Similar (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)104.088.6192.6+15.480%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Cairns TaipansIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H21/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/10
NBL
98.0Avg total
49.0Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.648.294.8-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.247.292.4-2.141%-
Last 30 away (13)48.549.598.0-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)49.049.098.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)49.849.299.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)47.948.896.7-0.841%-
vs Similar (11)44.947.992.8-3.045%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H12/10
NBL
95.9Avg total
47.1Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.949.193.0-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.748.794.4-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.149.591.7-7.433%-
Last 10 (10)47.148.895.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.448.6103.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)41.150.091.1-8.922%-
vs Similar (2)49.540.590.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)54.448.6103.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.1
48.0%
52.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
74.7%15.4
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.425.9
54.6%
52.3%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.0
69.9%
74.7%16.0
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LLWWWLWLLL
Illawarra Hawks
WLWWWLLLLL
#10
League position
#1
-8.6
Net rating
+8.5
105.4
Offensive rating
118.7
114.0
Defensive rating
110.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
34.7%
53.3%
Assist %
49.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 118.7Defence114.0 · 110.2Shooting50.0% · 53.7%3-point %35.6% · 34.7%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.5% · 38.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cairns Taipans wins
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
12/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans87-81
29/01/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-94
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ASydney73-99
10/10/24HPerth87-90
06/10/24AMelbourne United101-88
04/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers90-78
28/09/24HAdelaide101-97
21/09/24HIllawarra Hawks75-102
16/02/24HMelbourne United97-88
10/02/24APerth88-117
01/02/24HTasmania JackJumpers86-94
27/01/24AAdelaide71-88
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers109-76
05/10/24HAdelaide100-102
29/09/24ASydney96-89
27/09/24HBrisbane Bullets113-101
21/09/24ACairns Taipans102-75
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks74-93
12/07/24HHills Hornets89-95
07/07/24AMaitland M.100-112
06/07/24AManly W.79-107
29/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.888.287.0
Allowed / game92.391.893.5
Point differential-4.5-3.5-6.5
Avg total180.2180.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game104.0107.399.0
Allowed / game88.693.082.0
Point differential+15.4+14.3+17.0
Avg total192.6200.3181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks54180%104.088.6+15.4
2 New Zealand Breakers43175%83.583.8-0.2
3 Sydney75271%89.784.6+5.1
4 Melbourne United64267%91.282.0+9.2
5 Adelaide63350%92.395.2-2.8
6 Cairns Taipans63350%87.892.3-4.5
7 Brisbane Bullets52340%88.290.6-2.4
8 Perth62433%85.890.5-4.7
9 Tasmania JackJumpers62433%78.286.3-8.2
10 South East Melbourne5050%85.892.6-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2414201775
Illawarra Hawks1723192887
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