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Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 81-71
14-18 19-20 23-17 25-16
Position#8
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game87.1
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#4
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game97.1
AustraliaNBLRound 7· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks
05 Nov 2026
CAIR v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
CAIR90
ILLA107
23 Jan 2025
CAIR100
ILLA94
19 Oct 2024
CAIR75
ILLA87
21 Sep 2024
CAIR75
ILLA102
11 Nov 2023
CAIR81
ILLA71
13 Jan 2023
CAIR89
ILLA84
10 Dec 2022
CAIR102
ILLA101
29 Jan 2022
CAIR75
ILLA94
22 Jan 2017
CAIR85
ILLA79
17 Dec 2016
CAIR99
ILLA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H17/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
A19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 77
A30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 77
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 77
A07/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 77
A26/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 77
H28/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 77
A03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
66avg 77
A05/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
33-25
10-27
18-18
27-19
27-22
17-14
22-27
26-20
13-28
19-14
6-17
25-22
18-24
18-31
26-21
22-20
21-18
23-19
21-23
26-18
17-20
27-18
19-30
15-24
23-20
22-17
23-23
26-20
25-22
18-19
18-19
23-21
15-16
17-30
26-24
23-23
20-24
18-22
17-22
170.2Avg total
83.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.687.1171.7-2.643%
Season at home (2)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (5)83.690.0173.6-6.420%
Last 10 (10)83.686.6170.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)83.686.4170.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.084.8169.8+0.260%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.686.0170.6-1.443%
vs Weaker (11)90.586.3176.7+4.273%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
65avg 68
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
85avg 68
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
62avg 68
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 68
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
67avg 68
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
71avg 68
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
68avg 68
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 68
H03/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
20-13
9-29
22-28
15-25
20-21
12-22
16-19
24-26
15-25
25-23
17-22
26-26
34-29
22-27
31-24
19-24
10-31
25-26
19-22
25-23
15-16
20-15
20-35
22-29
29-30
12-18
28-24
24-15
20-23
17-22
23-23
29-24
22-28
18-19
15-25
17-20
25-32
18-32
23-19
178.8Avg total
83.3Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.197.1183.2-11.025%
Season at home (5)90.497.8188.2-7.440%
Season away (3)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)83.395.5178.8-12.220%
Last 5 (5)84.494.4178.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)83.194.8177.9-11.79%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.293.3172.5-14.217%
vs Weaker (1)113.0106.0219.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
Cairns TaipansIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H17/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H28/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/11
NBL
88.2Avg total
45.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.288.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.443.388.7+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)45.843.188.9+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.188.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.684.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.445.094.4+4.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.043.786.7-0.743%-
vs Weaker (11)47.241.889.0+5.482%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H03/11
NBL
92.2Avg total
44.1Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.890.9-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.148.893.9-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)41.046.887.8-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.192.2-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.093.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)43.047.790.7-4.726%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.547.087.5-6.533%-
vs Weaker (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.7
51.6%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.6%
33.9%24.4
🏀 Free throws25.017.6
70.3%
73.8%17.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.522.6
47.6%
50.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.9%
33.9%27.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.3%
73.8%12.8
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LLWLWWLLWL
Illawarra Hawks
LLWLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#4
-3.9
Net rating
-13.3
102.7
Offensive rating
105.4
106.6
Defensive rating
118.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
32.9%
52.5%
Assist %
45.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 105.4Defence106.6 · 118.6Shooting50.5% · 48.3%3-point %32.6% · 32.9%Ball care19.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cairns Taipans wins
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
12/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans87-81
29/01/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-94
03/02/17Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans90-73
22/01/17Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks85-79
17/12/16Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks99-82
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ASouth East Melbourne78-91
03/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers81-91
28/10/23HSydney87-80
26/10/23AIllawarra Hawks83-84
07/10/23ABrisbane Bullets89-86
05/10/23HSouth East Melbourne87-80
30/09/23ANew Zealand Breakers87-98
19/02/23ASydney64-79
17/02/23HSydney93-82
15/02/23ASydney87-95
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HSydney83-103
29/10/23AMelbourne United84-96
26/10/23HCairns Taipans84-83
20/10/23HMelbourne United91-101
14/10/23AAdelaide80-89
12/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers73-103
07/10/23HSouth East Melbourne113-106
30/09/23HSydney81-96
04/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers63-87
02/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game84.687.083.6
Allowed / game87.180.090.0
Point differential-2.6+7.0-6.4
Avg total171.7167.0173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game86.190.479.0
Allowed / game97.197.896.0
Point differential-11.0-7.4-17.0
Avg total183.2188.2175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United108280%89.582.7+6.8
2 Sydney96367%94.989.9+5.0
3 South East Melbourne106460%93.391.0+2.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers95456%89.385.2+4.1
5 Perth105550%90.189.9+0.2
6 Brisbane Bullets105550%88.188.7-0.6
7 Cairns Taipans73443%84.687.1-2.6
8 Adelaide93633%85.389.2-3.9
9 New Zealand Breakers82625%88.491.9-3.5
10 Illawarra Hawks82625%86.197.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans1419232581
Illawarra Hawks1820171671
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