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Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 90-107
22-25 26-27 20-29 22-26
Position#9
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#8
Record3-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game97.1
AustraliaNBLRound 8· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks
05 Nov 2026
CAIR v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
CAIR90
ILLA107
23 Jan 2025
CAIR100
ILLA94
19 Oct 2024
CAIR75
ILLA87
21 Sep 2024
CAIR75
ILLA102
11 Nov 2023
CAIR81
ILLA71
13 Jan 2023
CAIR89
ILLA84
10 Dec 2022
CAIR102
ILLA101
29 Jan 2022
CAIR75
ILLA94
22 Jan 2017
CAIR85
ILLA79
17 Dec 2016
CAIR99
ILLA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
74avg 75
H26/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 75
A28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
72avg 75
H02/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 75
H10/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
60-95
60
95
-35
53avg 75
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 75
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
78-110
78
110
-32
67avg 75
H22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
55avg 75
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-113
85
113
-28
80avg 75
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
63avg 75
A01/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
24-24
16-15
22-26
22-18
18-27
21-13
16-16
23-36
15-22
22-27
19-25
23-23
20-18
17-20
17-19
15-27
10-21
16-22
19-25
17-19
19-25
21-20
29-27
22-30
20-30
20-28
16-22
16-31
18-17
17-24
16-22
27-25
20-32
20-22
18-34
18-15
22-16
14-18
21-20
168.5Avg total
76.7Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.793.8170.5-17.127%
Season at home (6)78.394.5172.8-16.217%
Season away (5)74.893.0167.8-18.240%
Last 10 (10)76.791.8168.5-15.130%
Last 5 (5)78.295.4173.6-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)83.796.8180.5-13.125%
vs Similar (10)88.592.7181.2-4.230%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 90
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 90
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 90
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
88-117
88
117
-29
81avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-89
116
89
+27
119avg 90
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 90
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 90
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
60-102
60
102
-42
46avg 90
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
90avg 90
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
26-13
20-15
21-27
21-21
24-28
16-20
25-22
20-10
23-34
13-23
28-25
24-30
25-30
23-27
16-30
34-18
34-29
21-24
27-18
23-30
17-36
12-17
24-33
23-19
18-15
11-24
33-26
18-31
16-21
10-27
16-23
19-21
22-20
26-31
21-18
32-22
25-21
22-25
28-25
182.6Avg total
88.3Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.897.1184.9-9.333%
Season at home (4)92.293.8186.0-1.550%
Season away (5)84.299.8184.0-15.620%
Last 10 (10)88.394.3182.6-6.040%
Last 5 (5)83.297.0180.2-13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.095.0183.0-7.040%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)99.290.3189.5+8.964%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
Cairns TaipansIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H02/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/11
NBL
86.3Avg total
39.0Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.049.593.5-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.949.091.9-6.140%-
Last 30 away (15)45.150.095.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.047.386.3-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.087.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)42.049.291.2-7.235%-
vs Similar (10)47.950.198.0-2.230%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H05/11
NBL
93.3Avg total
47.0Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.045.394.3+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.244.697.8+8.781%-
Last 30 away (14)44.146.190.3-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.393.3+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.289.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.445.690.0-1.240%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)50.944.195.0+6.873%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.5
54.0%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.3
27.7%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
74.8%11.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.0
60.9%
54.6%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.2
32.3%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
74.8%15.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WLLLLLLLWW
Illawarra Hawks
WLLWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#8
-21.1
Net rating
-8.7
100.3
Offensive rating
112.6
121.4
Defensive rating
121.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.7%
3-point %
32.3%
62.9%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 112.6Defence121.4 · 121.4Shooting48.3% · 56.0%3-point %27.7% · 32.3%Ball care17.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers75-69
30/10/25ABrisbane Bullets85-113
24/10/25HMelbourne United67-94
22/10/25HPerth78-110
18/10/25HAdelaide86-91
12/10/25AMelbourne United60-95
10/10/25HPerth77-80
02/10/25HAdelaide79-110
28/09/25ASydney77-74
26/09/25HBrisbane Bullets83-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25HMelbourne United107-93
02/11/25AAdelaide88-90
31/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers60-102
25/10/25APerth85-84
18/10/25ASouth East Melbourne76-116
11/10/25HBrisbane Bullets116-89
08/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers88-117
02/10/25APerth84-92
27/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers86-91
21/09/25AUtsunomiya Brex93-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%17%40%
Points / game76.778.374.8
Allowed / game93.894.593.0
Point differential-17.1-16.2-18.2
Avg total170.5172.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game87.892.284.2
Allowed / game97.193.899.8
Point differential-9.3-1.5-15.6
Avg total184.9186.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United119282%96.984.1+12.8
2 South East Melbourne97278%98.888.6+10.2
3 Adelaide97278%89.684.0+5.6
4 Sydney105550%92.686.9+5.7
5 Perth105550%87.685.9+1.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers115645%83.585.5-1.9
7 Brisbane Bullets114736%90.595.1-4.6
8 Illawarra Hawks93633%87.897.1-9.3
9 New Zealand Breakers113827%87.588.6-1.2
10 Cairns Taipans113827%76.793.8-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2226202290
Illawarra Hawks25272926107
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