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Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 100-94
31-17 23-20 17-27 29-30
Position#10
Record5-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game95.1
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#1
Record17-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game92.4
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks
05 Nov 2026
CAIR v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
CAIR90
ILLA107
23 Jan 2025
CAIR100
ILLA94
19 Oct 2024
CAIR75
ILLA87
21 Sep 2024
CAIR75
ILLA102
11 Nov 2023
CAIR81
ILLA71
13 Jan 2023
CAIR89
ILLA84
10 Dec 2022
CAIR102
ILLA101
29 Jan 2022
CAIR75
ILLA94
22 Jan 2017
CAIR85
ILLA79
17 Dec 2016
CAIR99
ILLA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 75
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-128
92
128
-36
74avg 75
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 75
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
51avg 75
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
68-92
68
92
-24
54avg 75
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
108-105
108
105
+3
89avg 75
A03/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
77avg 75
A12/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
89avg 75
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
107avg 75
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
62avg 75
H19/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-39
22-24
32-12
12-24
28-22
29-32
18-39
17-35
30-29
24-27
26-25
24-26
13-25
16-21
22-13
15-17
15-21
22-26
17-25
14-20
19-24
26-32
40-21
23-28
19-17
19-22
24-25
25-27
28-33
31-25
19-24
24-31
31-24
31-21
20-20
29-15
12-38
25-22
21-22
17-17
189.7Avg total
90.7Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.995.1181.0-9.221%
Season at home (13)81.893.2175.0-11.515%
Season away (11)90.797.3188.0-6.527%
Last 10 (10)90.799.0189.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)96.697.6194.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.697.8183.4-12.220%
vs Similar (10)86.890.7177.5-3.930%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
120-88
120
88
+32
113avg 91
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-108
111
108
+3
99avg 91
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
93avg 91
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
105-110
105
110
-5
89avg 91
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
105-108
105
108
-3
100avg 91
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 91
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
108-100
108
100
+8
93avg 91
H11/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
88-91
88
91
-3
74avg 91
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
117-95
117
95
+22
108avg 91
H18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
121-87
121
87
+34
128avg 91
H20/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
26-20
26-15
31-25
23-31
35-27
30-23
23-27
29-34
19-16
34-18
20-16
25-30
34-30
25-24
21-26
24-19
32-26
21-40
28-23
20-18
29-18
14-22
26-26
35-28
34-20
19-22
20-30
25-33
18-30
19-12
26-16
29-25
29-21
27-20
32-29
35-20
21-21
35-19
30-27
202.1Avg total
106.6Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)102.292.4194.6+9.868%
Season at home (13)105.391.8197.1+13.569%
Season away (12)98.893.1191.8+5.767%
Last 10 (10)106.695.5202.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)104.691.4196.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.0100.8187.8-13.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)102.292.4194.6+9.868%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
Cairns TaipansIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A03/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H19/01
NBL
99.2Avg total
46.8Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.449.695.9-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.248.393.5-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)47.751.098.7-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)46.852.499.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.251.699.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)46.150.196.3-4.035%-
vs Similar (10)46.848.495.2-1.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H11/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H20/01
NBL
105.4Avg total
55.9Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.147.697.7+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.544.798.2+8.767%-
Last 30 away (15)46.750.597.1-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)55.949.5105.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)55.046.8101.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.849.088.8-9.20%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)52.147.399.4+4.864%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.1
49.4%
52.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.7
36.0%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
74.7%16.4
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.229.2
57.0%
52.3%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.1
33.9%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
74.7%17.5
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LWLLWLLLLL
Illawarra Hawks
WWLWWLLWWW
#10
League position
#1
-10.1
Net rating
+14.4
108.7
Offensive rating
126.5
118.8
Defensive rating
112.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
10.2%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
33.9%
53.2%
Assist %
52.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 126.5Defence118.8 · 112.1Shooting51.5% · 54.8%3-point %36.0% · 33.9%Ball care13.9% · 10.2%Off. rebounds23.1% · 36.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cairns Taipans wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans105-108
19/10/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-87
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HAdelaide75-99
17/01/25ABrisbane Bullets111-80
14/01/25HSouth East Melbourne102-113
12/01/25ASydney87-91
03/01/25AIllawarra Hawks108-105
31/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers68-92
26/12/24HMelbourne United66-76
20/12/24ABrisbane Bullets104-107
14/12/24HPerth92-128
07/12/24ASouth East Melbourne94-99
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HBrisbane Bullets121-87
18/01/25HMelbourne United117-95
13/01/25AAdelaide88-91
11/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers108-100
07/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-84
03/01/25HCairns Taipans105-108
31/12/24HSouth East Melbourne105-110
27/12/24ABrisbane Bullets102-84
25/12/24ASydney111-108
22/12/24HPerth120-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %21%15%27%
Points / game85.981.890.7
Allowed / game95.193.297.3
Point differential-9.2-11.5-6.5
Avg total181.0175.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game102.2105.398.8
Allowed / game92.491.893.1
Point differential+9.8+13.5+5.7
Avg total194.6197.1191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%46%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2517868%102.292.4+9.8
2 Sydney26161062%90.886.7+4.2
3 Melbourne United26161062%94.691.5+3.1
4 Perth25151060%98.895.4+3.4
5 South East Melbourne25141156%95.091.0+4.0
6 Tasmania JackJumpers25121348%83.886.3-2.5
7 Adelaide24111346%93.596.4-2.8
8 Brisbane Bullets25101540%92.797.9-5.2
9 New Zealand Breakers2591636%85.691.0-5.4
10 Cairns Taipans2451921%85.995.1-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans31231729100
Illawarra Hawks1720273094
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