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Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 77-93
13-21 26-29 20-23 18-20
Position#6
Record12-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#1
Record16-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game87.8
AustraliaNBLRound 17· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United
23 Jan 2027
BRIS v MELB
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
BRIS v MELB
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
BRIS87
MELB92
17 Oct 2025
BRIS86
MELB95
26 Jan 2025
BRIS88
MELB115
07 Nov 2024
BRIS103
MELB120
26 Jan 2024
BRIS77
MELB93
14 Jan 2023
BRIS91
MELB101
01 Jan 2023
BRIS86
MELB99
26 Jan 2022
BRIS82
MELB84
24 May 2021
BRIS88
MELB99
05 Feb 2021
BRIS96
MELB109
01 Feb 2020
BRIS87
MELB83
06 Jan 2019
BRIS95
MELB86
08 Dec 2018
BRIS97
MELB94
20 Jan 2018
BRIS95
MELB103
28 Oct 2017
BRIS87
MELB85
21 Jan 2017
BRIS88
MELB71
17 Dec 2016
BRIS100
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
68-103
68
103
-35
50avg 77
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
85avg 77
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 77
A24/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 77
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
95-83
95
83
+12
82avg 77
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 77
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
65avg 77
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
110-103
110
103
+7
102avg 77
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
68avg 77
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
88avg 77
A21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
16-36
22-23
9-26
17-35
26-21
24-23
34-23
23-27
19-25
21-18
25-25
15-15
20-24
18-20
18-22
32-23
25-19
15-25
23-16
23-24
29-15
28-28
21-26
19-18
24-20
18-21
19-18
30-26
29-30
31-24
20-23
13-31
25-26
23-28
25-33
26-17
35-23
18-22
23-22
184.1Avg total
90.2Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.290.2178.4-2.050%
Season at home (12)90.287.8178.1+2.458%
Season away (12)86.192.6178.7-6.542%
Last 10 (10)90.293.9184.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)95.895.0190.8+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)85.592.6178.1-7.138%
vs Similar (11)90.786.5177.2+4.364%
vs Weaker (3)92.090.3182.3+1.767%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
92avg 85
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-68
103
68
+35
99avg 85
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 85
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 85
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
78-95
78
95
-17
54avg 85
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
96avg 85
A04/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
96-100
96
100
-4
90avg 85
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
78avg 85
A12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-107
86
107
-21
74avg 85
A19/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
34-36
25-21
27-27
18-21
36-16
23-22
26-9
35-18
31-28
11-18
29-14
28-23
27-19
25-30
27-24
21-26
21-24
21-21
29-21
19-26
21-19
23-21
15-29
18-23
20-17
35-19
28-26
23-27
19-19
24-31
30-23
17-22
22-22
23-18
20-19
22-24
22-30
14-25
28-28
189.9Avg total
97.1Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)93.887.8181.5+6.073%
Season at home (11)96.588.5185.0+7.973%
Season away (11)91.187.0178.1+4.173%
Last 10 (10)97.192.8189.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)88.693.6182.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar (11)95.592.0187.5+3.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.685.9180.6+8.781%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
Brisbane BulletsMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A24/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A21/01
NBL
94.0Avg total
46.7Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.689.4+0.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.944.189.0+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.545.289.7-0.760%-
Last 10 (10)46.747.394.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.646.096.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.743.886.5-1.162%-
vs Similar (11)46.446.392.6+0.164%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NBL
94.2Avg total
47.1Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.488.5+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.945.292.1+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)44.042.286.2+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)47.147.194.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.886.4-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (11)42.545.187.6-2.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.143.691.8+4.556%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.124.8
48.5%
50.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.5
29.7%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws26.520.5
77.4%
73.8%20.5
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.8
52.1%
50.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.211.0
40.4%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.215.1
68.0%
73.8%15.1
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WLWWWWLLLL
Melbourne United
LWLWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-4.5
Net rating
+5.8
109.8
Offensive rating
117.7
114.3
Defensive rating
111.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.7%
3-point %
40.4%
40.3%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 117.7Defence114.3 · 111.9Shooting47.3% · 55.3%3-point %29.7% · 40.4%Ball care12.8% · 13.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ACairns Taipans102-84
19/01/24APerth86-118
14/01/24HIllawarra Hawks110-103
10/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers80-77
07/01/24ASydney101-93
30/12/23HSouth East Melbourne95-83
27/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-81
24/12/23AAdelaide88-95
17/12/23HCairns Taipans101-102
10/12/23AMelbourne United68-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-107
12/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers82-81
06/01/24AAdelaide96-100
04/01/24ASydney101-85
31/12/23ACairns Taipans78-95
23/12/23HPerth109-103 OT
16/12/23HAdelaide107-96
14/12/23ASouth East Melbourne106-78
10/12/23HBrisbane Bullets103-68
03/12/23HCairns Taipans103-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game88.290.286.1
Allowed / game90.287.892.6
Point differential-2.0+2.4-6.5
Avg total178.4178.1178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL73%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game93.896.591.1
Allowed / game87.888.587.0
Point differential+6.0+7.9+4.1
Avg total181.5185.0178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2216673%93.887.8+6.0
2 Perth2315865%94.391.3+2.9
3 Tasmania JackJumpers24121250%90.986.1+4.8
4 Brisbane Bullets24121250%88.290.2-2.0
5 Sydney24111346%95.094.1+0.9
6 Cairns Taipans24111346%90.291.8-1.6
7 New Zealand Breakers22101245%90.189.6+0.5
8 Illawarra Hawks22101245%90.190.5-0.3
9 South East Melbourne24101442%88.294.7-6.5
10 Adelaide2391439%88.692.7-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1326201877
Melbourne United2129232093
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