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Sydney vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 119-77
28-23 29-18 34-19 28-17
Position#1
Record10-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game86.4
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#9
Record5-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game94.4
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sydney v Cairns Taipans
17 Dec 2026
SYDN v CAIR
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
SYDN111
CAIR90
21 Dec 2025
SYDN119
CAIR77
28 Sep 2025
SYDN74
CAIR77
12 Jan 2025
SYDN91
CAIR87
13 Oct 2024
SYDN99
CAIR73
29 Dec 2023
SYDN101
CAIR82
19 Feb 2023
SYDN79
CAIR64
15 Feb 2023
SYDN95
CAIR87
29 Oct 2022
SYDN106
CAIR103
14 Oct 2022
SYDN78
CAIR83
06 Mar 2022
SYDN98
CAIR88
07 Nov 2016
SYDN79
CAIR77
15 Oct 2016
SYDN92
CAIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 84
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 84
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 84
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 84
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 84
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 84
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 84
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 84
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
74avg 84
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
84avg 84
H17/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
27-26
20-23
27-19
16-27
26-25
18-17
32-21
32-16
24-25
21-25
24-20
15-14
23-29
20-27
23-9
19-20
180.6Avg total
94.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.486.4178.8+6.059%
Season at home (7)89.083.7172.7+5.357%
Season away (10)94.888.3183.1+6.560%
Last 10 (10)94.586.1180.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)93.691.4185.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.5103.0194.5-11.50%
vs Similar (4)99.596.8196.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.288.1180.3+4.158%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
55avg 78
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-113
85
113
-28
80avg 78
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
63avg 78
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
90-107
90
107
-17
82avg 78
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
92avg 78
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
95avg 78
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 78
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 78
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 78
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-95
99
95
+4
102avg 78
H19/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
18-17
17-24
16-22
27-25
20-32
20-22
18-34
18-15
22-16
14-18
21-20
22-25
26-27
20-29
22-26
24-28
15-36
23-20
28-17
27-26
23-25
18-27
23-13
17-25
27-22
22-30
30-25
20-20
29-14
24-24
20-18
21-13
18-24
15-23
14-21
19-23
29-20
21-29
30-23
180.7Avg total
86.4Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.394.4176.7-12.128%
Season at home (11)83.095.7178.7-12.718%
Season away (7)81.192.3173.4-11.143%
Last 10 (10)86.494.3180.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)91.491.8183.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)85.995.6181.5-9.730%
vs Similar (7)88.992.0180.9-3.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
SydneyCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
95.2Avg total
47.7Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.648.194.6-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.849.094.8-3.250%-
Last 30 away (14)47.447.094.4+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)47.747.595.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.851.495.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.554.0102.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (4)49.554.5104.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.946.592.4-0.658%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/12
NBL
90.2Avg total
43.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.248.291.4-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.448.991.2-6.535%-
Last 30 away (13)44.447.391.7-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.490.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.488.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.148.090.1-6.035%-
vs Similar (7)47.048.795.7-1.729%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.3
49.9%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.2
35.1%
33.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
74.8%14.9
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.5
51.0%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
33.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
74.8%13.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWWLLWWWWL
Cairns Taipans
WLWLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#9
+9.2
Net rating
-9.7
113.0
Offensive rating
110.3
103.8
Defensive rating
120.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
37.5%
59.4%
Assist %
68.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 110.3Defence103.8 · 120.0Shooting51.0% · 53.3%3-point %35.1% · 37.5%Ball care12.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.1% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Sydney   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sydney wins
3
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
28/09/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans74-77
12/01/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans91-87
29/11/24Cairns Taipans v Sydney75-81
13/10/24Sydney v Cairns Taipans99-73
29/12/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans101-82
07/12/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney83-86
28/10/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney87-80
19/02/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans79-64
17/02/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney93-82
15/02/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans95-87
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HAdelaide97-93 OT
14/12/25AMelbourne United92-86 OT
12/12/25APerth108-79
03/12/25ANew Zealand Breakers90-95
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-95
13/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers68-81
06/12/25AIllawarra Hawks93-76
22/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers96-102
16/11/25AAdelaide101-105 OT
14/11/25HSouth East Melbourne90-101
07/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-107
01/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers75-69
30/10/25ABrisbane Bullets85-113
24/10/25HMelbourne United67-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%57%60%
Points / game92.489.094.8
Allowed / game86.483.788.3
Point differential+6.0+5.3+6.5
Avg total178.8172.7183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%29%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%14%10%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW28%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %28%18%43%
Points / game82.383.081.1
Allowed / game94.495.792.3
Point differential-12.1-12.7-11.1
Avg total176.7178.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1915479%92.786.4+6.3
2 Melbourne United2014670%95.988.8+7.1
3 South East Melbourne1913668%96.487.9+8.5
4 Sydney1710759%92.486.4+6.0
5 Perth2011955%88.586.2+2.3
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1981142%85.686.5-0.9
7 New Zealand Breakers1971237%89.188.9+0.2
8 Illawarra Hawks1861233%88.796.2-7.5
9 Cairns Taipans1851328%82.394.4-12.1
10 Brisbane Bullets1951426%85.396.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney28293428119
Cairns Taipans2318191777
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